UAE, Japan Launch Talks to Reach Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement

This handout picture provided by the UAE Presidential Court shows UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed  Al Nahyan bidding farewell to the Egyptian foreign minister after their meeting during the latter's visit, at Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi on September 8, 2024. (Photo by Ryan CARTER / UAE PRESIDENTIAL COURT / AFP)
This handout picture provided by the UAE Presidential Court shows UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan bidding farewell to the Egyptian foreign minister after their meeting during the latter's visit, at Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi on September 8, 2024. (Photo by Ryan CARTER / UAE PRESIDENTIAL COURT / AFP)
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UAE, Japan Launch Talks to Reach Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement

This handout picture provided by the UAE Presidential Court shows UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed  Al Nahyan bidding farewell to the Egyptian foreign minister after their meeting during the latter's visit, at Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi on September 8, 2024. (Photo by Ryan CARTER / UAE PRESIDENTIAL COURT / AFP)
This handout picture provided by the UAE Presidential Court shows UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan bidding farewell to the Egyptian foreign minister after their meeting during the latter's visit, at Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi on September 8, 2024. (Photo by Ryan CARTER / UAE PRESIDENTIAL COURT / AFP)

UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan said Wednesday that relations between the UAE and Japan are built on a long history of strategic cooperation across various fields.

He expressed hope that these ties will be further bolstered by the launch of talks towards a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, which will foster new avenues for collaboration and support the sustainable economic growth of both nations and their people.

The launch of the talks reflects a mutual commitment to elevate the two countries’ relationship to new levels of cooperation, said the President. He noted that, by facilitating investment and supporting innovation, the agreement will play an important role in the nation’s economic diversification efforts, while also providing more opportunities for collaboration between the business communities of both countries.

In a post on his X account, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida highlighted the significance of the commencement of CEPA negotiations

“I expect that the conclusion of an ambitious, balanced, and comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement between Japan and the UAE, in addition to the Japan-GCC Free Trade Agreement, whose negotiations will proceed in parallel with the Japan-UAE negotiations, will contribute to the strengthening of economic relations and other fields between the two countries,” he said.



EBRD: War and Weather Weigh on Economic Growth Again

A man walks past destruction caused by Israeli airstrikes in the Masaken neighborhood on the outskirts of Tyre, Lebanon on September 26, 2024.  (Photo by Hassan FNEICH / AFP)
A man walks past destruction caused by Israeli airstrikes in the Masaken neighborhood on the outskirts of Tyre, Lebanon on September 26, 2024. (Photo by Hassan FNEICH / AFP)
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EBRD: War and Weather Weigh on Economic Growth Again

A man walks past destruction caused by Israeli airstrikes in the Masaken neighborhood on the outskirts of Tyre, Lebanon on September 26, 2024.  (Photo by Hassan FNEICH / AFP)
A man walks past destruction caused by Israeli airstrikes in the Masaken neighborhood on the outskirts of Tyre, Lebanon on September 26, 2024. (Photo by Hassan FNEICH / AFP)

War and extreme weather are weighing on economic growth in countries covered by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), the bank said in a semi-annual report released on Thursday.

The downward revision to 2.8% GDP growth this year and 3.5% in 2025 is a small change, shaving off 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points respectively. But it is the second downward adjustment for the lender's region, which covers emerging Europe, central Asia, the Middle East and Africa.

"Travelling through European cities, I see that the mood is very much down," EBRD Chief Economist Beata Javorcik told Reuters, adding that Europe was grappling with expanding conflicts and high energy costs.

"There is a sense that Europe (is in) some crisis."

While energy prices have moderated since their spike after Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Europe's gas prices are five times higher than those in the United States, the report showed.

Stagnating mining output in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, the conflict in Gaza and Lebanon, and severe droughts in Morocco and Tunisia are also clipping growth, it said.

Javorcik said Chinese stimulus measures could boost commodity-exporting EBRD countries, and that trade barriers had led Beijing to pour billions into Hungary, Serbia and Morocco - foreign direct investment that could rise further if global trade policy blocks more imports from China.

But Javorcik said the expanding crisis in the Middle East - with Israel bombing Hezbollah targets in Lebanon - would deepen Lebanon's political and economic crisis.

"It is quite likely that countries that are in proximity to the conflict in the Middle East will see an increase in the risk premium, so their borrowing costs will be higher," she said.

The EBRD also shaved 1.3 percentage points off Ukraine's expected growth in 2025, to 4.7% due to attacks on energy infrastructure, and said they could also cause inflation to accelerate.

"Imported electricity is more expensive, so it increases the cost. Moreover, there are blackouts, rolling blackouts... That's going to be detrimental for energy-intensive industries."

In Russia, though, the EBRD said growth of 4.7% outpaced expectations in the first half of 2024, driven in part by oil export prices that increased by more than 10% year-on-year.

EBRD analysis showed that the discount that importers paid for Russian oil, which once stood at $20 per barrel, had disappeared, casting doubt on the effectiveness of Western price caps.

"Sanctions are working but they are working slowly," Javorcik said. "It's an effect that is cumulative... and it is going to be slowing down Russia's productivity."