Gold Edges Lower as Dollar Firms, Traders Await Fresh Catalysts

A gold seller analyzes gold coins in the gold shop 'Cap Or Numismatique' in Nice, France, 19 March 2025. EPA/SEBASTIEN NOGIER
A gold seller analyzes gold coins in the gold shop 'Cap Or Numismatique' in Nice, France, 19 March 2025. EPA/SEBASTIEN NOGIER
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Gold Edges Lower as Dollar Firms, Traders Await Fresh Catalysts

A gold seller analyzes gold coins in the gold shop 'Cap Or Numismatique' in Nice, France, 19 March 2025. EPA/SEBASTIEN NOGIER
A gold seller analyzes gold coins in the gold shop 'Cap Or Numismatique' in Nice, France, 19 March 2025. EPA/SEBASTIEN NOGIER

Gold dipped on Monday as the dollar strengthened, while traders awaited fresh catalysts after a recent rally pushed prices to record highs, fueled by geopolitical concerns and hopes of US rate cuts.

Spot gold was down 0.1% at $3,022.21 an ounce, as of 0526 GMT. US gold futures rose 0.2% to $3,026.30.

Gold reached a record high of $3,057.21/oz on Thursday.

The dollar index was hovering near its highest level since March 7, making greenback-priced gold less affordable for overseas buyers.

"Gold is still well-positioned for further upside if markets remain edgy about the possible negative growth effects of tariffs, but this could be partially offset if a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire deal comes closer to fruition," KCM Trade chief market analyst Tim Waterer said.

A US delegation will seek a ceasefire in the Black Sea and broader peace in Ukraine during talks with Russia on Monday. Meanwhile, an Israeli airstrike on a hospital in Gaza on Sunday killed five people, including a Hamas political leader.

US President Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs set to take effect on April 2, likely to drive inflation and hinder economic growth.

However, Trump hinted on Friday there would be some flexibility regarding tariffs.

"President Trump has left some wiggle room for the reciprocal tariffs to potentially be less severe than feared, which has lowered market anxiety to a degree but ... it has also sapped the gold price of a bit of momentum," Waterer said.

Zero-yield bullion is seen as a hedge against geopolitical turmoil, economic uncertainties, and inflation.

The US Federal Reserve held its benchmark rate steady in the 4.25%-4.50% range last week. Policymakers see two quarter-percentage-point cuts by 2025-end.

Spot silver firmed 0.4% to $33.16 an ounce, platinum was steady at $974.98, and palladium added 0.3% to $960.62.



Egypt Approves $91 Billion Budget for 2025/26

 The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
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Egypt Approves $91 Billion Budget for 2025/26

 The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)
The sun rises in Cairo, Egypt March 25, 2025. (Reuters)

Egypt's cabinet approved a 4.6 trillion Egyptian pound ($91 billion) draft state budget for the financial year that will begin in July, a government statement said on Wednesday, as it continues to tighten its finances under an IMF program.

Expenditures will rise by 18% and revenue by 19% over the current 2024/25 budget. Revenue is expected to hit 3.1 trillion pounds, working out to a deficit of about 1.5 trillion pounds ($30 billion).

The increased expenditure partly reflects elevated headline inflation, which was running at an annual 12.8% in February.

Financial reforms under an $8 billion financial reform program signed in March 2024 with the International Monetary Fund have helped Egypt bring inflation down from a peak of 38% in September 2023.

The IMF this month approved the disbursement of $1.2 billion to Egypt after its fourth review of the program.

The new budget targets a primary surplus of 795 billion pounds, equal to 4% of GDP, up from the 3.5% primary surplus originally targeted in the 2024/25 budget.

The IMF granted the government a waiver in the fourth review after the surplus came in 0.5% of GDP lower than Egypt's earlier commitment.

In its third review in June, the IMF praised Egypt for its "strict control of spending".

The new budget also lowers public debt to 82.9% of GDP from an expected 92% in 2024/25, the cabinet statement said.

The cabinet said 732.6 billion pounds in spending in the new budget would be allocated for subsidies, grants and social benefits, an increase of 15.2%.

The budget increases commodities and bread subsidies by 20% to 160 billion pounds. It will also include 75 billion pounds to subsidize petroleum products, 75 billion pounds to subsidize electricity and 3.5 billion pounds to subsidize natural gas deliveries to households, the statement added.