China's Exports Miss forecasts as Lone Bright Spot Fades

Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)
Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)
TT
20

China's Exports Miss forecasts as Lone Bright Spot Fades

Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)
Employees work on solar photovoltaic modules that will be exported at a factory in Lianyungang, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on January 4, 2024. (Photo by AFP)

China's export growth slowed sharply in September while imports also unexpectedly decelerated, undershooting forecasts by big margins and suggesting manufacturers are slashing prices to move inventory ahead of tariffs from several trade partners.

Last month, export momentum had been one bright spot for the Chinese economy that has struggled to gain traction due to weak domestic demand and a property market debt crisis, adding to the urgency for stronger stimulus.

Outbound shipments from the world's second-largest economy grew 2.4% year-on-year last month, the slowest pace since April, customs data showed on Monday, missing a forecast 6.0% increase in a Reuters poll of economists and a 8.7% rise in August.

Imports edged up 0.3%, missing expectations for a 0.9% rise and softer than 0.5% growth previously.

The weak data does not bode well for exports in coming months as just under a third of China's purchases are parts for re-export, particularly in the electronics sector.

The European Commission on Oct. 4 saw its motion to impose additional duties on electric vehicles built in China of up to 45% pass in a divided vote of EU member states, joining the US and Canada in tightening trade measures against China.

China's overall trade surplus narrowed to $81.71 billion in September from $91.02 billion in August and missed a forecast of $89.80 billion.

China's trade surplus with the United States narrowed to $33.33 billion in September from $33.81 billion in August, customs data showed on Monday.

Manufacturing activity shrank sharply in September, according to a recent factory owners' confidence survey, with new export orders falling to their worst in seven months.

Analysts have attributed previous months' strong export performance to factory owners slashing prices to find buyers.

Analysts anticipate it will take a long time to restore consumer and business confidence and get the $19 trillion economy on a more solid footing. A housing market recovery, in particular, could be a long way off.

That said, China's iron ore imports rose 2.9% last month year-on-year, partly on hopes for improved demand over September and October, the peak construction season, while the country's copper imports climbed from a month prior too.

New bank lending in China missed forecasts in September, separate data released by the People's Bank of China showed, although household loans, including mortgages, rose to 500 billion yuan in September from 190 billion yuan in August, according to Reuters' calculations.



Saudi Arabia Draws Silicon Valley with $21 Bn Investment Deals

Buildings are seen in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, December 18, 2017. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser/ File Photo
Buildings are seen in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, December 18, 2017. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser/ File Photo
TT
20

Saudi Arabia Draws Silicon Valley with $21 Bn Investment Deals

Buildings are seen in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, December 18, 2017. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser/ File Photo
Buildings are seen in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, December 18, 2017. REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser/ File Photo

Tech and investment heavyweights from Silicon Valley descended on the Saudi capital this week on a historic visit alongside US President Donald Trump, marking a dramatic revival of strategic partnerships that had stalled under previous restrictive US policies.

The visit, seen as a pivot away from Washington’s earlier constraints on exporting artificial intelligence technology, featured some of the most influential figures in the global tech industry.

Among those attending Tuesday’s high-level gathering were Tesla CEO Elon Musk, NVIDIA founder Jensen Huang, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Amazon chief Andy Jassy, BlackRock Chairman Larry Fink, and Palantir CEO Alex Karp.

The visit was hailed by officials as ushering in a “new golden era” of US-Saudi relations. It came just one day after Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman announced the launch of HUMAIN, a Saudi AI innovation venture aimed at reshaping the Kingdom’s future through advanced technology.

In just 48 hours, US investment pledges in Saudi Arabia’s AI sector surged from $3 billion to over $21 billion, according to forum organizers.

Also announced was an expanded strategic partnership between Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and Google Cloud, projected to contribute approximately $70.6 billion to the Kingdom’s GDP in the coming years.

The series of announcements reflect Riyadh’s growing ambition to become a global hub for artificial intelligence, backed by top-tier US tech leadership and capital.

NVIDIA has delivered 18,000 next-generation AI chips to HUMAIN, in a move that could open the floodgates for artificial intelligence semiconductors across the Middle East.

The landmark delivery coincides with a sharp shift in US export policy, as the Trump administration begins dismantling restrictions on semiconductor exports imposed under President Joe Biden.

On Tuesday, the US Commerce Department announced it would scrap Biden’s “AI deployment rule,” which had created three broad tiers of access for countries seeking to acquire AI chips. The rule was due to take effect on Thursday.

The reversal signals a significant policy pivot, potentially expanding access to powerful AI technology for key allies in the region, including Saudi Arabia, which has been aggressively positioning itself as a future hub for artificial intelligence and advanced computing.

Industry analysts say the delivery of NVIDIA’s high-performance chips marks a major step toward establishing a regional AI infrastructure capable of supporting large-scale machine learning, cloud computing, and autonomous systems.

Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan affirmed that the Kingdom’s strategic partnership with the US in artificial intelligence and hyperscale data centers is expected to generate more than 22,000 high-quality jobs.

Speaking at a press conference, Prince Faisal emphasized that deepening cooperation in advanced technologies will play a key role in shaping Saudi Arabia’s economic future and workforce development.