Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Expected to Become More Attractive after Interest Rate Cuts

The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The kingdom aims to achieve an annual foreign direct investment inflow of over $100 billion (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in over four years at its meeting on Wednesday, a dramatic shift after more than two years of high rates helped tame inflation but that also made borrowing painfully expensive for consumers.
As the Fed and other central banks around the world lower rates, emerging markets could benefit from this shift in policy.
Historically, lower rates in advanced economies make emerging markets more attractive by encouraging capital inflows, boosting economic growth, and supporting investments in key sectors like infrastructure and technology.
Rate cuts usually reduce borrowing costs, which can help emerging market governments and companies by making it cheaper to access capital for expansion and easing debt repayment pressures.
Additionally, low rates in places like the US and EU often drive global investors to seek higher returns in faster-growing markets, increasing demand for emerging market assets.
Emerging economies can also benefit from greater currency stability as capital inflows strengthen their balance of payments, which helps stabilize inflation and make essential imports like food and energy more affordable.
Lower rates can also support domestic spending, boosting demand for local goods and services.
Saudi Arabia is emerging as one of the world’s most attractive markets as global interest rates decline. The kingdom’s dynamic economy and ongoing reforms position it well to take advantage of cheaper borrowing costs and support long-term sustainable growth.
According to Arun Leslie John, Chief Market Analyst at Century Financial, the outlook for Saudi Arabia is very positive compared to global trends, driven by strong growth in non-oil sectors and government efforts to attract foreign investment.
John told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries, whose currencies are tied to the US dollar, are expected to benefit from upcoming rate cuts, which will lower financing costs, boost liquidity, and encourage both spending and investment in the region.
These favorable conditions could speed up economic growth, boost stock prices, and make Saudi Arabia an even more attractive investment destination, he said.
Saudi Arabia aims to attract over $100 billion in annual Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) by 2030, a goal that seems achievable with the current easing of monetary policy, John added.
John also expects Saudi banks to benefit from lower interest rates by the end of 2024, which will be crucial for supporting lending and the government’s diversification plans.



Oil Regains Ground after 2% Drop

FILE PHOTO: The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024.  REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
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Oil Regains Ground after 2% Drop

FILE PHOTO: The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024.  REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo

Oil prices recovered some losses on Thursday after falling nearly 2% in the previous session, with investors weighing a potential OPEC+ output increase against conflicting tariff signals from the White House and ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks.
Brent crude futures were up 53 cents, or 0.8%, to $66.65 a barrel at 0706 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 55 cents, or 0.88%, to $62.82 a barrel.
Prices had settled down 2% in the previous trading session after Reuters reported that several OPEC+ members would suggest the group accelerate oil output increases for a second month in June, citing three sources familiar with the OPEC+ talks.
Signs that the US and China could be moving closer to trade talks supported prices. The Wall Street Journal reported that the White House would be willing to lower its tariffs on China to as low as 50% in order to open up negotiations.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday that current import tariffs - of 145% on Chinese products headed into the US and 125% on US products headed into China - were not sustainable and would have to come down before trade talks between the two sides could begin. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt later told Fox News, however, that there would be no unilateral reduction in tariffs on goods from China.
Rystad Energy analysts say a prolonged US-China trade war could cut China's oil demand growth in half this year to 90,000 barrels per day from 180,000 bpd.
Trump is also mulling tariff exemptions on car part imports from China, the Financial Times reported on Wednesday.
Potentially putting downward pressure on oil prices, the US and Iran will hold a third round of talks this weekend on a possible deal to reimpose restraints on Tehran's uranium enrichment program. The market is watching the talks for any sign that a US-Iran rapprochement could lead to the easing of sanctions on Iranian oil and boost supply.
But the US on Tuesday put fresh sanctions on Iran's energy sector, which Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson said showed a "lack of goodwill and seriousness" over dialogue with Tehran.