Rising Geopolitical Tensions Driving Up Israel’s Cost of Insuring Sovereign Debt

A man holds an Israeli flag as he stands in front of a large picture of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Reuters)
A man holds an Israeli flag as he stands in front of a large picture of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Reuters)
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Rising Geopolitical Tensions Driving Up Israel’s Cost of Insuring Sovereign Debt

A man holds an Israeli flag as he stands in front of a large picture of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Reuters)
A man holds an Israeli flag as he stands in front of a large picture of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Reuters)

Israel's economic concerns are growing amid rising geopolitical tensions and ongoing military conflicts, reflecting the profound impact of these crises on various vital sectors.
Recent data indicates that the cost of insuring Israel’s debt against default has risen to unprecedented levels.
This cost hit its highest levels since the wake of the October 7 Hamas attack last year, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence showed.
Israel's five-year credit default swaps (CDS) have risen to 149 basis points, from Friday’s close to 146 points, the highest level since Oct. 23 last year, according to Reuters.
A credit default swap is a financial instrument that allows an investor to transfer credit risk to another party, acting similar in nature to an insurance contract.
This CDS value translates to an implied probability of default of 2.41%, based on a presumed recovery rate of 40%.
The recovery rate represents the percentage of the bond's face value that investors expect to recover in the event of a default.
Meanwhile, Israel's tech sector has remained resilient during a year-long war with Hamas but as it relies on large companies and foreign investment, the sector faces funding uncertainty that could harm the broader economy, a government report showed on Monday.
Since the war began on Oct. 7, Israeli tech firms raised some $9 billion - third behind Silicon Valley and New York, according to the state-funded Israel Innovation Authority (IIA).
“The level of investment was pretty much the same as the same period before the war,” Dror Bin, CEO of the IIA, told Reuters.
“So despite the fact that risk went up for investments in Israel, they still see the potential of those startups, and they continue to invest in them,” he added.
High-tech drives Israel's economy and accounts for 16% of employment, more than half of Israel's exports, a third of income taxes and 20% of its overall economic output.

 



Saudi Crown Prince Orders Measures to Balance Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA
Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA
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Saudi Crown Prince Orders Measures to Balance Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA
Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA

Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman has issued directives for a series of comprehensive measures aimed at stabilizing land and rental prices in Riyadh, following an in-depth study by the Royal Commission for Riyadh City.

The Crown Prince’s directives are in response to the significant surge in land and rental prices witnessed in recent years. The measures are designed to achieve balance in the real estate sector and increase access to affordable housing.

As part of the initiative, the Crown Prince ordered the lifting of restrictions on land transactions — including sales, purchases, subdivisions, and construction permits — in two key northern areas of Riyadh.

The first spans 17 square kilometers, bounded by King Khalid Road and Prince Mohammed bin Saad Road to the west, Prince Saud bin Abdullah bin Jalawi Road to the south, Asmaa bint Malik Street to the north, and Al-Arid District to the east.

The second covers 16.2 square kilometers north of King Salman Road, bordered by Abi Bakr Al-Siddiq Road and Al-Arid District to the east, Prince Khalid bin Bandar Road to the north, and Al-Qirawan District to the west.

These areas are in addition to previously released areas totaling 48.28 square kilometers, bringing the total area released for development to 81.48 square kilometers.

The Crown Prince also instructed the Royal Commission for Riyadh City to provide between 10,000 and 40,000 fully planned and developed residential plots annually over the next five years, based on market demand.

These plots will be offered at prices not exceeding SAR1,500 per square meter to eligible Saudi citizens — specifically, married individuals or those aged 25 and above with no previous property ownership.

Conditions include a ten-year restriction on selling, renting, or mortgaging the land — except for loans to build on it. If construction is not completed within the decade, the land will be reclaimed and its value refunded.

Additional measures include the rapid implementation of proposed amendments to the White Land Tax Law within 60 days to enhance real estate supply, and regulatory actions within 90 days to ensure fair and balanced relationships between landlords and tenants.

Finally, the General Real Estate Authority and the Royal Commission for Riyadh City have been tasked with monitoring real estate prices in the capital and submitting regular reports to ensure transparency and market stability.