Gold Eases as Dollar Firms; Focus on Fed Minutes

A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko
A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko
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Gold Eases as Dollar Firms; Focus on Fed Minutes

A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko
A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko

Gold prices edged lower on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger dollar, while investors awaited minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting and more economic data for insights on the US interest rate outlook.
Spot gold fell 0.3% to $2,634.69 per ounce by 0728 GMT. US gold futures lost 0.5% to $2,653.90, Reuters reported.

The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Gold has lost some momentum due to the rising dollar and bond yields, but downside risks may be limited by global conflicts that favor safe-haven assets, said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel's third-largest city, Haifa, while Israel appeared ready to expand its offensive into Lebanon, marking one year since the Hamas attack that ignited the Gaza war.
Bullion is considered a safe investment during times of political uncertainty.
Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the US Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. Several Fed officials are also lined up to speak throughout the week.
"Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the US CPI numbers this week, this could further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer said.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are no longer pricing in a 50-basis-point reduction at the Fed's November meeting after last week's strong jobs report. They now see an 88% chance for a 25-bp cut.
Meanwhile, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem expressed support for more rate cuts, emphasizing that the economy's performance will guide policy.
Spot silver lost 2.02% to $31.08 per ounce. Platinum was down 1% to $962.90 and palladium fell nearly 3% to $994.00.
Elsewhere, China said it was "fully confident" of meeting its economic targets, but refrained from introducing stronger fiscal steps to get the economy back on track.



EUROPE GAS-Prices Continue to Decline

Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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EUROPE GAS-Prices Continue to Decline

Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices continued to declined on Tuesday morning on milder weather forecasts for next week, high wind speeds and stable supply.

The benchmark front-month contract at the Dutch TTF hub was down 0.61 euros at 46.65 euros per megawatt hour (MWh) at 0947 GMT, according to LSEG data.

The contract for March was down 0.52 euro at 46.63 euros/MWh.

In Britain, the front-month contract fell by 2.04 pence to 116.76 pence per therm.

In north-west Europe, although another cold snap is forecast from Friday over the weekend, the latest forecasts are showing milder temperatures than yesterday from Jan. 15, according to LSEG data, Reuters reported.

Wind speeds are expected to remain quite strong today, limiting gas demand.

However, in north-west Europe, gas-for-power demand is expected 36 million cubic metres (mcm) per day higher at 78 mcm/day on the day-ahead.

"Wind speeds are expected still high today, before dropping sharply tomorrow with the cold spell arriving," said LSEG gas analyst Saku Jussila.

In Britain, Peak wind generation is forecast at around 15.1 gigawatts (GW) today and 14.7 GW tomorrow, Elexon data showed.

Analysts at Engie EnergyScan said EU net storage withdrawals have slowed due to a more comfortable spot balance but the storage gap compared to last year remains high. On 5 January, EU gas stocks were 69.94% full on average, compared to 84.96% last year.

Looking further ahead, analysts at Jefferies expect a tight year for global gas markets due to project delays and higher-than-expected demand.

"European and Asian LNG spot gas prices in 2025 could surpass those of 2024, driven by Europe's increased gas injection needs and the loss of Russian exports outpacing the expected growth in global LNG supply," they said.

"Post 2025, the market is expected to loosen with an additional 175 million tonnes of new supply coming online between 2026 and 2030, primarily from the US and Qatar," they added.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract was down 0.91 euro at 73.45 euros a metric ton.