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Saudi Arabia’s 2025 Budget Projects Revenues of $315.5 Bn

The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia’s 2025 Budget Projects Revenues of $315.5 Bn

The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi government affirmed its commitment to adopting strategic expansionary spending policies that support economic diversification and sustainable growth (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia is forecasting total revenues of SAR1.184 trillion ($315.5 billion) for 2025, with expenditures expected to reach SAR1.285 trillion ($342 billion).

This would result in a projected deficit of SAR101 billion, driven by expansionary spending policies to support economic growth, according to the preliminary budget statement.

The economy is anticipated to grow by 4.6%, a rise from just 0.8% in 2023, with non-oil sectors expected to expand by 3.7%.

Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan reiterated the commitment to increase spending on essential services and execute strategic projects. He stated that the positive economic outlook reflects Saudi Arabia’s dedication to its ambitious plans.

For the current year, the Kingdom expects revenues and expenditures of SAR1.23 trillion and SAR1.35 trillion, respectively, which could lead to a deficit of SAR118 billion.

According to the preliminary budget statement from Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Finance, total revenues for the fiscal year 2025 are expected to be around SAR1.184 trillion, rising to about SAR1.289 trillion by 2027.

Total expenditures for 2025 are estimated at approximately SAR1.285 trillion, increasing to around SAR1.429 trillion by 2027.

The statement highlighted that, due to ongoing economic developments and various financial initiatives, Saudi Arabia expects a budget deficit of about 2.3% of GDP for the fiscal year 2025. This deficit is part of efforts to improve stability and sustainability in the state budget.

It noted growth in GDP, primarily driven by non-oil sectors, which have bolstered industries like tourism, entertainment, transportation, logistics, and manufacturing.

This growth has improved quality of life, supported the private sector, and lowered unemployment to historic lows, positively impacting forecasts from international organizations and credit rating agencies.

For 2024, the report projects a real GDP growth rate of 0.8%, with non-oil sectors expected to grow around 3.7%.

Recent drops in interest rates are likely to boost demand and further support economic growth. Preliminary estimates also suggest that inflation could reach about 1.7% by the end of 2024.

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Russia's Central Bank Holds Off on Interest Rate Hike

People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
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Russia's Central Bank Holds Off on Interest Rate Hike

People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
People skate at an ice rink installed at the Red Square decorated for the New Year and Christmas festivities, with the St. Basil's Cathedral, left, and the Kremlin, right, in the background in Moscow, Russia, Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)

Russia's central bank has left its benchmark interest rate at 21%, holding off on further increases as it struggles to snuff out inflation fueled by the government's spending on the war against Ukraine.
The decision comes amid criticism from influential business figures, including tycoons close to the Kremlin, that high rates are putting the brakes on business activity and the economy.
According to The Associated Press, the central bank said in a statement that credit conditions had tightened “more than envisaged” by the October rate hike that brought the benchmark to its current record level.
The bank said it would assess the need for any future increases at its next meeting and that inflation was expected to fall to an annual 4% next year from its current 9.5%
Factories are running three shifts making everything from vehicles to clothing for the military, while a labor shortage is driving up wages and fat enlistment bonuses are putting more rubles in people's bank accounts to spend. All that is driving up prices.
On top of that, the weakening Russian ruble raises the prices of imported goods like cars and consumer electronics from China, which has become Russia's biggest trade partner since Western sanctions disrupted economic relations with Europe and the US.
High rates can dampen inflation but also make it more expensive for businesses to get the credit they need to operate and invest.
Critics of the central bank rates and its Governor Elvira Nabiullina have included Sergei Chemezov, the head of state-controlled defense and technology conglomerate Rostec, and steel magnate Alexei Mordashov.
Russian President Vladimir Putin opened his annual news conference on Thursday by saying the economy is on track to grow by nearly 4% this year and that while inflation is “an alarming sign," wages have risen at the same rate and that "on the whole, this situation is stable and secure.”
He acknowledged there had been criticism of the central bank, saying that “some experts believe that the Central Bank could have been more effective and could have started using certain instruments earlier.”
Nabiullina said in November that while the economy is growing, “the rise in prices for the vast majority of goods and services shows that demand is outrunning the expansion of economic capacity and the economy’s potential.”
Russia's military spending is enabled by oil exports, which have shifted from Europe to new customers in India and China who aren't observing sanctions such as a $60 per barrel price cap on Russian oil sales.