Presidential Election: A Crucial First Step toward Saving Lebanon from Economic Crisis

The vacant presidential seat at Baabda Palace after President Michel Aoun's term ended (Reuters)
The vacant presidential seat at Baabda Palace after President Michel Aoun's term ended (Reuters)
TT

Presidential Election: A Crucial First Step toward Saving Lebanon from Economic Crisis

The vacant presidential seat at Baabda Palace after President Michel Aoun's term ended (Reuters)
The vacant presidential seat at Baabda Palace after President Michel Aoun's term ended (Reuters)

Since 2019, Lebanon has faced one of its worst economic crises in modern history, affecting all aspects of life. The local currency has lost over 95% of its value, driving inflation to record levels and making goods and services unaffordable. Poverty and unemployment have surged.
Amid this, political divisions have paralyzed government action, preventing any effective response to the crisis.
The recent war with Israel added to the burden, causing huge human and material losses estimated by the World Bank at $8.5 billion. This has made Lebanon’s economic and social struggles even harder to resolve, with no president in place to lead the country.
The presidential post in Lebanon has been vacant since President Michel Aoun's term ended in October 2022, leaving the country without a leader to address growing economic and financial issues.
This vacancy has stalled government formation, making it difficult for Lebanon to negotiate with international donors like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which demands major reforms in exchange for aid.
Choosing a new president is now a critical priority, not only to regain local and international confidence but also to begin the long-needed reforms.
One major challenge the new president will face is the reconstruction effort, which is estimated to cost over $6 billion. This is a huge financial burden that will require significant resources and effort to secure funding.
Reconstruction in Lebanon is not just about fixing infrastructure or repairing damage; it is a key test of the country’s ability to restore its role on the regional and international arena.
To achieve this, Lebanon needs a president with a clear vision and strong international connections, able to engage effectively with donor countries and major financial institutions.
Without credible and unified political leadership, Lebanon’s chances of gaining external support will remain limited, especially as international trust has been shaken by years of mismanagement and lack of reforms.
Keeping Lebanon’s deepening crises in mind, the people are hoping that electing a new president will offer a chance for economic and political recovery.
The new president, along with a strong government, is expected to rebuild trust both locally and internationally and restore political stability—key factors for stopping the economic decline and encouraging growth.
For instance, reviving Lebanon’s vital tourism sector will require better security and restoring confidence in the country as a safe place for investment.
This can only happen with political leadership that has a clear plan for reconstruction and necessary reforms.
Given Lebanon’s ongoing financial struggles, the new president’s ability to address these challenges will be critical to rescuing the country and guiding the economy toward recovery and sustainable growth.



Gold Climbs to Near Three-month Peak after US Treasury Move

FILE PHOTO: A salesman arranges gold bangles inside a jewelry showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Mumbai, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A salesman arranges gold bangles inside a jewelry showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Mumbai, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo
TT

Gold Climbs to Near Three-month Peak after US Treasury Move

FILE PHOTO: A salesman arranges gold bangles inside a jewelry showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Mumbai, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A salesman arranges gold bangles inside a jewelry showroom on the occasion of Akshaya Tritiya, a major gold buying festival, in Mumbai, India, May 7, 2019. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo

Gold prices hit a near three-month high on Friday, poised for a third straight weekly gain, supported by a softer dollar and the US Treasury's bond buyback move.

Spot gold climbed 1% to $4,562.86 per ounce by 0752 GMT, hitting its highest since May 29 earlier in the session. Prices have climbed 4.2% so far this week. US gold futures rose ‌1.1% to $4,620.00.

"We've seen ‌the dollar weakening and that has supported ‌not just ⁠gold but all ⁠precious metals, along with a big change in yields," said Brian Lan, managing director of GoldSilver Central.

The dollar headed for a weekly loss, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for buyers overseas. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he may further increase the government's repurchases of Treasuries. This comes after the Treasury on Wednesday announced that ⁠it would double the size of buybacks on ‌longer-dated securities over the next quarter ‌to at least $4 billion per operation.

"Attention now turns to whether the ‌move can extend, with upcoming US data and Jackson Hole ‌Symposium (27-29 Aug) likely to shape the next leg in yields and the dollar," said Christopher Wong, precious metals strategist at OCBC. Meanwhile, two Federal Reserve officials expressed caution when asked how the Treasury Department's debt management ‌changes could affect the US central bank's monetary policy stance.

Traders are now pricing in a 67% ⁠chance that ⁠the Fed will keep rates unchanged next month and a 33% chance of a hike, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Despite gold typically being seen as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates tend to diminish bullion's appeal due to its non-yielding characteristic. The recent rally in prices deterred retail buyers in India, while demand in top consumer China held steady. On the geopolitical front, Bessent said the United States will impose "the toughest sanctions in history" on Iran.

Spot silver gained 1.8% to $69.31 per ounce, platinum climbed 2.6% to $1,875.75, while palladium rose 1.7% to $1,356.59. All three metals were headed for weekly gains.


Euro Zone Business Activity Growth Hits Highest Since November

PRODUCTION - 19 August 2026, North Rhine-Westphalia, Duisburg: A truck is being loaded with a forklift at the Duisport Port in Duisburg while a ship is at anchor. Photo: Bernd Thissen/dpa
PRODUCTION - 19 August 2026, North Rhine-Westphalia, Duisburg: A truck is being loaded with a forklift at the Duisport Port in Duisburg while a ship is at anchor. Photo: Bernd Thissen/dpa
TT

Euro Zone Business Activity Growth Hits Highest Since November

PRODUCTION - 19 August 2026, North Rhine-Westphalia, Duisburg: A truck is being loaded with a forklift at the Duisport Port in Duisburg while a ship is at anchor. Photo: Bernd Thissen/dpa
PRODUCTION - 19 August 2026, North Rhine-Westphalia, Duisburg: A truck is being loaded with a forklift at the Duisport Port in Duisburg while a ship is at anchor. Photo: Bernd Thissen/dpa

Euro zone business activity has grown at its fastest pace this year in August, buoyed by stronger new orders — particularly in manufacturing — and a return to export growth, according to a survey which also showed easing price pressures.

That suggests the economy has remained resilient this quarter despite the Middle East conflict, after expanding 0.4% in the second quarter.

The S&P Global Flash Euro zone Composite PMI Output Index has risen to 52.1 this month from July's 52.0, its highest since November and above a Reuters poll expectation of 51.7. Readings above 50 indicate growth.

Final data have come out better than initial flash readings for the past five months.

New orders, a key gauge of demand, have risen at their fastest rate in 40 months, while ⁠export orders, including intra-euro ⁠zone trade, have increased for the first time since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022.

“The manufacturing sector is again the star performer ... with the services economy providing a supporting role, notching up another month of decent growth after the malaise seen in the second quarter," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

"We are again seeing reports of precautionary stock building helping support ⁠the goods-producing sector amid the ongoing supply chain disruptions emanating out of the Middle East ... However, there are also encouraging signs of rising demand for AI-related tech goods and rising equipment demand thanks to higher defense spending, notably helping Germany in particular achieve increasingly impressive production gains."

The factory PMI has risen to a more than four-year high of 52.8 from 51.9, beating the poll estimate of 51.8. Output growth has hit its strongest level in 54 months.

Services activity has held steady after July's rebound, with the PMI unchanged at 51.7, defying forecasts for a slowdown.

Overall employment has risen for the first time this year ⁠as manufacturers resumed ⁠hiring after more than three years, while services employment has grown at the fastest pace in eight months.

Price pressures, although still high, have continued to ease, with input cost growth at its slowest in six months and output price inflation easing to a five-month low.

"However, with the flash PMI signaling solid third-quarter GDP growth, a return to hiring by companies for the first time this year, and inflation remaining elevated by historical standards, a hawkish bias is likely to be maintained and further imminent rate hikes cannot be ruled out," Williamson added.

The European Central Bank will deliver its second rate hike of this year next month, a Reuters poll showed last week.

Despite encouraging data, firms were less optimistic about the year-ahead outlook and sentiment remained lower than the series average.


Oil Set for Second Weekly Rise as Unsettled US-Iran War Crimps Supply

A fuel pump at a Rosneft gas station in Moscow, Russia, 19 August 2026. (EPA)
A fuel pump at a Rosneft gas station in Moscow, Russia, 19 August 2026. (EPA)
TT

Oil Set for Second Weekly Rise as Unsettled US-Iran War Crimps Supply

A fuel pump at a Rosneft gas station in Moscow, Russia, 19 August 2026. (EPA)
A fuel pump at a Rosneft gas station in Moscow, Russia, 19 August 2026. (EPA)

Oil prices fell slightly on Friday, but were on track for a second weekly rise as the stalemated US-Iran war continues to disrupt supply from the key Middle East producing region.

Brent crude futures fell 23 cents, or 0.3%, to $93.55 a barrel by 0142 GMT, after climbing 2.4% in the previous session. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures slipped 33 cents, or 0.4%, to $86.50 a barrel, after rising 2.3% in the prior session.

During the previous five days of gains, Brent gained more than 7% and WTI climbed more than 8%, ‌reaching their ‌highest since July 24.

Prices have increased on concerns ‌the ⁠inconclusive state of the US-Israeli ⁠war on Iran will mean the continued curtailment of supply from major oil producers.

The earlier peace deal between them expired this week with no effort by either side to restart talks, and US President Donald Trump threatened economic retaliation against nations supporting Iran.

"Both sides are dug in ⁠but lacking the luxury of time to play the ‌waiting game, against a backdrop ‌of crude prices grinding unerringly higher," IG analyst Tony Sycamore said on Friday.

BMI, a ‌unit of Fitch Solutions, said on Friday it will review its ‌Brent price outlook this month, adding that risks to the outlook are "tilted to the upside."

"Exports are already under considerable pressure, because of the twin disruptions in play in the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iranian shut-in ‌of the strait and the US naval blockade on Iran, and the Red Sea due to the ⁠Houthi embargo," ⁠BMI said.

Thousands of people have been killed in the Iran war, which began on February 28 when the US and Israel launched military strikes on Iran.

Seven commodity ships sailed along the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, just half the previous day's tally, data from ship-tracker Kpler showed. Prior to the Iran war, about one-fifth of global consumption moved through the waterway.

On Wednesday evening, Trump threatened "economic warfare and isolation on an unprecedented scale" against Tehran, warning of consequences for any country that provided "any type of lifeline to Iran".

This week, the UAE suspended all financial and economic transactions with Iran until further notice, highlighting the fraught ties between the major Gulf Arab oil producer and Tehran.