Iraq’s Government Orders Kurdistan Region to Immediately Transfer Oil Production to SOMO

The Iraqi Council of Ministers headed by Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani (INA)
The Iraqi Council of Ministers headed by Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani (INA)
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Iraq’s Government Orders Kurdistan Region to Immediately Transfer Oil Production to SOMO

The Iraqi Council of Ministers headed by Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani (INA)
The Iraqi Council of Ministers headed by Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani (INA)

The Iraqi government announced on Tuesday that it has ordered the Kurdistan region to immediately transfer its oil production to Iraq’s State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO). The Iraqi cabinet also approved a budgetary measure to reimburse the Kurdish government for production and transportation costs, setting a rate of $16 per barrel for foreign oil companies operating in Iraqi Kurdistan.

Türkiye had halted oil flows through the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) pipeline in March 2023 after the International Chamber of Commerce ordered Ankara to pay $1.5 billion in compensation to Baghdad. This was due to unauthorized oil exports by the KRG between 2014 and 2018. The arbitration ruling concluded that Ankara had violated the 1973 treaty by enabling oil exports from the region without the Iraqi federal government’s approval.

Efforts to reopen the pipeline have been stalled by competing demands from the KRG, foreign oil companies, and the Iraqi federal government. According to a cabinet statement, Iraq’s Ministry of Oil, in coordination with the Kurdistan Ministry of Natural Resources, will appoint an international technical advisor to determine fair production and transport costs for each oil field within 60 days of the law’s implementation. If no agreement is reached within that period, the Iraqi cabinet will select an international advisory body independently of Kurdish authorities.

Iraq has attributed the delay in resuming crude exports to foreign companies and Kurdish authorities, stating that these entities have not yet submitted their contracts to the Iraqi Oil Ministry for review. Additionally, foreign companies have demanded higher production costs, a request the Iraqi government has rejected.



Dollar Resumes Upward Trend, Euro Hits Lowest since Nov 2022

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Resumes Upward Trend, Euro Hits Lowest since Nov 2022

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The dollar hit new multi-month highs against the euro and the pound on Thursday, the first day of 2025 trading, as it built on last year's strong gains on expectations US interest rates will remain high relative to peers.

The euro fell to as low as $1.0314, its lowest since November 2022, down around 0.3% on the day. It is now down nearly 8% since its late September highs above $1.12, one major victim of the dollar's recent surge.

Traders anticipate deep interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank in 2025, with markets pricing in at least four 25 basis point cuts, while not being certain of even two such moves from the US Federal Reserve, Reuters reported.

The dollar was hitting milestones across the board and the pound was last down 0.65% at $1.2443, its lowest since April, with its fall accelerating after it broke through resistance around $1.2475.

"It's more of the same at the start of the new calendar year with the dollar continuing to extend its advances in anticipation of Trump putting in place friendly policies at the start of his term," said Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG.

US President-elect Donald Trump's policies are widely expected to not only boost growth but also add to upward price pressure. That will lead to a Fed cautious about cutting rates too much further, in turn underpinning US Treasury yields and boost dollar demand.

A weaker growth outlook outside the US, conflict in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war have also added to demand for the dollar.

The dollar also reversed an early loss on Thursday to climb against the Japanese yen, and was last up 0.17% at 157.26.

It reached a five-month high above 158 yen in late December, potentially putting pressure on the Bank of Japan, which is expected to raise interest rates early this year, but possibly not immediately.

"If dollar/yen were to break above 160 ahead of the next BOJ meeting, that could be a catalyst for the BOJ to hike in January rather than wait until March," said Hardman.

"Though for now markets are leaning towards March after the dovish comments from (governor Kazuo) Ueda at his last press conference."

Even those who are more cautious about sustained dollar strength think it could take a long time to play out.

"The dollar may be vulnerable – but only if the US data confound market expectations that the Fed doesn’t cut rates more than once in the first half of this year, and not by more than 50bp in the whole of 2025," said Kit Juckes chief FX strategist at Societe Generale in a note.

"There's a good chance of that happening, but it seems very unlikely that cracks in US growth will appear early in the year – hence my preference for taking any bearish dollar thoughts with me into hibernation until the weather improves."

China's yuan languished at 14-month lows as worries about the health of the world's second-biggest economy, the prospect of US import tariffs from the Trump administration and sliding local yields weighed on investor sentiment.

Elsewhere, the Swiss franc, another victim of the recent dollar strength, gave back early gains to last trade flat at 0.90755 per dollar.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars, however, managed to break away from two-year lows touched on Tuesday. The Aussie was 0.36% higher at $0.6215 having dropped 9% in 2024, its weakest yearly performance since 2018.

The kiwi rose 0.47% to $0.5614.