Oil Prices Up Over 1% on US Hurricane Impact Concerns

FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS
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Oil Prices Up Over 1% on US Hurricane Impact Concerns

FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: A view of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea, January 7, 2020. Carina Johansen/NTB Scanpix/via REUTERS

Oil prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, spurred by concerns of Hurricane Francine impacting output in the US, the world's biggest crude producer, though worries of lower demand capped gains.
Brent crude futures for November were up $1, or 1.4% at $71.61 a barrel at 0632 GMT. US crude futures for October were up 92 cents, or 1.4%, at $68.23 a barrel, Reuters reported.
Both contracts rose by more than 2% in the previous session as offshore platforms in the US Gulf of Mexico were shut and refinery operations on the coast disrupted by Hurricane Francine's landfall in southern Louisiana on Wednesday.
"Both benchmarks, WTI and Brent, seem to have found some ground amid worries of disrupted US oil supplies," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Singapore-based brokerage Phillip Nova.
"The region accounts for about 15% of US oil production, with any disruptions in production likely to tighten supplies in the near term."
But with the storm set to eventually dissipate after making landfall, the oil market's attention again turned to lower demand.
US oil stockpiles rose across the board last week as crude imports grew and exports dipped, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.
The data also showed gasoline demand fell to its lowest since May at the same time distillate fuel demand dropped, with refinery runs also declining. The US is the world's biggest oil consumer.
Despite worries of Hurricane Francine impacting supply, the medium-term trend remains bearish for WTI crude, supported by weak demand from China and "growth scare concerns" in the US, said Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA.
Earlier in the week, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 and also trimmed its expectation for next year, its second consecutive downward revision.
"Oil traders are now looking ahead to International Energy Agency's monthly market report later this week for any signs of a weakening demand outlook," ANZ Research said in a note on Thursday.



Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Edges Higher as US Inflation Data Looms

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday as the dollar eased, with traders' attention turning to key US inflation data that may influence the Federal Reserve's next policy decision.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,524.54 per ounce, as of 0842 GMT. US gold futures edged 0.4% higher to $2,553.80.

The dollar index slipped 0.2%, making greenback-priced bullion more attractive to buyers holding other currencies, Reuters reported.

The US inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is due at 1230 GMT. The headline CPI is expected to have risen 0.2% on a month-on-month basis in August, according to a Reuters poll, unchanged from the previous month.

The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll that found only nine of 101 expected a half-percentage-point cut next week.

Lower rates boost the appeal of holding non-yielding bullion.

A rate cut should suggest a weaker dollar and by extension gold would benefit but the market might have over-positioned ahead of the long awaited Fed pivot, so prices might go lower before marching much higher, said independent analyst Ross Norman.

"Gold maintains its range-trading, but with a positive bias. We may see fresh highs in gold in 2024 and I would not be surprised to see a test of $2,650," Norman added.

Other data points due this week include the US producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims.

Bullion has gained more than 22% so far this year and scaled successive record highs, fuelled by rate-cut optimism, geopolitical turmoil and robust central bank demand.

Among other metals, spot silver was up 1.3% at $28.76 per ounce, platinum inched 0.1% higher to $938.34 and palladium firmed 1.1% to $975.50.