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Saudi Crown Prince: 2025 Budget Underscores Continued Spending on Basic Services

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)
Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)
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Saudi Crown Prince: 2025 Budget Underscores Continued Spending on Basic Services

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)
Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister, said on Tuesday the preliminary statement for the 2025 state budget emphasized the continued enhancement of spending directed toward essential services for citizens and residents, as well as the implementation of strategic projects. He also stressed the focus on supporting economic growth and achieving sustainable development.

He made his remarks at a weekly cabinet meeting that discussed the latest developments in the region and the world, as well as the outcomes of regional and international meetings held in this regard.

The preliminary statement for Saudi Arabia's 2025 fiscal year budget projected total expenditures to reach approximately SAR 1.285 trillion, with revenues expected to be around SAR 1.184 trillion, resulting in a deficit of 2.3% of the gross domestic product (GDP).

The statement also highlighted the government's continued adoption of strategic expansionary spending policies aimed at supporting economic diversification and sustainable growth, as well as ongoing borrowing to meet the projected financial needs for 2025.

Experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that budget estimates for 2025 emphasize continued spending on basic services such as education, healthcare, social protection, and developmental projects. This will bolster social welfare programs that directly benefit citizens, as well as support the national economy's growth and resilience.

Dr. Ossama al-Obeidi, expert and professor of commercial law, said the 2025 budget focuses on accelerating the implementation of Vision 2030 projects and programs, while maintaining efforts aimed at ensuring fiscal sustainability, which includes achieving financial surpluses and diversifying revenue sources by continuing to boost non-oil revenues. This reflects the Kingdom's strategic approach to adapting to global economic changes, he underlined.

The budget allocation also includes strengthening the infrastructure of major sectors, creating more job opportunities for citizens, and improving the quality of life for the residents.

Finance Professor at the Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University Dr. Mohammed Makni emphasized that the deficit in the 2025 state budget was limited, reaching around $26.9 million. He stressed that the Kingdom will continue its ambitious economic and development reforms, by supporting innovative projects across various sectors as part of Vision 2030.

Regarding the current year, “there is also a slight deficit in the general budget, but non-oil revenues are expected to increase by more than 3 percent,” according to Makni.

He said the main indicators focus on levels of consumer spending, which have been growing in the Kingdom, as well as unemployment indicators in the country, which have been declining in recent periods.

He further noted that the oil sector had been struggling during previous periods due to the policies adopted by OPEC and OPEC+, as well as the voluntary cuts implemented by the Kingdom. However, it is expected to recover between 2025 and 2027.

The Kingdom has adopted a policy of reprioritizing spending and focusing on projects that can be completed more quickly, so they can become a source of support for the national economy in the years leading up to 2030. These policies will also enable both foreign and local investors to expand and achieve their profitability goals.

Makni added that the reforms implemented by the Kingdom have become directly tangible and have led to significant improvements in many sectors at the level of systems and regulations.

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Turkish Companies ‘Paying the Bill’ as Political Crisis Roils Economy

Cats watch as fishermen gather their catch at Besiktas neighborhood in Istanbul on March 28, 2024. (AFP)
Cats watch as fishermen gather their catch at Besiktas neighborhood in Istanbul on March 28, 2024. (AFP)
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Turkish Companies ‘Paying the Bill’ as Political Crisis Roils Economy

Cats watch as fishermen gather their catch at Besiktas neighborhood in Istanbul on March 28, 2024. (AFP)
Cats watch as fishermen gather their catch at Besiktas neighborhood in Istanbul on March 28, 2024. (AFP)

Turmoil unleashed by the arrest of Türkiye’s leading opposition figure last week has sent shockwaves through the private sector, forcing companies to rethink strategy and dig in for a period of uncertainty and potential economic instability.

The detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, who leads long-serving President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in some polls, has provoked the largest anti-government protests in a decade, leading to mass arrests and international condemnation.

The move also sent the lira currency to a record low, fueling a sell-off of Turkish assets that has destabilized company balance sheets and driven up already high borrowing costs.

Company officials told Reuters that Turkish businesses across sectors were scrambling to reassess risk, with some already pausing planned investments and slashing budgets.

"The industrialists now have to pay the bill for a crisis they did not cause," said Seref Fayat, chairman of System Denim, which manufactures garments for leading Western brands and exports them to Europe and the United States.

Fayat, who also heads a garment industry lobby group, said his credit costs have spiked due to the market turmoil.

He had been drawing up budgets for a second-half expansion of his business in anticipation of an expected rebound in customer demand from Europe.

"We immediately shelved these plans following the latest developments," he said.

The lira has recovered somewhat after touching a record low of 42 to the dollar, but only after the central bank stepped in to prop up the currency.

And businesses worry more pain is on the way.

Expectations of declining inflation and lower interest rates following the adoption of an orthodox economic program that had promised Turks future relief after years of soaring prices and currency crashes, now seem in doubt.

In an unscheduled meeting last week, the central bank raised its overnight lending rate by two percentage points to 46%.

According to information provided to Reuters by bankers, short-term commercial loan interest rates have increased from an average of 42-43% to 52-53%, with some rates as high as 60%.

Morgan Stanley now forecasts any cuts to the central bank's policy rate will be shelved until June. And Goldman Sachs said it expected a hike in the policy rate by 350 basis points.

'EVERY COMPANY NEEDS A PLAN'

"The latest developments will affect companies' investment expenditures the most," Hakan Kara, a former central bank chief economist now on faculty at Bilkent University in Ankara, said on X, pointing out that investment had already been slowing.

"This will probably become even more apparent in the short-term."

The government has said the recent economic turmoil would be limited and temporary. But some company officials worry the crisis may only be beginning.

Elections are set for 2028 when Erdogan, who has dominated Turkish politics for more than two decades, will reach his term limit.

Many, however, see the arrest of Imamoglu, who was jailed on Sunday pending trial for graft, as an early indication he could seek to remain in power, either through an early election or constitutional changes that would likely face public opposition.

Mehmet Buyukeksi, a board member at Ziylan, which operates in retail and real estate, said expectations of a more positive business outlook in Türkiye based on government efforts to right the economy as well as strengthening demand were now less certain.

Improvements, including lower borrowing costs, that he had been expecting to see in July, he is now pushing back to September, he said.

And there are other knock-on effects.

One company official said some firms were carrying out human resources risk assessments, worried that they could face blowback if their employees participate in protests or share political content on social media.

Some conglomerates are reevaluating their risks in terms of exchange rates, inflation, funding costs and are significantly increasing the likelihood of negative impacts in their assessments, the company official said.

And a mergers and acquisitions consultant said that, while some foreign firms might look past criticisms that the Turkish government's actions are growing increasingly undemocratic, few will pour investment into an economically fraught environment.

"Everyone will re-do their calculations and books," said Fikret Kaya, the general manager of plastics and industrial equipment manufacturer Kayalar.

"We have had to make monthly evaluations that we used to make quarterly. I think every company needs to make a plan."