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Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears

Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears
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Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears

Oil Prices Drop as Prospect of Additional Supply Offset Mideast Fears

Oil prices slid by more than 2% on Tuesday as a stronger supply outlook and tepid global demand growth outweighed fears over escalating conflict in the Middle East and its impact on crude exports from the region.

Brent crude futures were down $1.49, or 2.08%, at $70.21 a barrel by 0840 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures lost $1.55, or 2.27%, to $66.62, Reuters reported.

A panel of top ministers from the OPEC+ producer group meets on Oct. 2 to review the market, with no policy changes expected. OPEC+, comprising the Organizations of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plus allies including Russia, is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December.

The possibility of Libyan oil output recovering also weighed on the market. Libya's eastern-based parliament agreed on Monday to approve the nomination of a new central bank governor, which could help to end a crisis that drastically reduced the country's oil output.

"The idea of returning Libyan crude and the forthcoming trimming of voluntary cuts by OPEC+ in December serves as interference for those contemplating reduced oil stocks in the US and improving cracks," said John Evans, analyst at oil broker PVM.

In China, manufacturing activity shrank sharply in September, a private sector survey showed on Monday.

Analysts say a slew of stimulus measures over the past week are likely to be enough to bring China's 2024 growth back to about 5% after several months of below-forecast data cast doubts over that target, though the longer-term outlook remains little changed.

Israel began ground incursions in Lebanon on Tuesday, with its military saying troops had begun raids against Hezbollah targets in the border area.

"Worries that Iran will be drawn into action against Israel have helped support prices, but current rhetoric from Iran suggests they are not keen on an escalation beyond their proxies in Yemen, Lebanon and Palestine," said Panmure Gordon analyst Ashley Kelty.

In the United States, crude oil and fuel stockpiles were expected to have fallen by about 2.1 million barrels in the week to Sept. 27, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.
The poll was conducted ahead of a report from the American Petroleum Institute industry group due at 2030 GMT on Tuesday.

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Saudi Arabia Leads Int’l Efforts to Combat Climate Change, Land Degradation

Officials from the presidencies of the next three editions of the Conference of the Parties. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Officials from the presidencies of the next three editions of the Conference of the Parties. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Leads Int’l Efforts to Combat Climate Change, Land Degradation

Officials from the presidencies of the next three editions of the Conference of the Parties. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Officials from the presidencies of the next three editions of the Conference of the Parties. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The presidencies of the next three upcoming Conferences of the Parties (COP) — Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, and Colombia — held a meeting on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York to outline their ambitions regarding the three Rio Conventions.

Additional meetings are scheduled for the last quarter of this year to address the pressing challenges of climate change, desertification, and biodiversity loss.

The Rio Initiative takes its name from the historic agreements made at the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. It aims to foster cooperation in tackling land degradation, climate change, and biodiversity loss, while boosting international efforts under the United Nations' environmental agreements.

On Sunday, world governments gathered in New York to establish a framework for addressing the threats posed by climate change, desertification, and biodiversity loss. The meeting focused on enhancing cooperation between the upcoming COP presidencies.

The participants included Saudi Arabia, set to lead the 16th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (COP16); Azerbaijan, which will chair the 29th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29); and Colombia, which will head the 16th Conference of the Parties on Biological Diversity (COP16).

Saudi Arabia's presidency of COP16 highlighted the crucial importance of land restoration for the well-being of both people and the planet. It also underscored the devastating economic, social, and environmental impacts of land degradation and drought, which threaten biodiversity and increase greenhouse gas emissions, worsening food and water security challenges.

Dr. Osama Faqeeha, Saudi Arabia’s Deputy Minister of Environment, Water, and Agriculture, and advisor to the COP16 presidency, stated: "Climate change, biodiversity loss, and land degradation are interconnected aspects of the same crisis facing the planet, and they must be addressed in a more integrated and effective manner."

"This year presents a unique opportunity to unite efforts with Azerbaijan and Colombia and rally global support to address these interlinked environmental challenges, which have a destructive impact on the planet and its people," he added.

Colombian Minister of Environment and Sustainable Development Susana Muhamad emphasized the need for a unified agenda to be implemented on the ground. She expressed her readiness to establish a working group to bolster coordination and cooperation.

"The just transition in climate change must reflect interconnected efforts to protect natural ecosystems from degradation and harm," she said, adding: "We have a valuable opportunity to plan land use through a more integrated approach: decarbonization, environmental restoration, and improving human living conditions. COP16 for Biological Diversity is the ideal platform to deepen understanding and action on these efforts."

Mukhtar Babayev, president of COP29 for Climate Change, stressed the importance of "fostering cooperation, enhancing action efficiency, and achieving tangible results that benefit people and the planet by strengthening collaboration across the three Rio agreements."

He continued: "It’s essential to recognize that the goals of these agreements are fundamentally interconnected, and progress in one area can drive advancements in others."

Saudi Arabia called on governments attending the UN General Assembly to take decisive actions during COP16 for the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, which will be held in Riyadh in early December.

The UN Convention to Combat Desertification has set a target of restoring 1.5 billion hectares of degraded land by 2030. In Riyadh, Saudi Arabia's COP16 presidency will push for further concrete commitments to help achieve this goal.

The upcoming COP16 will be the largest and most comprehensive conference in the history of the convention, providing a global platform for collaboration. It will also offer opportunities for the private sector, civil society, and the scientific community to exchange solutions for combating land degradation, desertification, and drought.