Goldman Sachs, Citigroup Cut China's 2024 Growth Forecast

Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)
Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)
TT

Goldman Sachs, Citigroup Cut China's 2024 Growth Forecast

Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)
Citizens in the Chinese city of Shanghai follow repairs to power line in the aftermath of Typhoon Bebinca in Shanghai, China (AFP)

Goldman Sachs and Citigroup have lowered their full-year projections for China's economic growth to 4.7%, after the world's second-largest economy's industrial output slowed to a five-month low in August.

Weak economic activity in August has ramped up attention on China's slow economic recovery and highlighted the need for further stimulus measures to shore up demand.

The faltering growth has prompted global brokerages to scale back their 2024 projections to below government's target of around 5%.

Goldman Sachs earlier expected full-year growth for the economy at 4.9%, while Citigroup had forecast growth at 4.8%.

China's industrial output in August expanded 4.5% year-on-year, slowing from the 5.1% pace in July and marking the slowest growth since March, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Saturday.

Goldman Sachs said in a note dated Sept. 15, “We believe the risk that China will miss the 'around 5%' full-year GDP growth target is on the rise, and thus the urgency for more demand-side easing measures is also increasing.”

The bank maintained the country's 2025 GDP growth forecast at 4.3%.

However, Citigroup on Sunday trimmed its 2025 year-end forecast for China's GDP growth to 4.2% from 4.5% due to a lack of major catalysts for domestic demand.

“We believe fiscal policy needs to step up to so as to break the austerity trap and timely deploy growth support,” economists at Citigroup said.

In a separate development, PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) is making “tangible investments” to ensure the Big Four firm has high quality and sustainable business in China, it said in a memo to staff after Chinese regulators on Friday hit the company's mainland unit with a record penalty.

PwC Zhong Tian LLP was hit with a six-month suspension and a record fine of 441 million yuan ($62 million) on Friday over the firm's audit of failed property developer China Evergrande Group .



Saudi Minister of Commerce Meets with British Counterpart to Strengthen Trade Ties

The Saudi and British delegations meet in Riyadh. (SPA)
The Saudi and British delegations meet in Riyadh. (SPA)
TT

Saudi Minister of Commerce Meets with British Counterpart to Strengthen Trade Ties

The Saudi and British delegations meet in Riyadh. (SPA)
The Saudi and British delegations meet in Riyadh. (SPA)

Saudi Minister of Commerce and Chairman of the Economic and Social Committee of the Saudi-British Strategic Partnership Council Dr. Majid Al-Qasabi held talks in Riyadh on Monday with British Secretary of State for Business and Trade Jonathan Reynolds and his delegation.

The meeting reviewed Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030, as well as economic and development reforms. Discussions focused on boosting economic partnerships in priority sectors, encouraging British companies to expand their operations in Saudi Arabia, and promoting the growth of startups in research and innovation-driven sectors.

This marks Reynolds' first official foreign visit since assuming office in July, reflecting ongoing efforts to strengthen economic ties between Saudi Arabia and Britain.

The goal is to boost mutual trade and investment across several promising sectors, aligning with the vision of the Saudi-British Strategic Partnership Council, chaired by Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Crown Prince and Prime Minister of Saudi Arabia, and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

Al-Qasabi highlighted the progress of 79 initiatives across 13 economic sectors to strengthen the Saudi-British partnership. He noted that bilateral trade between the two countries grew by more than 30% from 2018 to 2023, reaching $103 billion. Currently, 1,139 British investors operate in Saudi Arabia, benefiting from recent economic and business reforms.

Riyadh previously hosted the GREAT Futures Initiative Conference in May, a key event under the Saudi-British Strategic Partnership Council. The conference attracted around 450 British business leaders and facilitated over 20 bilateral ministerial meetings, resulting in the signing of 13 agreements.

Following the meeting, Reynolds was introduced to the Saudi Center for Economic Business, where he learned about the services provided to facilitate business operations in the Kingdom.