Dollar Dithers as Safety Bid Flows to the Yen

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
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Dollar Dithers as Safety Bid Flows to the Yen

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The yen was investors' safe harbour of choice on Tuesday and it touched a five-month high as fears about a tariff-driven slowdown in US economic growth have rattled US stocks and the dollar.

The Nasdaq fell 4% overnight and the S&P 500 slid 2.7% as equities caught up with what bonds and currencies have been saying for weeks: US growth is going to slow down.

The yen made a five-month peak of 146.55 per dollar before steadying around 147.24. China's yuan also rose, ticking 0.2% higher to 7.2426 per dollar, Reuters reported.

Other moves in the foreign exchange market were more muted, and analysts noted that a lot of the shifts in currencies had already happened. The dollar is down more than 7% from a six-month high it hit in January versus the yen and the greenback's apparently dulled lustre as a safe-haven coincides with a big rally in the euro and a broader re-think of how tariffs and a trade war play out in FX markets, Reuters reported.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar was a modest loser on Monday and loitered around its 50-day moving average at $0.6266 on Tuesday. Sterling was holding on above its 200-day moving average at $1.2875 and the euro was steady just above $1.08.

The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are actually stronger since US President Donald Trump hit the two countries with 25% tariffs. Europe's common currency is riding high on German plans to borrow and spend on defence and infrastructure.

"Historically, the dollar outperforms when we get a solid rise in volatility, but when the US economy and US equity market are the central point of concern, this is now limiting the attractiveness of the dollar," said Chris Weston, head of research at broker Pepperstone in Melbourne.

The turmoil in equities was triggered by a Trump Fox News interview, in which the president talked about a "period of transition," dashing investor bets he would back away from his aggressive policies.

The dollar index, however, had a hard time rallying and was mostly flat as small rises against the Aussie and sterling were offset by losses on the yen, leaving it at 103.8.

In a week, as US bond yields have gone down and global yields rose, the gap between 10-year US and German yields has shrunk 33 basis points and the gap between US and Japanese yields has shrunk 17 bps.

Germany's Greens vowed on Monday to block plans for a massive increase in state borrowing to revamp the military, but forwarded rival proposals in a bid for compromise and the euro handed back hardly any of its massive gains from last week.



Türkiye's Stock Market Hit Hard after Arrest of Istanbul Mayor

Police officers intervene as flames rise from a fire in a dustbin during a protest by students against the detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 21, 2025. (Reuters)
Police officers intervene as flames rise from a fire in a dustbin during a protest by students against the detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 21, 2025. (Reuters)
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Türkiye's Stock Market Hit Hard after Arrest of Istanbul Mayor

Police officers intervene as flames rise from a fire in a dustbin during a protest by students against the detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 21, 2025. (Reuters)
Police officers intervene as flames rise from a fire in a dustbin during a protest by students against the detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, in Istanbul, Türkiye, March 21, 2025. (Reuters)

The Istanbul stock exchange's main index was hit hard on Friday, closing 7.8 percent down on the third day of protests over the arrest of Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu.

The 53-year-old mayor -- Erdogan's main political rival -- was arrested on Wednesday, days before he was due to be named the CHP party's candidate for the 2028 presidential race.

The BIST 100 had already slipped by 8.7 percent on Wednesday following Imamoglu's arrest over allegations of "corruption" and links to a "terrorist organization".

The damage was limited to a fall of 0.5 percent on Thursday, but faced with a sharp fall on Friday, trading was suspended twice in the morning.

The index fell below 9,000 points during Friday trading for the first time since early November, a fall of more than 16.5 percent over five days.

Imamoglu's party has denounced his arrest as a "coup" and international organizations including the European Union have expressed concern.

It has also sparked street protests, which President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday denounced as "street terror".