Japan's Incoming PM Ishiba Calls for Loose Monetary Policy

Shigeru Ishiba, the newly elected leader of Japan's ruling party, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) poses in the party leader's office after the LDP leadership election, in Tokyo, Japan September 27, 2024. REUTERS
Shigeru Ishiba, the newly elected leader of Japan's ruling party, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) poses in the party leader's office after the LDP leadership election, in Tokyo, Japan September 27, 2024. REUTERS
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Japan's Incoming PM Ishiba Calls for Loose Monetary Policy

Shigeru Ishiba, the newly elected leader of Japan's ruling party, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) poses in the party leader's office after the LDP leadership election, in Tokyo, Japan September 27, 2024. REUTERS
Shigeru Ishiba, the newly elected leader of Japan's ruling party, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) poses in the party leader's office after the LDP leadership election, in Tokyo, Japan September 27, 2024. REUTERS

Japan's incoming prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, said on Sunday the country's monetary policy must remain accommodative as a trend, signaling the need to keep borrowing costs low to underpin a fragile economic recovery.
It was not immediately clear whether Ishiba, who had been a vocal critic of the Bank of Japan's past aggressive monetary easing, was taking a more dovish line with his remarks.
“It's something the Bank of Japan, which is mandated to achieve price stability, will decide while working closely with the government,” Ishiba told public broadcaster NHK, when asked about further interest rate increases by the central bank.
“From the government's standpoint, monetary policy must remain accommodative as a trend given current economic conditions,” he said.
On fiscal policy, Ishiba said he will aim to compile a package of measures at an early date to cushion the economic blow from rising living costs, with a focus on helping low-income households.
Ishiba, a former defense minister, is set to become prime minister on Tuesday after winning the presidency of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party on Friday.
After his victory, Ishiba said monetary policy would broadly remain loose but suggested he would not push back against further increases in still near-zero interest rates.
The BOJ ended negative interest rates in March and raised short-term borrowing costs to 0.25% in July in a landmark shift away from a decade-long, radical stimulus program.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda has signaled a readiness to raise rates further if Japan makes progress towards durably achieving the bank's inflation 2% target, as the board projects it will.
Ishiba told Reuters in August that the BOJ was on the “right policy track” by ending negative rates and endorsed further normalization of monetary policy, saying it could boost industrial competitiveness.
But in an interview this month, he said Japan must prioritize making a full exit from deflation and warned of weak signs in consumption.
The yen, which fell on Friday on news that a dovish rival would join Ishiba in a run-off for the LDP leadership, rebounded on his victory.

 



S&P Upgrades Oman’s Credit Rating with 'Stable Outlook'

A gas production field in the Sultanate of Oman. (Reuters)
A gas production field in the Sultanate of Oman. (Reuters)
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S&P Upgrades Oman’s Credit Rating with 'Stable Outlook'

A gas production field in the Sultanate of Oman. (Reuters)
A gas production field in the Sultanate of Oman. (Reuters)

Global credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) upgraded Oman’s credit rating to ‘BBB-’ with a stable outlook, hoping the country’s public finances will continue to strengthen.
“The outlook on the long-term ratings is stable,” the agency said.
The stable outlook balances the potential benefits of the government's fiscal and economic reform program against the economy's structural susceptibility to adverse oil price shocks.
S&P also noted that Oman’s fiscal position remains highly dependent on oil price movements, but resilience against shocks has strengthened.
Oil prices settled higher on Friday but fell on the week as investors weighed expectations for higher global supply against fresh stimulus from top crude importer China.
Brent crude futures settled up 38 cents, or 0.53%, at $71.89 per barrel. Front-month US West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled up 51 cents, or 0.75%, at $68.18.
On a weekly basis, Brent settled down around 3%, while WTI fell by around 5%.
In early May, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said Oman’s near- to medium-term outlook is favorable and risks to the outlook are broadly balanced.
It expressed hope that a decline in oil prices and economic reforms would continue in the medium term.
On Saturday, S&P expressed optimism it could raise Oman’s ratings over the next two years if reforms lead to steady growth in Oman's GDP per capita supported by continued momentum in non-oil growth.
It then expected the government's fiscal and economic reform momentum will continue over 2024-2027 on condition of reducing external debt levels and accumulating liquid assets.
Last week, the Central Bank of Oman (CBO) reduced its repo rate for local banks by 50 basis points, bringing it down to 5.5% in line with other Gulf central banks’ decisions to cut their key interest rates after the Federal Reserve decreased US rates by half a percentage point.
S&P said it anticipates that the CBO will continue following the US Federal Reserve's interest rate policy.
The agency added, “We expect Oman will maintain its currency peg, supported by its accumulated government external assets of about 30% of GDP.”