Gold Hits Fresh High In Record-Setting Rally Amid Global Uncertainties

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
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Gold Hits Fresh High In Record-Setting Rally Amid Global Uncertainties

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo

Gold rose to a fresh high on Monday, extending its blazing rally amid uncertainties surrounding the US election, simmering Middle East tensions and rate cuts by major central banks, while silver scaled a near 12-year peak.
Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,727.95 per ounce, as of 0517 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,732.73 earlier. US gold futures were 0.5% higher at $2,743.00.
Helped by bullion's rally, spot silver rose 0.9% to $33.95 per ounce, its highest since late 2012.
"The current market environment consists of interest rates moving south combined with heightened geopolitical risks - a scenario which suits gold on both fronts," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
Investors also digested news that China cut its benchmark lending rates following reductions to other policy rates last month as part of a package of stimulus measures to revive the economy, Reuters said.
Gold demand in top consumer China has taken a hit amid high prices and an economic slowdown.
Elsewhere, traders are pricing in a 99% chance of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in November. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by a quarter point last week.
Lower interest rates enhance gold's allure, as bullion yields no interest. Gold is also considered a safe investment during times of economic and political turmoil.
The 2024 US presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is neck and neck in the seven battleground states that will decide the Nov. 5 election.
In the Middle East, hundreds of Beirut residents fled their homes late Sunday, with multiple explosions heard, as Israel prepared to attack sites linked to the financial operations of the Hezbollah group.
For gold, "$2,800 looks to be a viable year-end target... There will be temptation to lock in some profits, which could slow the immediate upside," Waterer said.
Platinum rose 0.4% to $1,017.84 per ounce, its highest since mid-July. Palladium gained 0.5% to $1,084.97.



Saudi Non-Oil Exports Rise 7.5% in August

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
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Saudi Non-Oil Exports Rise 7.5% in August

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (SPA)

With Saudi Arabia experiencing significant growth in investments and improvements in logistics infrastructure, non-oil exports rose by 7.5% year-on-year in August, reaching SAR 27.5 billion ($7.3 billion) compared to SAR 25.6 billion ($6.8 billion) in the same period last year.
According to international trade data from the Kingdom’s General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), total exports in August declined by 9.8%, amounting to SAR 92.8 billion ($24.7 billion), down from SAR 102.9 billion in August of the previous year. This decline was mainly due to a 15.5% drop in oil exports, which fell by SAR 12 billion ($3.2 billion).
Oil Exports
In August, oil exports totaled SAR 65.3 billion ($17.3 billion), a decrease from SAR 77.3 billion in the same period last year. This drop reflects continued production cuts by the OPEC+ alliance. Consequently, oil exports as a share of total exports fell from 75.1% at the end of August last year to 70.3% in August 2024.
Imports and Trade Balance
Imports decreased by 3.9% to SAR 64.8 billion ($17.2 billion), down from SAR 67.4 billion in August 2023. The Saudi trade balance surplus shrank by 21% year-on-year in August 2024 but improved compared to July, rising to SAR 27.99 billion, an increase of over SAR 10 billion from the prior month.
Key Factors
Economic analyst Rowan bin Rabeean linked the rise in Saudi non-oil exports to several factors, primarily improvements in logistics infrastructure and increased investment in non-oil sectors like manufacturing and technology.
Total foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows last year reached approximately SAR 96 billion, surpassing the National Investment Strategy target of SAR 83 billion by 16%, as reported by the Ministry of Investment and the General Authority for Statistics. FDI inflows also represented 2.4% of GDP in 2023, meeting the National Investment Strategy target.
Bin Rabeean explained that the trade surplus declined due to the drop in oil exports amid rising global oil prices, as well as an increase in imports, which had a negative impact. She expects non-oil exports to continue growing in the coming periods, driven by the goals of Vision 2030 to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy and boost non-oil exports.