Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in over four years at its meeting on Wednesday, a dramatic shift after more than two years of high rates helped tame inflation but that also made borrowing painfully expensive for consumers.
As the Fed and other central banks around the world lower rates, emerging markets could benefit from this shift in policy.
Historically, lower rates in advanced economies make emerging markets more attractive by encouraging capital inflows, boosting economic growth, and supporting investments in key sectors like infrastructure and technology.
Rate cuts usually reduce borrowing costs, which can help emerging market governments and companies by making it cheaper to access capital for expansion and easing debt repayment pressures.
Additionally, low rates in places like the US and EU often drive global investors to seek higher returns in faster-growing markets, increasing demand for emerging market assets.
Emerging economies can also benefit from greater currency stability as capital inflows strengthen their balance of payments, which helps stabilize inflation and make essential imports like food and energy more affordable.
Lower rates can also support domestic spending, boosting demand for local goods and services.
Saudi Arabia is emerging as one of the world’s most attractive markets as global interest rates decline. The kingdom’s dynamic economy and ongoing reforms position it well to take advantage of cheaper borrowing costs and support long-term sustainable growth.
According to Arun Leslie John, Chief Market Analyst at Century Financial, the outlook for Saudi Arabia is very positive compared to global trends, driven by strong growth in non-oil sectors and government efforts to attract foreign investment.
John told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries, whose currencies are tied to the US dollar, are expected to benefit from upcoming rate cuts, which will lower financing costs, boost liquidity, and encourage both spending and investment in the region.
These favorable conditions could speed up economic growth, boost stock prices, and make Saudi Arabia an even more attractive investment destination, he said.
Saudi Arabia aims to attract over $100 billion in annual Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) by 2030, a goal that seems achievable with the current easing of monetary policy, John added.
John also expects Saudi banks to benefit from lower interest rates by the end of 2024, which will be crucial for supporting lending and the government’s diversification plans.



China Mulls Draft Law to Promote Private Sector Development

A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
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China Mulls Draft Law to Promote Private Sector Development

A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)
A Chinese national flag flutters on a financial street in Beijing. (Reuters)

Chinese lawmakers are deliberating a draft of the country's first basic law specifically focused on the development of the private sector, the country’s Xinhua news agency reported.

“The law will be conducive to creating a law-based environment that is favorable to the growth of all economic sectors, including the private sector,” said Justice Minister He Rong, while explaining the draft on Saturday during the ongoing session of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, the national legislature.

The draft private sector promotion law covers areas such as fair competition, investment and financing environments, scientific and technological innovation, regulatory guidance, service support, rights and interests protection and legal liabilities.

The draft has incorporated suggestions solicited from representatives of the private sector, experts, scholars and the general public, the minister said.

China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged as expected at the monthly fixing on Friday.

Persistent deflationary pressure and tepid credit demand call for more stimulus to aid the broad economy, but narrowing interest margin on the back of fast falling yields and a weakening yuan limit the scope for immediate monetary easing.

The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.10%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged at 3.60%.

In a Reuters poll of 27 market participants conducted this week, all respondents expected both rates to stay unchanged.

Morgan Stanley said in a note that the 2025 budget deficit and mix are more positive than expected and suggest Beijing is willing to set a high growth target and record fiscal budget to boost market confidence, but further policy details are unlikely before March.

Last Friday, data released by the country's central bank said total assets of China's financial institutions had risen to 489.15 trillion yuan (about $68.03 trillion) by the end of third quarter this year.

The figure represented a year-on-year increase of 8%, said the People's Bank of China.

Of the total, the assets of the banking sector reached 439.52 trillion yuan, up 7.3% year on year, while the assets of securities institutions rose 8.7% year on year to 14.64 trillion yuan.

The insurance sector's assets jumped 18.3% year on year to 35 trillion yuan, the data showed.

The liabilities of the financial institutions totaled 446.51 trillion yuan, up 8% year on year, according to the central bank.

Separately, data released by the National Energy Administration on Thursday showed that China's electricity consumption, a key barometer of economic activity, rose by 7.1% year on year in the first 11months of the year.

During the period, power consumption of the country's primary industries increased by 6.8% year on year, while that of its secondary and tertiary sectors rose by 5.3% and 10.4%, respectively.

Residential power usage saw strong growth of 11.6% during this period, the administration said.

In November alone, power usage climbed 2.8% from one year earlier, according to the data.