Housing, Utilities and Fuel Drive Inflation Index in Saudi Arabia

People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Housing, Utilities and Fuel Drive Inflation Index in Saudi Arabia

People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate increased to 2% in November, the highest in 15 months. The rise was driven primarily by a 9.1% increase in housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel prices, alongside a 2.7% rise in prices for miscellaneous goods and personal services. In contrast, transportation costs fell by 2.5%.

Despite the increase, Saudi Arabia remains the G20 nation with the lowest inflation rate, a level economists describe as relatively moderate.

According to the Consumer Price Index report published by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) on Sunday, the housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel category saw a 9.1% rise, which was mainly due to a 10.8% surge in residential rents.

Housing costs significantly influenced overall inflation, as this category accounts for 25.5% of the consumer basket. Similarly, prices for miscellaneous goods and personal services rose by 2.7%, driven by a 23.7% increase in the prices of jewelry, watches and antiques.

The restaurants and hotels category also experienced a 1.5% rise, fueled by a 5.9% increase in hotel and furnished apartment service costs. Meanwhile, education expenses increased by 1.1%, reflecting a 1.8% rise in tuition fees for middle and secondary schools.

Food and beverage prices rose slightly by 0.3%, primarily due to a 1.9% increase in the cost of meat and poultry.

Dr. Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank, linked the 2% year-on-year inflation increase to economic shifts under Vision 2030, which aims to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy and reduce reliance on oil.

According to Al-Ghaith, the housing and utilities sector was the primary contributor to inflation, with residential rent prices, particularly for apartments, increasing by 12.5%.

Moreover, the 2.7% increase in miscellaneous goods and personal services reflects changes in consumption patterns and rising demand for certain goods and services amid Saudi Arabia’s ongoing economic and social transformation.

In contrast, the transportation sector’s 2.5% decline helped offset inflationary pressures. Al-Ghaith attributed this decrease to improvements in transportation infrastructure and enhanced logistics efficiency, aligning with Vision 2030’s objectives to modernize the transport and logistics sectors.

Al-Ghaith noted that these inflationary changes are part of the Kingdom’s broader economic transformation. For instance, rising housing costs may indicate increased investment in real estate and improved living standards. Similarly, higher prices for personal goods and services reflect the economy’s diversification and the emergence of new industries.



Oil Rises as Tight Market Supports despite Big OPEC+ Hike

A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev/File Photo
A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev/File Photo
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Oil Rises as Tight Market Supports despite Big OPEC+ Hike

A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev/File Photo
A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev/File Photo

Oil on Monday shrugged off the impact of OPEC+ hiking output more than expected for August as well as concern about the potential impact of US tariffs, with prices rising as a tight physical market lent support.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, a group known as OPEC+, agreed on Saturday to raise production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, more than the 411,000 bpd hikes they made for the earlier three months.

Brent crude futures fell as low as $67.22 a barrel but by 1320 GMT were up 88 cents, or 1.3%, to $69.18. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $67.60, up 60 cents, or 0.9%, and up from an earlier low of $65.40, Reuters reported.

"For now, the oil market remains tight, suggesting it can absorb additional barrels," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

The OPEC+ decision will bring nearly 80% of the 2.2 million bpd voluntary cuts from eight OPEC producers back into the market, RBC Capital analysts, led by Helima Croft, said in a note.

Goldman analysts expect OPEC+ to announce a final 550,000 bpd increase for September at the next meeting on August 3.

Oil had also come under pressure as US officials flagged a delay on when tariffs would begin but failed to provide details on changes to the rates that will be imposed. Investors are worried higher tariffs could slow economic activity and oil demand.

"Concerns over Trump's tariffs continue to be the broad theme in the second half of 2025, with dollar weakness the only support for oil for now," said Priyanka Sachdeva, a senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.