US Locks in Steep Tariff Hikes on Chinese Imports

Stacked containers and cranes are shown at the Port of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, California (AFP)
Stacked containers and cranes are shown at the Port of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, California (AFP)
TT

US Locks in Steep Tariff Hikes on Chinese Imports

Stacked containers and cranes are shown at the Port of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, California (AFP)
Stacked containers and cranes are shown at the Port of Los Angeles in Los Angeles, California (AFP)

The Biden administration on Friday locked in steep tariff hikes on Chinese imports, including a 100% duty on electric vehicles, to strengthen protections for strategic domestic industries from China's state-driven excess production capacity.

The US Trade Representative's office told Reuters that many of the tariffs, including a 100% duty on Chinese EVs, 50% on solar cells and 25% on steel, aluminium, EV batteries and key minerals, would go into effect on Sep 27.

The USTR determination showed a 50% duty on Chinese semiconductors, which now include two new categories - polysilicon used in solar panels and silicon wafers - are due to start in 2025.

Adjustments to the punitive “Section 301” tariffs on $18 billion worth of goods announced in May by President Joe Biden were minimal and disregarded auto industry pleas for lower tariffs on graphite and critical minerals needed for EV battery production because they are still too dependent on Chinese supplies.

USTR left unchanged the tariff increase to 25% from zero on lithium-ion batteries, minerals and components, with the increase for batteries for EVs taking effect Sep 27 and those for all other devices, including laptops and cell phones, on Jan 1, 2026.

Lael Brainard, the top White House economic adviser, told Reuters that the decision was made to ensure that the US EV industry diversifies away from China's dominant supply chain.

She said such “tough, targeted” tariffs are needed to counteract China's state-driven subsidies and technology transfer policies that have led to over-investment and excess production capacity.

But Washington is investing hundreds of billions of dollars worth of its own tax subsidies to develop domestic EV, solar and semiconductor sectors.

“The 100% tariff on electric vehicles here does reflect the very significant unfair cost advantage that Chinese electric vehicles in particular are using to dominate car markets at a breathtaking pace in other parts of the world,” Brainard said.

China has vowed retaliation against the “bullying” tariff hikes and argued that its EV industry's success is due to innovation, not government support.

The higher US tariffs take effect as Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are both courting voters in auto and steel producing states, trying to position themselves as tough on China ahead of the November presidential election.

Trump has vowed to impose 60% tariffs on all Chinese imports.

The European Union and Canada also have announced new import tariffs on Chinese EVs, the latter matching the 100% US duties.

The final tariff decision does provide some temporary relief for US port operators who were facing a new 25% tariff on massive ship-to-shore cranes, an industry that China dominates with no US producers.

The duty would add millions of dollars to the cost of each crane.

USTR said it will allow exclusions from the tariffs for any Chinese port cranes that were ordered prior to the May 14 initial tariff announcements, as long as they are delivered by May 14, 2026.

USTR raised tariffs to 50% on medical face masks and surgical gloves, from an initially proposed 2%, but delayed their start to allow a shift to non-Chinese suppliers.

The planned duty on Chinese syringes, which were in short supply during the COVID-19 pandemic, will immediately rise to 100% from a previously planned 50%, but USTR will allow a temporary exclusion for enteral syringes, used to feed infants, for a year.

The agency also said it will consider requests for tariff exclusions for five Chinese industrial machinery categories, including those for machinery for purifying or filtering liquids, industrial robots and printing machinery.

It will allow tariff exclusions for Chinese solar wafer and cell manufacturing equipment, but not for equipment used to make full solar modules.



European Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates Amid Sluggish Economic Growth, Cooling Inflation

European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde (AFP)
European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde (AFP)
TT

European Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates Amid Sluggish Economic Growth, Cooling Inflation

European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde (AFP)
European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde (AFP)

The European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday has cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point to 3.5% in response to falling Eurozone inflation and signs that the bloc’s economy risks grinding to a halt.

The decision came while ECB president Christine Lagarde warned that the recovery is continuing to face some headwinds.

She said Thursday’s decision to lower the benchmark deposit rate for the second time this year was “unanimously decided.”

The decision also comes less than a week before the Federal Reserve is widely tipped to begin loosening US monetary policy. The Bank of England, which has reduced rates once so far, meets a day later.

Experts forecast that the ECB will likely lower interest rates again in its upcoming two meetings this year.

The ECB cut once in June and then hit pause in July before going on summer break in August.

The rate-setting council led by Lagarde has to juggle concerns about a disappointing outlook for growth against – which argues for cuts – against the need to make sure inflation is going to reach the bank’s 2% target and stay there – which would support keeping rates higher for a bit longer.

Inflation in the 20 countries that use the euro currency fell to 2.2% in August, not far from the ECB’s 2% target, down from 10.6% at its peak in October 2022.

At her post-decision news conference, Lagarde said recent data had confirmed “our confidence that we are heading towards our target in a timely manner.”

Following Lagarde’s comments, the performance of euro to US Dollar rose about 0.27%, selling at 1.1041.

ECB Staff see headline inflation averaging 2.5% in 2024, 2.2% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026, as in the June projections.

Also, inflation is expected to rise again in the latter part of this year, partly because previous sharp falls in energy prices will drop out of the annual rates.

“Inflation should then decline towards our target over the second half of next year,” Lagarde said.

However, she declined to detail the bank's future rate-cutting path, only saying that decisions would be made “meeting by meeting” based on economic data, without committing to a fixed rate path.

Lagarde said, “We are determined to ensure that inflation returns to our two per cent medium-term target in a timely manner. We will keep policy rates sufficiently restrictive for as long as necessary to achieve this aim.”

She added that the ECB board will continue to follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determining the appropriate level and duration of restriction.

“In particular, our interest rate decisions will be based on our assessment of the inflation outlook in light of the incoming economic and financial data, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission. We are not pre-committing to a particular rate path,” the ECB President said.

Wage Growth

Lagarde said negotiated wage growth will remain high and volatile in 2025. However, overall labor costs are slowing, and the growth of compensation per employee is expected to markedly slow again next year.

She said staff expect unit labor cost growth to continue declining over the projection horizon owing to lower wage growth and a recovery in productivity.

Finally, profits are continuing to partially offset the inflationary effects of higher labor costs.

Lagarde noted that the labor market remains resilient. The unemployment rate was broadly unchanged in July, at 6.4%. At the same time, employment growth slowed to 0.2% in the second quarter, from 0.3% in the first.

Recent survey indicators point to a further moderation in demand for labor, and the job vacancy rate has fallen closer to pre-pandemic levels, the ECB president said.

According to survey indicators, Lagarde said the recovery is continuing to face some headwinds.

“We expect the recovery to strengthen over time, as rising real incomes allow households to consume more. The gradually fading effects of restrictive monetary policy should support consumption and investment,” she said.

ECB staff project that the economy will grow by 0.8% in 2024, rising to 1.3% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026. This is a slight downward revision compared with the June projections, mainly owing to a weaker contribution from domestic demand over the next few quarters.