Dollar Dithers as Safety Bid Flows to the Yen

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
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Dollar Dithers as Safety Bid Flows to the Yen

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The yen was investors' safe harbour of choice on Tuesday and it touched a five-month high as fears about a tariff-driven slowdown in US economic growth have rattled US stocks and the dollar.

The Nasdaq fell 4% overnight and the S&P 500 slid 2.7% as equities caught up with what bonds and currencies have been saying for weeks: US growth is going to slow down.

The yen made a five-month peak of 146.55 per dollar before steadying around 147.24. China's yuan also rose, ticking 0.2% higher to 7.2426 per dollar, Reuters reported.

Other moves in the foreign exchange market were more muted, and analysts noted that a lot of the shifts in currencies had already happened. The dollar is down more than 7% from a six-month high it hit in January versus the yen and the greenback's apparently dulled lustre as a safe-haven coincides with a big rally in the euro and a broader re-think of how tariffs and a trade war play out in FX markets, Reuters reported.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar was a modest loser on Monday and loitered around its 50-day moving average at $0.6266 on Tuesday. Sterling was holding on above its 200-day moving average at $1.2875 and the euro was steady just above $1.08.

The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are actually stronger since US President Donald Trump hit the two countries with 25% tariffs. Europe's common currency is riding high on German plans to borrow and spend on defence and infrastructure.

"Historically, the dollar outperforms when we get a solid rise in volatility, but when the US economy and US equity market are the central point of concern, this is now limiting the attractiveness of the dollar," said Chris Weston, head of research at broker Pepperstone in Melbourne.

The turmoil in equities was triggered by a Trump Fox News interview, in which the president talked about a "period of transition," dashing investor bets he would back away from his aggressive policies.

The dollar index, however, had a hard time rallying and was mostly flat as small rises against the Aussie and sterling were offset by losses on the yen, leaving it at 103.8.

In a week, as US bond yields have gone down and global yields rose, the gap between 10-year US and German yields has shrunk 33 basis points and the gap between US and Japanese yields has shrunk 17 bps.

Germany's Greens vowed on Monday to block plans for a massive increase in state borrowing to revamp the military, but forwarded rival proposals in a bid for compromise and the euro handed back hardly any of its massive gains from last week.



FII Institute Names Princess Maha bint Mishari Al Saud as CEO

Princess Maha bint Mishari bin Abdulaziz Al Saud (Asharq Al-Awsat file photo)
Princess Maha bint Mishari bin Abdulaziz Al Saud (Asharq Al-Awsat file photo)
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FII Institute Names Princess Maha bint Mishari Al Saud as CEO

Princess Maha bint Mishari bin Abdulaziz Al Saud (Asharq Al-Awsat file photo)
Princess Maha bint Mishari bin Abdulaziz Al Saud (Asharq Al-Awsat file photo)

The FII institute, run by a global nonprofit foundation of ⁠Saudi sovereign wealth ⁠fund PIF, has named ⁠Princess Maha bint Mishari bin Abdulaziz Al Saud as its CEO, according to ⁠the ⁠institute's website.

“With more than 25 years of leadership experience spanning healthcare, academia, strategic partnerships, and international engagement, Dr. Al Saud has built a distinguished career centered on creating impact through collaboration and institution-building. She has worked across the public, private, and nonprofit sectors to advance initiatives that strengthen organizations, expand opportunity, and improve lives,” the website said.

Before joining FII Institute, she served as Vice President of External Relations and Advancement at Alfaisal University.

She has helped expand strategic partnerships, deepen international engagement, and elevate the university’s global standing in education, research, and innovation.

“A recognized advocate for leadership, healthcare transformation, education, and human development, Dr. Al Saud has represented Saudi Arabia at major international forums, including the G20, and the fourth Eurasian Women’s Forum,” FII Institute said.

“Dr. Al Saud holds an MBBS degree and is certified by the American Board of Internal Medicine, having completed her residency training at George Washington University. Her executive credentials include the Senior Executive Leadership Program at Harvard Business School, IMD Business School and she holds the prestigious, peer-reviewed distinction of Master of the American College of Physicians (MACP),” it added.


Egypt Clears Arrears to Oil and Gas Companies

People walk past a shop selling football jerseys in Khan el-Khalily Bazar in Cairo on June 9, 2026. (AFP)
People walk past a shop selling football jerseys in Khan el-Khalily Bazar in Cairo on June 9, 2026. (AFP)
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Egypt Clears Arrears to Oil and Gas Companies

People walk past a shop selling football jerseys in Khan el-Khalily Bazar in Cairo on June 9, 2026. (AFP)
People walk past a shop selling football jerseys in Khan el-Khalily Bazar in Cairo on June 9, 2026. (AFP)

Egypt's Minister of Petroleum Karim Badawi said on Wednesday that the full settlement of arrears owed to oil and gas partners marked a turning point for the sector.

Badawi ‌said payment ‌of the arrears, "restores ‌investor confidence ⁠and paves the ⁠way for increased upstream activity and accelerated project development".

Egypt had accumulated about $6.1 billion in arrears to foreign oil companies by June ⁠30, 2024 due to ‌a ‌prolonged foreign currency shortage that delayed payments ‌and weighed on investment and ‌gas output. The shortage has since eased, though some companies have said that arrears kept ‌accumulating.

The minister said clearing the debt removed ⁠a ⁠key obstacle to new investment inflows and would support increased exploration, drilling and field development activity, including projects in the Mediterranean where development typically requires significant capital spending and years of work before production begins.


Saudi Economy Demonstrates Competitive Strength, Expands 3% in First Quarter

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
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Saudi Economy Demonstrates Competitive Strength, Expands 3% in First Quarter

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s economy has once again demonstrated the strength of its fundamentals and its ability to withstand regional shocks, posting real GDP growth of 3 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, despite escalating tensions across the Middle East that have disrupted supply chains and global trade flows.

The final official figures surpassed the earlier flash estimate of 2.8 percent. The upward revision reflected higher estimates from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), which raised growth projections for both oil and non-oil activities to 2.9 percent. The Kingdom had recorded growth of 5.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Saudi Arabia’s performance amid logistical challenges, including shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, recently received backing from an International Monetary Fund mission.

Following consultations in Riyadh, IMF experts said the Kingdom had successfully mitigated the effects of regional conflict and eased logistical bottlenecks through resilient infrastructure, the rapid deployment of the East-West pipeline and Red Sea ports, and strong financial buffers provided by the Public Investment Fund and a stable banking sector.

The IMF nevertheless revised its 2026 growth forecast for Saudi Arabia to 2 percent from a previous estimate of 3.1 percent, citing regional instability.

Broad-based expansion

According to GASTAT, first-quarter growth was driven by gains across all major sectors of the economy. Oil and non-oil activities each expanded 2.9 percent year-on-year, while government activities rose 1.5 percent.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, real GDP declined 1.2 percent from the fourth quarter of 2025, reflecting a 6.8 percent contraction in oil activities. Government and non-oil sectors, however, continued to post quarterly growth of 1.4 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively.

Financial services, insurance and business services recorded the strongest performance among detailed sectors, growing 5.4 percent year-on-year and 1.1 percent quarter-on-quarter.

Manufacturing activities, excluding oil refining, expanded 4 percent annually. Crude oil and natural gas activities grew 3.6 percent from a year earlier, despite a 7 percent quarterly decline linked to shipping disruptions.

Consumption and investment remain strong

Government final consumption expenditure rose 11.3 percent year-on-year and 8.5 percent quarter-on-quarter, while private consumption increased 5.3 percent annually.

Gross fixed capital formation climbed 3.9 percent year-on-year and 7.5 percent quarter-on-quarter, underscoring continued investment momentum. Exports increased 1.4 percent from a year earlier, while imports fell 5.5 percent.

Non-oil activities remained the primary driver of economic growth, contributing 1.7 percentage points to overall GDP expansion. Oil activities added 0.8 percentage points, while government activities and net taxes contributed 0.3 and 0.2 percentage points, respectively.

The IMF also praised the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) for maintaining a countercyclical capital buffer of 100 basis points, noting that the Saudi riyal’s peg to the US dollar continues to bolster monetary-policy credibility and financial stability.

On structural reforms, the fund welcomed the recalibration of the Public Investment Fund’s 2026-2030 strategy, aimed at allocating capital more selectively and encouraging greater private sector participation.

It said continued progress toward the objectives of Vision 2030, including deeper capital markets, stronger alignment between education and labor market needs, and broader adoption of artificial intelligence and logistics technologies, remains essential to achieving sustainable economic diversification and safeguarding prosperity for future generations.