Saudi Aramco CEO: Oil Market is Currently Balanced

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Aramco CEO: Oil Market is Currently Balanced

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser stated that the oil market is currently balanced, even as global demand is influenced by rising interest rates and slower economic growth in China.

China, the world’s largest oil consumer, is experiencing challenges due to significant shifts in its real estate sector, a key factor in its economic growth.

Speaking during a panel titled “The Future of Energy: What Will Accelerate the Energy Transition?” at the Future Investment Initiative conference, Nasser mentioned that he anticipates global oil demand will reach approximately 106 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of this year, with an average of 104.5 million barrels for the year.

Earlier this month, OPEC adjusted its forecast for global oil demand growth to 1.93 million barrels per day, down from 2.03 million barrels, marking the third consecutive revision. China accounted for most of this adjustment in the 2024 outlook, with OPEC attributing the revision to actual data and slightly lower demand expectations in certain areas.

Nasser highlighted a positive perspective on the situation, stating: “When people talk about China, they often amplify the negatives while overlooking the positives.”

Discussing the shift to renewable energy, Nasser emphasized the importance of reducing carbon emissions from existing energy sources as a priority, adding that the energy transition must be “affordable, safe, and sustainable.”

He confirmed that Saudi Arabia is “continuing efforts to reduce carbon emissions across all our operations... All our equipment is managed using AI and advanced data analytics.”

Pointing to the Saudi Green Initiative, he underscored the Kingdom’s commitment to the energy transition, while also ensuring continued efforts to expand oil and petrochemical activities.

Nasser further discussed energy needs in the Global South, saying: “The energy transition depends on economic investment levels... We need to start exporting to industrialized nations and enable the Global South to achieve this transition.” He noted that the Global South currently uses just one-tenth of the energy consumed by the Global North.



Saudi Arabia Begins Marketing International Bonds Following 2025 Borrowing Plan Announcement

Riyadh (Reuters)
Riyadh (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Begins Marketing International Bonds Following 2025 Borrowing Plan Announcement

Riyadh (Reuters)
Riyadh (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia has entered global debt markets with a planned sale of bonds in three tranches, aiming to use the proceeds to cover budget deficits and repay outstanding debt, according to IFR (International Financing Review).

The indicative pricing for the three-year bonds is set at 120 basis points above US Treasury bonds, while the six- and ten-year bonds are priced at 130 and 140 basis points above US Treasuries, respectively, as reported by Reuters.

The bonds, expected to be of benchmark size (typically at least $500 million), come a day after Saudi Arabia unveiled its 2025 borrowing plan. The Kingdom’s financing needs for the year are estimated at SAR 139 billion ($37 billion), with SAR 101 billion ($26.8 billion) allocated to cover the budget deficit and the remainder to service existing debt.

The National Debt Management Center (NDMC) announced that Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan had approved the 2025 borrowing plan following its endorsement by the NDMC Board. The plan highlights public debt developments for 2024, domestic debt market initiatives, and the 2025 financing roadmap, including the Kingdom’s issuance calendar for local sukuk denominated in Saudi Riyals.

The NDMC emphasized that Saudi Arabia aims to enhance sustainable access to debt markets and broaden its investor base. For 2025, the Kingdom will continue diversifying its domestic and international financing channels to meet funding needs efficiently. Plans include issuing sovereign debt instruments at fair prices under risk management frameworks and pursuing specialized financing opportunities to support economic growth, such as export credit agency-backed funding, infrastructure development financing, and exploring new markets and currencies.

Recently, Saudi Arabia secured a $2.5 billion Sharia-compliant revolving credit facility for three years from three regional and international financial institutions to address budgetary needs.

In 2024, Saudi Arabia issued $17 billion in dollar-denominated bonds, including $12 billion in January and $5 billion in sukuk in May. Rating agencies have recognized the Kingdom’s financial stability. In November, Moody’s upgraded Saudi Arabia’s rating to “AA3,” while Fitch assigned an “A+” rating, both with stable outlooks. S&P Global rated the Kingdom at “A/A-1” with a positive outlook, reflecting its low credit risk and strong capacity to meet financial obligations.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimated Saudi Arabia’s public debt-to-GDP ratio at 26.2% for 2024, describing it as low and sustainable. The IMF projects this ratio to reach 35% by 2029, with foreign borrowing playing a significant role in financing fiscal deficits.