SAMA Governor: Saudi Arabia Plays Key Role in Supporting Global Economic Recovery

G20 leaders meet in Brazil. (Reuters)
G20 leaders meet in Brazil. (Reuters)
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SAMA Governor: Saudi Arabia Plays Key Role in Supporting Global Economic Recovery

G20 leaders meet in Brazil. (Reuters)
G20 leaders meet in Brazil. (Reuters)

Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) Governor Ayman Al-Sayari emphasized the Kingdom’s pivotal role in sustaining global economic recovery and maintaining financial stability. He also highlighted Saudi Arabia’s active participation in addressing key issues during Brazil’s presidency of the G20 Summit.

In a statement to the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), Al-Sayari affirmed the Kingdom’s commitment to achieving the summit’s goals and strengthening multilateral cooperation to tackle challenges such as slow growth and rising global debt levels.

Al-Sayari noted that Saudi Arabia’s participation in the G20 reflects its efforts to promote its own interests while contributing to global economic stability, particularly for regional economies. As the only Arab member of the group, Saudi Arabia seeks to leverage its position to enhance global financial resilience.

He recalled the Kingdom’s leadership of the G20 in 2020, during which it prioritized measures to accelerate global economic recovery, foster financial inclusion, ensure financial stability, and assist low-income countries in mitigating the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Key issues currently under discussion include the slow global economic growth, high inflation rates, rising global debt, and disparities in economic policies among nations.

Al-Sayari highlighted the importance of the G20’s Common Framework for Debt Treatments, a key initiative launched during Saudi Arabia’s presidency of the group. The framework aims to alleviate the debt burden of the world’s most vulnerable countries, a concern that has grown more pressing as sovereign debt levels reach unprecedented heights.

The governor underscored the alignment between the objectives of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 and the G20’s goals, particularly in fostering financial stability and sustainable development. This includes initiatives to develop financial markets, mitigate risks, adopt global best practices, and ensure the financial sector’s stability while expanding its services and products to support the transition to a sustainable economy.

Moreover, Al-Sayari pointed out ongoing efforts to enhance the fintech sector through updated regulatory frameworks and improved guidelines. The Kingdom also aims to increase financial inclusion and awareness by providing individuals and businesses with access to licensed financial services, ensuring consumer protection, and promoting fairness and transparency in financial transactions.



Venezuela Depreciation Risks Reversing Years of Inflation Gains

People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)
People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)
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Venezuela Depreciation Risks Reversing Years of Inflation Gains

People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)
People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)

Currency depreciation is set to reverse years of declining inflation in economically beleaguered Venezuela, public and private sector sources say, as foreign currency sales fall short of demand and the socialist government keeps tight-lipped about its strategy.

After years of hyperinflation and amid broad US sanctions, in 2022 the administration of President Nicolas Maduro began using orthodox policies including credit restrictions, lower public spending, a fixed dollar-bolivar rate and central bank sales of billions of dollars in foreign currency to tamp down consumer prices.

Maduro, who will begin his third term in January after a disputed election that the opposition and international observers say he lost, has said his government defeated inflation of more than 100,000% and prices in 2024 are similar to those in 2014.

But the administration's policy has now changed.

After more than nine months of the exchange rate being held at 36.5 bolivars to the dollar, the government in mid-October allowed the currency to float, beginning a depreciation that has seen the bolivar slide to about 45 versus the dollar, according to central bank figures.

Analysts say the over-valued currency made imports cheaper than locally-produced goods, impacting Venezuela's private sector and helping push prices up by 12% in nine months.

The untethering of the exchange rate will also put upward pressure on prices in the final quarter of 2024, financial and business sources said, with analysts predicting in a LatinFocus survey the rate will end the year at 50 bolivars to the dollar.

Year-on-year inflation was 25% through September. Official figures for October have not yet been released.

"For nine months the depreciation of the currency was zero while inflation was rising, which exposed problems in the exchange scheme," said economics professor and consultant Daniel Cadenas, who added the market depends on oil income. "For the system to function, there needs to be a growing source of exchange and that's not possible."

The government had predicted internally that inflation would close the year at 30%, two sources with knowledge of the projection said, but depreciation could increase the figure and local analysts have estimated inflation between 35% and 40%.

"There has been a necessary adjustment in the exchange rate that will have an impact on inflation," said Asdrubal Oliveros, head of local think tank Ecoanalitica. "The government has understood it needs to devaluate."

REDUCED CENTRAL BANK SALES

Vice President Delcy Rodriguez, who until recently also served as finance minister, told an event with business people last month that there must be "reflection" about the use of foreign exchange.

"We should all be concerned with how foreign exchange is used in imports. It is a subject the Finance Ministry is reviewing," she said. "We need to take care of foreign exchange because this is a blockaded country and there cannot be cheap exchange for hair dye."

Rodriguez's comments are the only ones made on the subject by the government since devaluation began. Neither the central bank nor the communications or finance ministries responded to requests for comment.

Private sector demand for cheap foreign exchange increased during the nine months the rate was held, even as the quantity of dollars being injected into the market by the central bank was reduced, sources said.

In July the bank was offering some $800 million, but by October that figure had fallen to $400 million, according to calculations by local consultancy Sintesis Financiera.

The central bank did not respond to a question about the reduction.

"The strategy in exchange policy is not going ahead," a government source said, without giving further details.

Food and medicine companies in Venezuela are allowed to pay for some of their goods with foreign currency, while other companies are given central bank promissory notes indexed to a specific exchange rate.

Two private sector sources said many businesses are eating through their inventories in the face of import difficulties.