Israel GDP Growth Revised Down to 0.3% as Gaza War Takes Economic Toll

People take shelter as sirens sound in central Israel in response to what the Israel's military says projectiles fired from Lebanon, in Tel Aviv, Israel October 14, 2024. (Reuters)
People take shelter as sirens sound in central Israel in response to what the Israel's military says projectiles fired from Lebanon, in Tel Aviv, Israel October 14, 2024. (Reuters)
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Israel GDP Growth Revised Down to 0.3% as Gaza War Takes Economic Toll

People take shelter as sirens sound in central Israel in response to what the Israel's military says projectiles fired from Lebanon, in Tel Aviv, Israel October 14, 2024. (Reuters)
People take shelter as sirens sound in central Israel in response to what the Israel's military says projectiles fired from Lebanon, in Tel Aviv, Israel October 14, 2024. (Reuters)

Israel's economy grew slower in the second quarter than previously thought, data showed on Tuesday, as Israel's war in Gaza against the Palestinian group Hamas continued to weigh on growth.

Gross domestic product rose by an annualized 0.3 in the April-June period, the Central Bureau of Statistics said in its third estimate, down from 0.7% reported a month ago and from an initial 1.2% published in August.

The economy was supported by gains in consumer and state spending and in investment in fixed assets, while exports fell.

Last week, the Bank of Israel trimmed its Israeli economic growth estimate in 2024 to 0.5% from a prior estimate of 1.5%.

Along with a weakening economy, inflation has spiked and central bank officials have warned of possible interest rate increases. It held rates steady last week for a sixth straight policy meeting.

First-quarter GDP growth was unrevised at 17.2%, as the economy bounced back from a steep contraction in the fourth quarter of 2023 when the war began.



Oil Falls as Demand Outlook Weakens, Iran Supply Disruption Concerns Ease

Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
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Oil Falls as Demand Outlook Weakens, Iran Supply Disruption Concerns Ease

Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
Steam rises from the chimneys of a thermal power plant and an oil refinery amid smog in Omsk, Russia October 14, 2024. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko

Oil prices slid as much as $3 to a near two-week low during Asian trade on Tuesday on the back of a weaker demand outlook and after a media report said Israel is willing not to strike Iranian oil targets, which eased fears of a supply disruption.

Brent crude futures were down $2.81, or 3.6%, to $74.65 per barrel at 0640 GMT, having dropped earlier to $74.26, its lowest since Oct. 2, Reuters reported.

US West Texas Intermediate futures fell $2.72, or 3.7%, to $71.11 per barrel. The contract fell as low as $70.75, its weakest since Oct. 3.

Both benchmarks had settled about 2% lower on Monday. They are down almost $5 so far this week, nearly wiping out cumulative gains made in the seven sessions up to last Friday when investors were concerned about supply risks as Israel planned to retaliate against a missile attack from Iran.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the US that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military targets and not nuclear or oil ones, the Washington Post reported late on Monday.

"Weakening demand has led to traders withdrawing the 'war premium' from prices," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

"However, geopolitics still continues to support oil at this level. Without geopolitics in the equation, oil would have tumbled even more, maybe even below $70 per barrel mark amid the current weakening demand narrative."

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Monday cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024, with China accounting for the bulk of the downgrade. China's demand is now seen growing by 580,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year, down from 650,000 bpd.

OPEC also lowered its global oil demand growth projection for next year to 1.64 million bpd from 1.74 million bpd.

China's customs data showed that September oil imports fell from a year earlier, as plants curbed purchases because of weak domestic fuel demand and narrowing export margins.

Independent market analyst Tina Teng said that while the demand outlook remains weak due to record high US production and soft Chinese demand, "oil retreated from the Middle East-tension-led surge as the market reaction may have been overdone."