Gold Scales Record Peak as Fed Signals Two Rate Cuts in 2025

Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo
Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo
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Gold Scales Record Peak as Fed Signals Two Rate Cuts in 2025

Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo
Gold necklaces sit in a display case at a Laopu Gold jewelry store in Beijing, China March 12, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo

Gold touched an all-time high on Thursday as the US Federal Reserve signaled two possible interest rate cuts this year, adding to the bullion's appeal amid ongoing geopolitical and economic tensions.
Spot gold held steady at $3,047.1 an ounce as of 0700 GMT, after hitting a record high of $3,057.21 earlier in the session.
US gold futures gained 0.4% to $3,054.10, Reuters reported.
Gold is driven by "a lot of uncertain market situations, geopolitical tensions, weaker US dollar and expectations that interest rates will be cut later", said Dick Poon, general manager at Heraeus Metals Hong Kong Ltd.
On Wednesday, the Fed left its benchmark rate unchanged in the 4.25%-4.50% range, as was widely expected. Policymakers anticipate two quarter-percentage-point cuts by the end of 2025.
Non-yielding bullion thrives in a low interest rate environment.
US President Donald Trump's initial policies, including tariffs, appear to have tilted the US economy towards slower growth and higher inflation, at least temporarily, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said.
Trump's tariffs have flared trade tensions and are widely seen as inflationary and detrimental to economic growth.
The tariff uncertainty, rate cut possibilities and escalating tensions in the Middle East have contributed to gold's rally, prompting it to notch 16 record highs so far in 2025, with four being above the $3,000 milestone.
On Thursday, 37 Palestinians were killed in Israeli airstrikes across Gaza, after Israel resumed its bombing campaign.
"For now, gold's appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge has further strengthened in light of those geopolitical concerns and tariff uncertainty. We remain constructive on the outlook of gold," said OCBC forex strategist Christopher Wong.
Geopolitical and economic uncertainties underscore gold's role as a store of value.
"Given the very good performance in gold through Q1, I think a correction is not out of the question," said Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.
"So far, corrections have been relatively short-lived and well bid... $3,090-$3,100 may see some resistance."
Spot silver was flat at $33.8 an ounce, platinum fell 0.3% to $989.85. Palladium slipped 1% to $949.50.



Türkiye Spends $12 Billion Defending Lira After Erdogan Rival’s Arrest

Protesters hold a Turkish national flag as they clash with Turkish anti riot police using tear gas and water cannons during a demonstration in support of Istanbul's arrested mayor, in Ankara on March 23, 2025. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP)
Protesters hold a Turkish national flag as they clash with Turkish anti riot police using tear gas and water cannons during a demonstration in support of Istanbul's arrested mayor, in Ankara on March 23, 2025. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP)
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Türkiye Spends $12 Billion Defending Lira After Erdogan Rival’s Arrest

Protesters hold a Turkish national flag as they clash with Turkish anti riot police using tear gas and water cannons during a demonstration in support of Istanbul's arrested mayor, in Ankara on March 23, 2025. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP)
Protesters hold a Turkish national flag as they clash with Turkish anti riot police using tear gas and water cannons during a demonstration in support of Istanbul's arrested mayor, in Ankara on March 23, 2025. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP)

Türkiye’s central bank burnt through almost $12 billion defending the lira in a record intervention after President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s detention of his political rival triggered a political crisis that scared investors and sent the currency reeling.

The bank spent $11.5 billion propping up the currency on Wednesday after the detention of Istanbul’s mayor, Ekrem Imamoglu, the most prominent leader in Türkiye’s political opposition, said a person with knowledge of the matter and calculations based on official data by Burumcekci Research and Consultancy, the Financial Times reported.

It said the intervention was nearly four times larger than any previous such move on the bank’s official records.

It came after the lira plunged as much as 11% against the US dollar to a record low on Wednesday as Erdogan’s move against Imamoglu ignited a stampede out of the Turkish markets.

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One Turkish banker told the Financial Times that the officials had “lost control” of the market early on Wednesday, adding it had “left a scar” on investors’ confidence.

JPMorgan Chase, a significant player in emerging market finance, also noted “lira liquidity was impaired amid large outflows” on Wednesday.

Analysts say the central bank likely continued intervening in the market on Thursday and Friday. Policymakers have taken other steps to soothe markets this week, including holding an emergency central bank meeting on Thursday in which a key overnight interest rate was increased in an attempt to keep local savers in lira accounts rather than switching to dollars.

The actions have eased the lira’s decline, leaving the currency down 3% for the week, though Istanbul’s Bist 100 share index tumbled almost 8 percent on Friday in its worst week since 2008.

On Sunday, Bloomberg said Turkish central bank officials held a “technical meeting” with commercial lenders to prepare for potential market volatility after a key opposition politician was formally arrested.

The meeting discussed “the latest developments in markets,” according to a statement from the Turkish Banks Association.