Oil Prices Rise on Strong Demand Outlook, Weaker US Dollar

An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)
An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)
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Oil Prices Rise on Strong Demand Outlook, Weaker US Dollar

An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)
An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)

Oil prices rose on Thursday, boosted by a strong outlook for demand in the United States after fuel inventories fell more than expected, and a weaker US dollar.

Brent crude futures were up 34 cents, or 0.5%, to stand at $71.12 a barrel by 0745 GMT, their highest level since March 3. US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) gained 42 cents, or 0.6%, to $67.58.

US government data showed a higher-than-expected drawdown last week in distillate inventories, including diesel and heating oil, which fell by 2.8 million barrels, outstripping a drop of 300,000 barrels expected in a Reuters poll.

"US oil demand outlook remains healthy despite lower air travel passenger volumes," JPMorgan analysts said in a note, adding that reduced US travel activity did not signal broader weakness in the demand outlook.

Global oil demand averaged 101.8 million barrels per day (bpd), an annual increase of 1.5 million bpd, the analysts said.

US crude inventories, rose 1.7 million barrels, however, exceeding expectations for an increase of 512,000 barrels in an earlier Reuters poll.

A weaker greenback also contributed to oil's gains, with the dollar on a downtrend since the end of February.

"Throughout the week, the weakness of the dollar appeared to provide some support for dollar-denominated oil prices," said Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva.

Oil investors remain hopeful of the prospect of the Federal Reserve easing interest rates by 50 basis points by year's end, she added.

Some analysts however are expecting an uneven price uptrend in the near term.

"I am expecting a choppy upward drift in the oil markets right now," said OANDA's senior market analyst Kelvin Wong, adding that bullish price drivers are stimulus measures out from China and the return of hostilities between Israel and Hamas.

Global risk premiums rose after Israel launched a new ground operation on Wednesday in Gaza after breaking a ceasefire of nearly two months.

The United States kept up airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen in retaliation for the group's attacks on ships in the Red Sea. US President Donald Trump has also vowed to hold Iran responsible for future Houthi attacks.

Bearish near-term market drivers include the upcoming production rise among OPEC+ members and a likely lackluster US S&P Global Services PMI flash reading for March, OANDA's Wong added.



South Korea, China, Japan Agree to Promote Regional Trade as Trump Tariffs Loom

South Korea's Trade, Industry and Energy Minister Ahn Duk-geun (C), Japan's Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yoji Muto (R) and China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao attend at the 13th Trilateral Economic and Trade Ministers' Meeting in Seoul on March 30, 2025. (Photo by Jung Yeon-je / AFP)
South Korea's Trade, Industry and Energy Minister Ahn Duk-geun (C), Japan's Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yoji Muto (R) and China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao attend at the 13th Trilateral Economic and Trade Ministers' Meeting in Seoul on March 30, 2025. (Photo by Jung Yeon-je / AFP)
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South Korea, China, Japan Agree to Promote Regional Trade as Trump Tariffs Loom

South Korea's Trade, Industry and Energy Minister Ahn Duk-geun (C), Japan's Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yoji Muto (R) and China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao attend at the 13th Trilateral Economic and Trade Ministers' Meeting in Seoul on March 30, 2025. (Photo by Jung Yeon-je / AFP)
South Korea's Trade, Industry and Energy Minister Ahn Duk-geun (C), Japan's Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yoji Muto (R) and China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao attend at the 13th Trilateral Economic and Trade Ministers' Meeting in Seoul on March 30, 2025. (Photo by Jung Yeon-je / AFP)

South Korea, China and Japan held their first economic dialogue in five years on Sunday, seeking to facilitate regional trade as the three Asian export powers brace from US President Donald Trump's tariffs.
The countries' three trade ministers agreed to "closely cooperate for a comprehensive and high-level" talks on a South Korea-Japan-China free trade agreement deal to promote "regional and global trade", according to a statement released after the meeting.
"It is necessary to strengthen the implementation of RCEP, in which all three countries have participated, and to create a framework for expanding trade cooperation among the three countries through Korea-China-Japan FTA negotiations," said South Korean Trade Minister Ahn Duk-geun, referring to the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership.

The ministers met ahead of Trump's announcement on Wednesday of more tariffs in what he calls "liberation day", as he upends Washington's trading partnerships, Reuters reported.
Seoul, Beijing and Tokyo are major US major trading partners, although they have been at loggerheads among themselves over issues including territorial disputes and Japan's release of wastewater from the wrecked Fukushima nuclear power plant.
They have not made substantial progress on a trilateral free-trade deal since starting talks in 2012.
RCEP, which went into force in 2022, is a trade framework among 15 Asia-Pacific countries aimed at lowering trade barriers.
Trump announced 25% import tariffs on cars and auto parts last week, a move that may hurt companies, especially Asian automakers, which are among the largest vehicle exporters to the US.
After Mexico, South Korea is the world's largest exporter of vehicles to the United States, followed by Japan, according to data from S&P.
The ministers agreed to hold their next ministerial meeting in Japan.