Gold Hits Fresh High In Record-Setting Rally Amid Global Uncertainties

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
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Gold Hits Fresh High In Record-Setting Rally Amid Global Uncertainties

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo

Gold rose to a fresh high on Monday, extending its blazing rally amid uncertainties surrounding the US election, simmering Middle East tensions and rate cuts by major central banks, while silver scaled a near 12-year peak.
Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,727.95 per ounce, as of 0517 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,732.73 earlier. US gold futures were 0.5% higher at $2,743.00.
Helped by bullion's rally, spot silver rose 0.9% to $33.95 per ounce, its highest since late 2012.
"The current market environment consists of interest rates moving south combined with heightened geopolitical risks - a scenario which suits gold on both fronts," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
Investors also digested news that China cut its benchmark lending rates following reductions to other policy rates last month as part of a package of stimulus measures to revive the economy, Reuters said.
Gold demand in top consumer China has taken a hit amid high prices and an economic slowdown.
Elsewhere, traders are pricing in a 99% chance of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in November. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by a quarter point last week.
Lower interest rates enhance gold's allure, as bullion yields no interest. Gold is also considered a safe investment during times of economic and political turmoil.
The 2024 US presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is neck and neck in the seven battleground states that will decide the Nov. 5 election.
In the Middle East, hundreds of Beirut residents fled their homes late Sunday, with multiple explosions heard, as Israel prepared to attack sites linked to the financial operations of the Hezbollah group.
For gold, "$2,800 looks to be a viable year-end target... There will be temptation to lock in some profits, which could slow the immediate upside," Waterer said.
Platinum rose 0.4% to $1,017.84 per ounce, its highest since mid-July. Palladium gained 0.5% to $1,084.97.



Oil Prices Likely to Fall after Israel Shows Restraint in Strikes on Iran

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
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Oil Prices Likely to Fall after Israel Shows Restraint in Strikes on Iran

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo

Oil prices are expected to fall when trading resumes on Monday as Israel's retaliatory strike on Iran over the weekend bypassed Tehran's oil and nuclear infrastructure and did not disrupt energy supplies, analysts said.
Brent and US West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 4% last week in volatile trade as markets priced in uncertainty around the extent of Israel's response to the Iranian missile attack on Oct. 1 and the US election next month, said Reuters.
Scores of Israeli jets completed three waves of strikes before dawn on Saturday against missile factories and other sites near Tehran and in western Iran, in the latest exchange in the escalating conflict between the Middle East rivals.
"The market can breathe a big sigh of relief; the known unknown that was Israel's eventual response to Iran has been resolved," Harry Tchilinguirian, group head of research at Onyx said on LinkedIn.
"Israel attacked after the departure of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and the US administration could not have hoped for a better outcome with US elections less than two weeks away."
Iran on Saturday played down Israel's overnight air attack against Iranian military targets, saying it caused only limited damage.
"Israel's not attacking oil infrastructure, and reports that Iran won't respond to the strike remove an element of uncertainty," Tony Sycamore, IG market analyst in Sydney, said.
"It's very likely we see a 'buy the rumor, sell the fact' type reaction when the crude oil futures markets reopen tomorrow," he said, adding that WTI may return to $70 a barrel level.
Tchilinguirian expects geopolitical risk premium that had been built into oil prices to deflate rapidly with Brent heading back towards $74-$75 a barrel.
UBS commodity analyst Giovanni Staunovo also expects oil prices to be depressed on Monday as Israel's response to Iran's attack appeared to have been restrained.
"But I would expect such downside reaction to be only temporary, as I believe the market didn't price a large risk premium," he added.