Saudi Economic Affairs Council Follows up Performance of Vision 2030 Programs

File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Council of Economic and Development Affairs (Asharq Al-Awsat)
File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Council of Economic and Development Affairs (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Economic Affairs Council Follows up Performance of Vision 2030 Programs

File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Council of Economic and Development Affairs (Asharq Al-Awsat)
File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Council of Economic and Development Affairs (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s Council of Economic and Development Affairs reviewed the performance of the Vision 2030 realization programs for the second quarter of this year during a video conference on Wednesday.

The council was briefed on a periodic report from the Ministry of Economy and Planning, which provided an analysis of global economic developments, including interest rate reductions and their effects on major and emerging economies.

Additionally, the council examined a presentation from the Strategic Management Office on the performance report for the Vision 2030 realization programs during the second quarter of 2024. The report highlighted key achievements, strategic objectives, an assessment of the initiatives, and a comprehensive overview of performance, along with future aspirations. The report noted continuous progress across the three main pillars of Vision 2030: a vibrant society, a thriving economy, and an ambitious nation.

Recent indicators show sustained significant progress across all pillars. The total value of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into the Kingdom's economy reached approximately SAR19.4 billion, according to a recent report from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT). The report also revealed a 23.4% increase in net FDI inflows during the second quarter compared to the first quarter, totaling SAR11.7 billion.

In another positive sign, the unemployment rate for Saudi nationals dropped to a historic low of 7.1%, approaching the Vision 2030 target of 7%.

In the area of non-oil exports, a 19% increase was recorded in July 2023 compared to the same month in 2022. Furthermore, the Ministry of Justice’s electronic services index exceeded its target, reaching 108% during the second quarter of 2023.

Regarding the performance of public agencies, which saw an 83% achievement rate in Vision 2030 targets, the council reviewed a presentation from the National Center for Performance Measurement, detailing the work of public agencies and future plans to enhance national strategies.

The council also reviewed other reports and topics, including an executive summary of consumer and wholesale prices for July, a summary of the consumer price index for the same month, and a foreign trade report for June.



Türkiye Inflation Expected to Fall in September for First Time Since 2021

People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)
People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)
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Türkiye Inflation Expected to Fall in September for First Time Since 2021

People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)
People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)

Annual inflation in Türkiye is expected to fall, forecasts showed, shortly before the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) will reveal inflation figures on Thursday.

Inflation in Istanbul, one of the country’s largest cities and vital economic centers, showed a year-on-year decline while continuing to rise on a monthly basis.

A Reuters poll showed on Monday that Türkiye’s annual inflation is expected to continue its decline in September and fall below the central bank's policy rate (50%) for the first time since 2021.

The median estimate of 19 economists showed annual inflation of 48.3% in September, down from 51.97% in August.

Forecasts ranged from 47.8% to 49.1%. Month-on-month, inflation is seen rising to 2.2%, with forecasts ranging between 2% and 2.8%.

Monthly inflation was high in January and February, largely due to a big minimum wage hike and new-year price updates, before slowing to some 3.2% in March and April. After dipping in June, inflation rose to 3.23% in July on the back of mid-year price adjustments.

Monthly inflation was 2.47% in August on the back of a natural gas price hike for residential users, the first such price adjustment in almost two years.

Türkiye's annual consumer inflation rate slowed to 71.60% in June. It fell to 51.97% in August, decelerating from 61.78% in July.

At the same time, inflation in Istanbul rose by 3.9% on a monthly basis last September, while annual inflation fell to 59.18%.

The Istanbul Chamber of Commerce (ITO) said on Tuesday that the Cost of Living Index for wage earners in Istanbul, which reflects retail price movements, increased by 3.90% compared to the previous month, while the Wholesale Price Index, which tracks wholesale price movements, rose by 4.67%.

It said that compared to September of the previous year, retail prices increased by 59.18%, while wholesale prices rose by 47.89%.

A Türkiye Household Inflation Expectations Survey (TEBA), prepared by the Koç University in collaboration with the Konda Research and Consulting Company, revealed that annual inflation is expected to reach 94% by the end of the year.

Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank published on Tuesday its forecasts for Türkiye’s inflation, economic growth, interests rates and exchange rate.

The report, authored by Yigit Onay, highlighted declining inflation and improvements in the current account deficit as key developments for the upcoming year.

The bank expects inflation to drop further to around 42% by the end of 2024, although rigid prices in the services sector could hinder a faster decline. Inflation is projected to fall to 23% in 2025.

A combination of lower energy bills and reduced gold demand is expected to shrink the deficit to 1.6% of GDP in 2024. By the end of this year, Deutsche Bank estimates the deficit will narrow to $20 billion.

The budget deficit, which stood at 5.2% of GDP in 2023, is expected to shrink to 5% next year, it says.