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Oil Slips as Strong Supply Counters Middle East, Hurricane Risk

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Slips as Strong Supply Counters Middle East, Hurricane Risk

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices erased early gains on Wednesday as weak demand fundamentals and rising supply countered elevated risk of supply disruption from conflict in the Middle East and Hurricane Milton in the United States.

Brent crude futures were down 36 cents, or 0.47%, at $76.82 a barrel by 1103 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures lost 43 cents, or 0.58%, to $73.14, Reuters reported.

Brent and WTI both gained more than 1% earlier in the session after prices had plunged on Tuesday by more than 4% on a possible Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire, though markets remain wary of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian oil infrastructure.

"Despite the current heightened tensions in the Middle East, it is easy to forget that the oil market is very much vulnerable to corrections due to the ongoing bearish macro narrative centred on China," said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

China said on Tuesday it was "fully confident" of achieving its full-year growth target but refrained from introducing stronger fiscal steps, disappointing investors who had banked on more support for the economy.

Investors have been concerned about slow growth dampening fuel demand in China, the world's largest crude importer.

Weak demand continues to underpin the fundamental outlook. The US. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) on Tuesday downgraded its demand forecast for 2025 on weakening economic activity in China and North America.

US crude oil stocks rose by nearly 11 million barrels last week, much more than analysts polled by Reuters had expected, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

"Such a backdrop belies the war premium in oil prices at present, but it would be a brave soul indeed to dismiss what will happen to oil prices if Israel does the unthinkable and targets Iran's oil sector," said John Evans at oil broker PVM.

Investors are awaiting developments from expected talks between US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over intensifying conflict in the Middle East.

The oil-producing region has been on high alert for any Israeli response to an Iranian missile attack last week in retaliation for Israel's war on Lebanon.

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China Files Complaint Against Türkiye at WTO

A man phones with his mobile while entering the World Trade Organization (WTO) headquarters in Geneva on April 12, 2022. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP)
A man phones with his mobile while entering the World Trade Organization (WTO) headquarters in Geneva on April 12, 2022. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP)
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China Files Complaint Against Türkiye at WTO

A man phones with his mobile while entering the World Trade Organization (WTO) headquarters in Geneva on April 12, 2022. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP)
A man phones with his mobile while entering the World Trade Organization (WTO) headquarters in Geneva on April 12, 2022. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP)

China has taken the first step in initiating a trade dispute with Türkiye at the World Trade Organization over its tariffs on imports of electric vehicles, the Chinese Foreign Ministry said in a statement on Tuesday.

“The discriminatory measure taken by Turkiye is against WTO rules, and is protectionist in nature. We urge Türkiye to follow WTO rules and immediately correct its measures,” the statement said.

The Turkish government did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The “request for consultations” filed by China to the WTO is the first formal step in a trade dispute, and sometimes disputes are resolved at this stage.

As it intensifies the push for local production, Türkiye recently announced it would impose strict conditions on the import of plug-in passenger and commercial hybrid vehicles from some countries, including China.

The decision was announced late in September in the country's Official Gazette, taking effect in 30 days and follows a decision in June to limit imports of electric vehicles.

China has faced widespread criticism over its vehicle exports, which many countries claim are heavily subsidized by Beijing.

The European Union in a widely divided move approved last Friday tariffs on electric vehicles manufactured in China, although talks between the duo are expected to continue to find a solution.

Analysts say Ankara is seeking to increase pressure on Chinese carmakers with which it is holding talks about investing in production in Türkiye.

The Chinese-Turkish escalation comes although a Turkish official said his country is in the final stages of talks on a possible investment by Chinese car maker Chery.

Ankara seeks to deepen its ties with Chinese car makers after reaching an investment deal with China's BYD earlier this year.

The Turkish official, who spoke on condition of anonymity late on Monday, did not specify the investment Chery and Ankara were discussing or whether there was a timeline for reaching a final agreement.

In July, Ankara said Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer BYD agreed to build a $1 billion production plant in Türkiye with an annual capacity of 150,000 vehicles.

Türkiye’s presidency said on Saturday that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had met Chery International President Guibing Zhang on the sidelines of an investment event in Istanbul. Industry and Technology Minister Mehmet Fatih Kacir also attended the talks.

Chery was not immediately available for comment.

Türkiye provides land allocation, extensive tax breaks and various supports for new plug-in hybrid and electric vehicle plant investments.

The investment support program requires minimum 150,000 unit per year production and also allows the investor to sell a set number of cars in local market tariff free.

The country, home to manufacturing facilities of Ford, Stellantis, Renault, Toyota and Hyundai could produce up to 2 million vehicles annually, with a third of the capacity allocated to commercial vehicles, according to data from automotive manufacturers associations.

The Turkish government has been courting Chinese manufacturers to broaden its manufacturing base and accelerate the transition of its automotive industry into electric cars.