Moody’s Hands France Surprise Downgrade over Deteriorating Finances

People take selfies in front of the Fontaine des Mers with the French National Assembly in the background during the inauguration of the Christmas market at the Place de la Concorde in Paris, on December 13, 2024. (AFP)
People take selfies in front of the Fontaine des Mers with the French National Assembly in the background during the inauguration of the Christmas market at the Place de la Concorde in Paris, on December 13, 2024. (AFP)
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Moody’s Hands France Surprise Downgrade over Deteriorating Finances

People take selfies in front of the Fontaine des Mers with the French National Assembly in the background during the inauguration of the Christmas market at the Place de la Concorde in Paris, on December 13, 2024. (AFP)
People take selfies in front of the Fontaine des Mers with the French National Assembly in the background during the inauguration of the Christmas market at the Place de la Concorde in Paris, on December 13, 2024. (AFP)

Credit ratings agency Moody's unexpectedly downgraded France's rating on Friday, adding pressure on the country's new prime minister to corral divided lawmakers into backing his efforts to rein in the strained public finances.

The downgrade, which came outside of Moody's regular review schedule for France, brings its rating to "Aa3" from "Aa2" with a stable outlook for future moves and puts it in line with those from rival agencies Standard & Poor's and Fitch.

It comes hours after President Emmanuel Macron named on Friday veteran centrist politician and early ally Francois Bayrou as his fourth prime minister this year.

His predecessor Michel Barnier failed to pass a 2025 budget and was toppled earlier this month by left-wing and far-right lawmakers opposed to his 60-billion-euro belt-tightening push that he had hoped would rein in France's spiraling fiscal deficit.

The political crisis forced the outgoing government to propose emergency legislation this week to temporarily roll over 2024 spending limits and tax thresholds into next year until a more permanent 2025 budget can be passed.

"Looking ahead, there is now a very low probability that the next government will sustainably reduce the size of fiscal deficits beyond next year," Moody's said in a statement.

"As a result, we forecast that France's public finances will be materially weaker over the next three years compared to our October 2024 baseline scenario," it added.

Barnier had intended to cut the budget deficit next year to 5% of economic output from 6.1% this year with a 60-billion-euro package of spending cuts and tax hikes.

But left-wing and far-right lawmakers were opposed to much of the belt-tightening drive and voted a no confidence measure against Barnier's government, bringing it down.

Bayrou, who has long warned about France's weak public finances, said on Friday shortly after taking office that he faced a "Himalaya" of a challenge reining in the deficit.

Outgoing Finance Minister Antoine Armand said he took note of Moody's decision, adding there was a will to reduce the deficit as indicated by the nomination of Bayrou.

The political crisis put French stocks and debt under pressure, pushing the risk premium on French government bonds at one point to their highest level over 12 years.



Saudi Crown Prince Orders Measures to Balance Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA
Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA
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Saudi Crown Prince Orders Measures to Balance Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA
Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman. SPA

Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman has issued directives for a series of comprehensive measures aimed at stabilizing land and rental prices in Riyadh, following an in-depth study by the Royal Commission for Riyadh City.

The Crown Prince’s directives are in response to the significant surge in land and rental prices witnessed in recent years. The measures are designed to achieve balance in the real estate sector and increase access to affordable housing.

As part of the initiative, the Crown Prince ordered the lifting of restrictions on land transactions — including sales, purchases, subdivisions, and construction permits — in two key northern areas of Riyadh.

The first spans 17 square kilometers, bounded by King Khalid Road and Prince Mohammed bin Saad Road to the west, Prince Saud bin Abdullah bin Jalawi Road to the south, Asmaa bint Malik Street to the north, and Al-Arid District to the east.

The second covers 16.2 square kilometers north of King Salman Road, bordered by Abi Bakr Al-Siddiq Road and Al-Arid District to the east, Prince Khalid bin Bandar Road to the north, and Al-Qirawan District to the west.

These areas are in addition to previously released areas totaling 48.28 square kilometers, bringing the total area released for development to 81.48 square kilometers.

The Crown Prince also instructed the Royal Commission for Riyadh City to provide between 10,000 and 40,000 fully planned and developed residential plots annually over the next five years, based on market demand.

These plots will be offered at prices not exceeding SAR1,500 per square meter to eligible Saudi citizens — specifically, married individuals or those aged 25 and above with no previous property ownership.

Conditions include a ten-year restriction on selling, renting, or mortgaging the land — except for loans to build on it. If construction is not completed within the decade, the land will be reclaimed and its value refunded.

Additional measures include the rapid implementation of proposed amendments to the White Land Tax Law within 60 days to enhance real estate supply, and regulatory actions within 90 days to ensure fair and balanced relationships between landlords and tenants.

Finally, the General Real Estate Authority and the Royal Commission for Riyadh City have been tasked with monitoring real estate prices in the capital and submitting regular reports to ensure transparency and market stability.