Gold Eyes Best Quarter in over Eight Years

A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
TT

Gold Eyes Best Quarter in over Eight Years

A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)
A participant shows gold bars during the 21st edition of the international gold and jewelry exhibition at the Kuwait International Fairgrounds in Kuwait City on May 23, 2024. (Photo by Yasser AL ZAYYAT / AFP)

Gold halted its record run on Friday but remained on track for its best quarter since 2016 after a rally catalysed by an outsized US Federal Reserve interest rate cut, while markets braced themselves for a crucial inflation report due later in the day.

Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,666.50 per ounce as of 1115 GMT, below the all-time peak of $2,685.42 hit in the previous session. It is heading for its best quarter since the first three months of 2016.

US gold futures fell 0.2% to $2,688.90, Reuters reported.

"The market at this point in time has priced in all the good news and there's also some hesitancy from fresh buyers to get involved at these record high levels," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

Bullion has risen 29% so far this year, hitting successive record peaks after last week's half-percentage-point cut by the Federal Reserve and the stimulus measures announced by China earlier this week.

Silver prices surged, tracking bullion's strong performance, though some analysts warn that the rally may fade.

"Overall, industrial demand is still supportive for silver. But we need to have a stronger economic performance in China as well as in other developed countries," said ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari.

The surge in silver prices is more a spillover impact from gold, Kumari said.

Spot silver eased 0.1% to $31.98 per ounce, after hitting its highest since December 2012 at $32.71 on Thursday. It is set for a third straight week of gains.

"I do believe silver will continue to outperform gold. But as we all know, wherever gold goes, silver tends to go, but faster," Hansen added.

Both gold and silver serve as safe-haven investments, but the latter has more industrial applications, so tends to underperform during recessions and outperform when economies expand.

Inflows into gold exchange-traded funds, particularly from Western investors, are set to rise in coming months, adding yet more positive stimulus for already record high bullion prices. Some banks expect gold to rise towards $3,000.

In other metals, platinum was up 0.5% at $1,012.40 but palladium fell nearly 1.5% to $1,031.75.



Putin: Russia to Continue Cooperation with OPEC+

Russian President Vladimir Putin speaking at the Russian Energy Week forum in Moscow on Thursday (EPA)
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaking at the Russian Energy Week forum in Moscow on Thursday (EPA)
TT

Putin: Russia to Continue Cooperation with OPEC+

Russian President Vladimir Putin speaking at the Russian Energy Week forum in Moscow on Thursday (EPA)
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaking at the Russian Energy Week forum in Moscow on Thursday (EPA)

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday that his country will continue to develop cooperation with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies known as OPEC+, as well as members of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF).

Putin also said Russia is fulfilling its obligations to supply energy resources to the global market.

The Russian President was speaking at the Russian Energy Week before a panel of top ministers from OPEC+ called the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee is scheduled to meet on Oct. 2 to review the market and is not expected to make any changes to policy.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told Reuters on Thursday that there were no changes to OPEC+ plans to start phasing out oil production cuts from December.

OPEC+, which groups OPEC members and allies such as Russia, is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day in December. Iraq and Kazakhstan have pledged to cut 123,000 bpd in September to compensate for earlier pumping above agreed levels.

OPEC+ sources told Reuters on Thursday that the producer group is set to go ahead with a December oil output increase because its impact will be small should a plan for some members to make larger cuts to compensate for overproduction be delivered in September and later months.

Speaking at the Russian Energy Week, Putin said on Thursday, “Russia is fulfilling its obligations to supply energy resources to the global market. It plays a stabilizing role in it, participating in such authoritative formats as OPEC+, and the GECF.”

He added: “And we will certainly continue this cooperation with our partners.”

Putin praised cooperation with the BRICS group of countries, which Moscow sees as a counterbalance to the West, adding that Russia will continue cooperation with the OPEC+ oil producers.

Putin also acknowledged difficulties in payments for Russian energy exports, for which “friendly” counries, which have not introduced sanctions against Russia, account for 90%.

Russian oil and gas sales account for around a third of total state budget revenues and have been crucial for underpinning country's economy, which faces multiple sanctions from the West over the military conflict with Ukraine.

Meanwhile, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told reporters on the sidelines of Russian Energy Week that all countries participating in the OPEC+ deal are currently in full compliance with their respective obligations, Russian, according to the Interfax news agency.

He said Russia aims to be producing 540 million tons of oil per year by 2050 in the baseline scenario, but this amount might be adjusted depending on the country's obligations within OPEC+.

“Indeed, 540 million tons is the baseline scenario for which we're aiming [for oil output by 2050], but with a caveat taking into account cooperation with our partners in OPEC+. We have no objective to flood the market if it does not require this. But [it also works] the other way, to give the market additional resources if this is required,” Russian Deputy Energy Minister Pavel Sorokin said.

He said Russia is not worried about potential growth of demand in the period to 2030 or the period to 2050.

“In our view, it's fairly substantial. It's at least 5 million-7 million bpd, meaning about 4.5%-5.5% from current consumption to 2030. Subsequently, we're talking about around 5% additional growth to 2050,” Sorokin said.