Aramco Maintains $31 Billion in Dividends Despite Profit Decline

Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)
Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)
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Aramco Maintains $31 Billion in Dividends Despite Profit Decline

Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)
Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)

Saudi Aramco retained its position as the world’s top dividend distributor, maintaining its quarterly payouts at $31.05 billion, despite a 15.4% year-over-year drop in third-quarter net profit to $27.6 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $26.3 billion. The profit decline was mainly attributed to lower crude oil prices and weaker margins in its chemicals segment, though partly offset by reduced production royalties, income tax, and zakat.

According to Aramco’s data, the average oil price during Q3 2023 was $79.3 per barrel, down 11.2% from $89.3 per barrel in Q3 2022. The company’s dividend distributions include $20.3 billion in base dividends and $10.8 billion in performance-linked payouts scheduled for Q4.

Aramco’s CEO, Amin Nasser, highlighted the company’s strong net income and free cash flow despite the lower oil prices. He affirmed Aramco’s commitment to maintaining positive momentum and strengthening its position as a global leader in energy and petrochemicals.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Mohammed Al-Farraj, Senior Asset Management Officer at Arbah Financial, explained the 15.4% profit decline was driven by several factors, primarily lower crude oil prices, which directly affect Aramco’s revenue and profits. Additionally, the chemicals and refining businesses faced weak profit margins due to challenges like rising operational costs and a global demand slowdown. Economic factors such as inflation and higher interest rates also impacted energy demand, pressuring Aramco’s earnings.

Al-Farraj further noted that while oil price drops reduce Aramco’s revenue and impact refining margins, the chemicals sector faces additional challenges from higher raw material and energy costs, as well as intense competition. Despite these challenges, Aramco remains committed to its generous dividend policy, reflected in its substantial quarterly payout of $31.05 billion.

Aramco’s stock remained stable, trading at SAR27.55, up by about 0.2%. According to Al-Farraj, investor confidence in Aramco is bolstered by its financial strength and regular dividends, with strong growth prospects in renewable energy and petrochemical investments.

Energy researcher and OPEC Research Fellow Dr. Youssef Al-Shammari added that Aramco has become more resilient and less dependent on oil prices for profitability. He noted that Aramco’s financial and investment strategies make it less vulnerable to oil price fluctuations. Additionally, he pointed out a general decline in global refining margins due to weaker global demand.



Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices inched higher on Tuesday after threats by US President Donald Trump to impose secondary tariffs on Russian crude and attack Iran, though worries about the impact of a trade war on global growth capped gains.

Brent futures rose 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $74.98 a barrel at 0645 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 22 cents, or 0.3%, to $71.70.

The contracts settled at five-week highs a day earlier.

"Near-term risks are skewed to the upside, with US threats of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil leading market participants to price for the risks of tighter oil supplies," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG, Reuters reported.

However, broader themes still revolve around concerns of upcoming tariffs weighing on global demand, along with prospects of increased supply from OPEC+ and the US, said Yeap.

A Reuters poll of 49 economists and analysts in March projected that oil prices would remain under pressure this year from US tariffs and economic slowdowns in India and China, while OPEC+ increases supply.

Slower global growth would dent fuel demand, which might offset any reduction in supply due to Trump's threats.

After news of Trump's threats initially boosted prices on Monday, traders told Reuters they viewed the president's warnings to Russia, at least, as a bluff.

Trump, on Sunday, told NBC News that he was very angry with Russian President Vladimir Putin and would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on Russian oil buyers if Moscow tries to block efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

Tariffs on buyers of oil from Russia, the world's second largest oil exporter, would disrupt global supply and hurt Moscow's biggest customers, China and India.

Trump also threatened Iran with similar tariffs and bombings if Tehran did not reach an agreement with the White House over its nuclear program.

"For now, it appears to be just a threat to Russia and Iran. However, if it becomes a reality, it creates plenty of upside risk to the market given the significant oil export volumes from both countries," said ING commodities strategists on Tuesday.

The market will be watching for weekly inventory data from US industry group the American Petroleum Institute later on Tuesday, ahead of official statistics from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

Five analysts surveyed by Reuters estimated on average that US crude inventories fell by about 2.1 million barrels in the week to March 28.