IMF to Lower Member Borrowing Costs… Egypt among Beneficiary Countries

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva (Reuters)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva (Reuters)
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IMF to Lower Member Borrowing Costs… Egypt among Beneficiary Countries

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva (Reuters)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund on Friday approved measures that will reduce its members' borrowing costs by about $1.2 billion annually, the fund's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said.
According to research from Boston University's Global Development Policy Center, the five countries paying the highest surcharges are Ukraine, Egypt, Argentina, Ecuador and Pakistan.
“The approved measures will lower IMF borrowing costs for members by 36%, or about $1.2 billion annually,” Georgieva said in a statement.
“The expected number of countries subject to surcharges in fiscal year 2026 will fall from 20 to 13,” she added.
This year, the IMF decided to review its policy on charges and surcharges for the first time since 2016, as higher interest rates globally have pushed borrowing costs higher.
The fund charges regular interest, plus surcharges for loans above a certain threshold or duration, and commitment fees for precautionary arrangements.
“While substantially lowered, charges and surcharges remain an essential part of the IMF's cooperative lending and risk management framework, where all members contribute and all can benefit from support when needed,” Georgieva said.
The changes will take effect on November 1.
Argentina, currently the IMF's largest debtor, will save over $3 billion with the changes, according to the country’s Finance Secretary Pablo Quirno.
But Friday's announcement falls short of calls by academics, non-profit groups and other economists, who have argued for a full cancellation of IMF surcharges, which they say place extra burdens on borrowing countries at a time when they are in dire economic circumstances and counteract the impact of IMF lending.

 



Lebanon's Bonds Soar as Traders Place Counterintuitive Bets

The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)
The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)
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Lebanon's Bonds Soar as Traders Place Counterintuitive Bets

The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)
The Lebanese national flag flutters in Beirut, Lebanon, August 18, 2020. (Reuters)

Israel's airstrikes in Lebanon are inflicting destruction that could set its economy back by years.

But the defaulted country's bonds have climbed to two-year highs, gaining a whopping 44% since late September, as traders snap them up for pennies on the dollar.

Investors reckon the weakening of Hezbollah could precipitate a shake-up of Lebanon's fractured political system and potentially an economic plan to pull the country out of default, according to Reuters.

"The reason bonds have rallied is that the market thinks that the Lebanese political class might finally be able to agree a political path forward and an economic reform plan without Hezbollah in the picture," said Anthony Symond at abrdn.

"This would pave the way for the Eurobonds to eventually be restructured."

The jump still leaves Lebanon's dollar bond maturing in 2025 trading at a paltry 8.5 cents on the dollar - a fraction of the 70-cent level at which bonds are considered distressed.

Lebanon tumbled into default in the spring of 2020 after the country's financial system plunged into a deep economic crisis in 2019. With an effectively non-functioning government wracked by discord and corruption, few expect a debt deal anytime soon.

"Lebanese bonds started getting bids after the death of Nasrallah," said Kaan Nazli, a portfolio manager with Neuberger Berman, referring to Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, whose death was announced on Sept. 28.

"Lebanon was in the 'it could not get worse' category," said Nazli, adding that the latest events could spark change.

Bruno Gennari, emerging markets strategist with KNG Securities, said rumors that Washington could use Hezbollah setbacks to push Lebanon to appoint its first president in two years had given hope.

"Is all about Hezbollah getting weaker," he said.

S&P Global Ratings said last week Israel's military action in Lebanon "put severe pressure" on Lebanon's already battered economy, and would "further delay economic and financial reforms, and the longer-term recovery of fiscal and external accounts."

S&P has a selective default rating on Lebanon's foreign currency debt.

Given their incredibly low prices, any glimmers of good news could boost Lebanon's bonds again, Nazli said

"If you see any headline on a presidential election, or even just a schedule for one - that could be a sign that things are moving forward," he said.