Goldman Sachs, Citigroup Cut China's 2024 Growth Forecast

Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)
Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)
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Goldman Sachs, Citigroup Cut China's 2024 Growth Forecast

Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)
Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)

Goldman Sachs and Citigroup have lowered their full-year projections for China's economic growth to 4.7%, after the world's second-largest economy's industrial output slowed to a five-month low in August.

Weak economic activity in August has ramped up attention on China's slow economic recovery and highlighted the need for further stimulus measures to shore up demand.

The faltering growth has prompted global brokerages to scale back their 2024 projections to below government's target of around 5%.

Goldman Sachs earlier expected full-year growth for the economy at 4.9%, while Citigroup had forecast growth at 4.8%.

China's industrial output in August expanded 4.5% year-on-year, slowing from the 5.1% pace in July and marking the slowest growth since March, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Saturday.

Goldman Sachs said in a note dated Sept. 15, “We believe the risk that China will miss the 'around 5%' full-year GDP growth target is on the rise, and thus the urgency for more demand-side easing measures is also increasing.”

The bank maintained the country's 2025 GDP growth forecast at 4.3%.

However, Citigroup on Sunday trimmed its 2025 year-end forecast for China's GDP growth to 4.2% from 4.5% due to a lack of major catalysts for domestic demand.

“We believe fiscal policy needs to step up to so as to break the austerity trap and timely deploy growth support,” economists at Citigroup said.

In a separate development, PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) is making “tangible investments” to ensure the Big Four firm has high quality and sustainable business in China, it said in a memo to staff after Chinese regulators on Friday hit the company's mainland unit with a record penalty.

PwC Zhong Tian LLP was hit with a six-month suspension and a record fine of 441 million yuan ($62 million) on Friday over the firm's audit of failed property developer China Evergrande Group .



Lebanon Appoints Karim Souaid as New Central Bank Governor

A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir/File Photo
A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir/File Photo
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Lebanon Appoints Karim Souaid as New Central Bank Governor

A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir/File Photo
A woman walks outside of Lebanon's Central Bank building in Beirut, Lebanon March 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir/File Photo

Lebanon on Thursday named asset manager Karim Souaid as its new central bank governor. He will be expected to restructure the banking sector and fairly distribute losses from Lebanon's 2019 financial collapse, which erased the savings of ordinary Lebanese, tanked the currency and sparked an economic crisis.

In announcing Souaid's appointment, Prime Minister Nawaf Salam urged the new governor to focus on talks with the International Monetary Fund, restructuring banks, tightening banking secrecy laws and prioritizing depositors' rights.

"The governor, whoever he is and whatever the reservations about his selection, must commit from today to the financial policies of our reformist government," Salam said following a cabinet vote on the appointment.

Souaid, who holds a degree from Harvard Law School and founded asset management firm GrowthGate Capital in 2007, won the support of 17 ministers in the 24-member cabinet, two sources with direct knowledge of the vote told Reuters.

Salam and President Joseph Aoun have both pledged to prioritize reforms to help secure funds desperately needed to kickstart the economy and rebuild the country following the recent war between Israel and Hezbollah.

But they were split over who to appoint as central bank governor, with Aoun backing Souaid and Salam against him, according to two Lebanese government officials, two sources familiar with the dispute and a Western diplomat.

The incoming governor will replace interim chief Wassim Mansouri, who has been overseeing the bank since longer-serving governor Riad Salameh's tenure ended in disgrace in 2023 due to the financial implosion.

In the wake of the crisis, Lebanon was placed on a financial watchdog's "grey list" for failing to address concerns about terrorism financing and money laundering through its financial system.