Saudi Crown Prince: 2025 Budget Underscores Continued Spending on Basic Services

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)
Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)
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Saudi Crown Prince: 2025 Budget Underscores Continued Spending on Basic Services

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)
Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister. (SPA)

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister, said on Tuesday the preliminary statement for the 2025 state budget emphasized the continued enhancement of spending directed toward essential services for citizens and residents, as well as the implementation of strategic projects. He also stressed the focus on supporting economic growth and achieving sustainable development.

He made his remarks at a weekly cabinet meeting that discussed the latest developments in the region and the world, as well as the outcomes of regional and international meetings held in this regard.

The preliminary statement for Saudi Arabia's 2025 fiscal year budget projected total expenditures to reach approximately SAR 1.285 trillion, with revenues expected to be around SAR 1.184 trillion, resulting in a deficit of 2.3% of the gross domestic product (GDP).

The statement also highlighted the government's continued adoption of strategic expansionary spending policies aimed at supporting economic diversification and sustainable growth, as well as ongoing borrowing to meet the projected financial needs for 2025.

Experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that budget estimates for 2025 emphasize continued spending on basic services such as education, healthcare, social protection, and developmental projects. This will bolster social welfare programs that directly benefit citizens, as well as support the national economy's growth and resilience.

Dr. Ossama al-Obeidi, expert and professor of commercial law, said the 2025 budget focuses on accelerating the implementation of Vision 2030 projects and programs, while maintaining efforts aimed at ensuring fiscal sustainability, which includes achieving financial surpluses and diversifying revenue sources by continuing to boost non-oil revenues. This reflects the Kingdom's strategic approach to adapting to global economic changes, he underlined.

The budget allocation also includes strengthening the infrastructure of major sectors, creating more job opportunities for citizens, and improving the quality of life for the residents.

Finance Professor at the Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University Dr. Mohammed Makni emphasized that the deficit in the 2025 state budget was limited, reaching around $26.9 million. He stressed that the Kingdom will continue its ambitious economic and development reforms, by supporting innovative projects across various sectors as part of Vision 2030.

Regarding the current year, “there is also a slight deficit in the general budget, but non-oil revenues are expected to increase by more than 3 percent,” according to Makni.

He said the main indicators focus on levels of consumer spending, which have been growing in the Kingdom, as well as unemployment indicators in the country, which have been declining in recent periods.

He further noted that the oil sector had been struggling during previous periods due to the policies adopted by OPEC and OPEC+, as well as the voluntary cuts implemented by the Kingdom. However, it is expected to recover between 2025 and 2027.

The Kingdom has adopted a policy of reprioritizing spending and focusing on projects that can be completed more quickly, so they can become a source of support for the national economy in the years leading up to 2030. These policies will also enable both foreign and local investors to expand and achieve their profitability goals.

Makni added that the reforms implemented by the Kingdom have become directly tangible and have led to significant improvements in many sectors at the level of systems and regulations.



Türkiye Inflation Expected to Fall in September for First Time Since 2021

People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)
People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)
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Türkiye Inflation Expected to Fall in September for First Time Since 2021

People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)
People shop at a popular market in Istanbul. (Local media)

Annual inflation in Türkiye is expected to fall, forecasts showed, shortly before the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) will reveal inflation figures on Thursday.

Inflation in Istanbul, one of the country’s largest cities and vital economic centers, showed a year-on-year decline while continuing to rise on a monthly basis.

A Reuters poll showed on Monday that Türkiye’s annual inflation is expected to continue its decline in September and fall below the central bank's policy rate (50%) for the first time since 2021.

The median estimate of 19 economists showed annual inflation of 48.3% in September, down from 51.97% in August.

Forecasts ranged from 47.8% to 49.1%. Month-on-month, inflation is seen rising to 2.2%, with forecasts ranging between 2% and 2.8%.

Monthly inflation was high in January and February, largely due to a big minimum wage hike and new-year price updates, before slowing to some 3.2% in March and April. After dipping in June, inflation rose to 3.23% in July on the back of mid-year price adjustments.

Monthly inflation was 2.47% in August on the back of a natural gas price hike for residential users, the first such price adjustment in almost two years.

Türkiye's annual consumer inflation rate slowed to 71.60% in June. It fell to 51.97% in August, decelerating from 61.78% in July.

At the same time, inflation in Istanbul rose by 3.9% on a monthly basis last September, while annual inflation fell to 59.18%.

The Istanbul Chamber of Commerce (ITO) said on Tuesday that the Cost of Living Index for wage earners in Istanbul, which reflects retail price movements, increased by 3.90% compared to the previous month, while the Wholesale Price Index, which tracks wholesale price movements, rose by 4.67%.

It said that compared to September of the previous year, retail prices increased by 59.18%, while wholesale prices rose by 47.89%.

A Türkiye Household Inflation Expectations Survey (TEBA), prepared by the Koç University in collaboration with the Konda Research and Consulting Company, revealed that annual inflation is expected to reach 94% by the end of the year.

Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank published on Tuesday its forecasts for Türkiye’s inflation, economic growth, interests rates and exchange rate.

The report, authored by Yigit Onay, highlighted declining inflation and improvements in the current account deficit as key developments for the upcoming year.

The bank expects inflation to drop further to around 42% by the end of 2024, although rigid prices in the services sector could hinder a faster decline. Inflation is projected to fall to 23% in 2025.

A combination of lower energy bills and reduced gold demand is expected to shrink the deficit to 1.6% of GDP in 2024. By the end of this year, Deutsche Bank estimates the deficit will narrow to $20 billion.

The budget deficit, which stood at 5.2% of GDP in 2023, is expected to shrink to 5% next year, it says.