Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT
20

Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in over four years at its meeting on Wednesday, a dramatic shift after more than two years of high rates helped tame inflation but that also made borrowing painfully expensive for consumers.
As the Fed and other central banks around the world lower rates, emerging markets could benefit from this shift in policy.
Historically, lower rates in advanced economies make emerging markets more attractive by encouraging capital inflows, boosting economic growth, and supporting investments in key sectors like infrastructure and technology.
Rate cuts usually reduce borrowing costs, which can help emerging market governments and companies by making it cheaper to access capital for expansion and easing debt repayment pressures.
Additionally, low rates in places like the US and EU often drive global investors to seek higher returns in faster-growing markets, increasing demand for emerging market assets.
Emerging economies can also benefit from greater currency stability as capital inflows strengthen their balance of payments, which helps stabilize inflation and make essential imports like food and energy more affordable.
Lower rates can also support domestic spending, boosting demand for local goods and services.
Saudi Arabia is emerging as one of the world’s most attractive markets as global interest rates decline. The kingdom’s dynamic economy and ongoing reforms position it well to take advantage of cheaper borrowing costs and support long-term sustainable growth.
According to Arun Leslie John, Chief Market Analyst at Century Financial, the outlook for Saudi Arabia is very positive compared to global trends, driven by strong growth in non-oil sectors and government efforts to attract foreign investment.
John told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries, whose currencies are tied to the US dollar, are expected to benefit from upcoming rate cuts, which will lower financing costs, boost liquidity, and encourage both spending and investment in the region.
These favorable conditions could speed up economic growth, boost stock prices, and make Saudi Arabia an even more attractive investment destination, he said.
Saudi Arabia aims to attract over $100 billion in annual Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) by 2030, a goal that seems achievable with the current easing of monetary policy, John added.
John also expects Saudi banks to benefit from lower interest rates by the end of 2024, which will be crucial for supporting lending and the government’s diversification plans.



Oil Rises on Rebound in China's Imports, But Trade War Concerns Persist

Representation photo: Pumpjacks are seen in oilfields along Highway 33, known as the Petroleum Highway, west of Buttonwillow, Kern County, California on April 9, 2025. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)
Representation photo: Pumpjacks are seen in oilfields along Highway 33, known as the Petroleum Highway, west of Buttonwillow, Kern County, California on April 9, 2025. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)
TT
20

Oil Rises on Rebound in China's Imports, But Trade War Concerns Persist

Representation photo: Pumpjacks are seen in oilfields along Highway 33, known as the Petroleum Highway, west of Buttonwillow, Kern County, California on April 9, 2025. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)
Representation photo: Pumpjacks are seen in oilfields along Highway 33, known as the Petroleum Highway, west of Buttonwillow, Kern County, California on April 9, 2025. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)

Oil prices edged up on Monday after Chinese data showed a sharp rebound in crude imports in March, although concerns that the escalating trade war between the United States and China would weaken global economic growth and dent fuel demand weighed.
Brent crude futures gained 6 cents, or 0.09%, to $64.82 a barrel at 0632 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were trading at $61.59 a barrel, up 9 cents, or 0.15%.
China's crude oil imports in March rebounded sharply from the previous two months and were up nearly 5% from a year earlier, data showed on Monday, boosted by a surge in Iranian oil and a rebound in Russian oil deliveries.
However, Brent and WTI have lost about $10 a barrel since the start of the month, and analysts have been revising down their oil price forecasts as the trade war between the world's two largest economies has intensified.
Goldman Sachs expects Brent to average $63 and WTI to average $59 for the remainder of 2025 and sees Brent averaging $58 and WTI $55 in 2026.
It sees global oil demand in the fourth quarter of 2025 rising by just 300,000 barrels per day year-on-year, "given the weak growth outlook," analysts led by Daan Struyven said in a note, adding that the demand slowdown is expected to be the sharpest for petrochemical feedstocks.
BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, cut its Brent price forecast to $68 from $76 a barrel for 2025 as it expects slowing economic activity to erode demand.
The Brent price spread between December 2025 and December 2026 has also flipped into contango as investors priced in oversupply and demand concerns, BMI said. In a contango market, front-month prices are lower than those in future months, indicating no shortage of supply.
Beijing increased its tariffs on US imports to 125% on Friday, hitting back against President Donald Trump's decision to raise duties on Chinese goods and raising the stakes in a trade war that threatens to upend global supply chains.
Trump on Saturday granted exclusions from steep tariffs on smartphones, computers and some other electronics largely imported from China, but on Sunday he said he would be announcing the tariff rate on imported semiconductors over the next week.
The trade war has heightened worries that unsold exports could continue driving domestic Chinese prices down.
"Inflation data from China were a window into an economy that is not in shape for a trade fight. Consumer prices fell for a second month in a row in year-on-year terms, while producer prices chalked up their 30% straight fall," Moody's Analytics said in a weekly note, referring to data released on April 10.
As companies prepare for a possible decline in demand, US energy firms last week cut oil rigs by the most in a week since June 2023, lowering the total oil and natural gas rig count for a third consecutive week, according to Baker Hughes.
Potentially supporting oil prices, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Friday that the United States could stop Iran's oil exports as part of Trump's plan to pressure Tehran over its nuclear program.
Both countries held "positive" and "constructive" talks in Oman on Saturday and agreed to reconvene next week in a dialogue meant to address Tehran's escalating nuclear program, officials said over the weekend.
"This may help remove some of the sanction risk affecting the oil market, particularly if talks keep on moving in the right direction," ING analysts led by Warren Paterson said in a note.