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Trade War Woes Propel Gold to Record High

A miner filters with water the soil extracted from gold quarries in Paso Yobai, Guaira Department, Paraguay, on February 11, 2025. (Photo by Daniel DUARTE / AFP)
A miner filters with water the soil extracted from gold quarries in Paso Yobai, Guaira Department, Paraguay, on February 11, 2025. (Photo by Daniel DUARTE / AFP)
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Trade War Woes Propel Gold to Record High

A miner filters with water the soil extracted from gold quarries in Paso Yobai, Guaira Department, Paraguay, on February 11, 2025. (Photo by Daniel DUARTE / AFP)
A miner filters with water the soil extracted from gold quarries in Paso Yobai, Guaira Department, Paraguay, on February 11, 2025. (Photo by Daniel DUARTE / AFP)

Gold breached the $3,100 level on Monday to touch an all-time high as investors turned to the safe-haven asset amid concerns that US President Donald Trump's tariff plans would widen the global trade war and trigger an economic fallout.
Spot gold added 0.9% to $3,110.81 an ounce as of 0444 GMT after hitting a record high of $3,115.79 earlier. Bullion has gained more than 8% in March, Reuters reported.
The dollar index eased 0.2%, making greenback-priced gold less expensive for buyers holding other currencies.
"Markets' anxiety levels have been ramping up ahead of the reciprocal US tariff announcements, which is keeping gold in high demand as a defensive play," KCM Trade chief market analyst, Tim Waterer said.
"If the tariff announcements this week are not as severe as feared, then the gold price could start to backtrack as profit-taking from the highs may be triggered."
Trump is expected to announce reciprocal tariffs on April 2, while auto tariffs will take effect on April 3.
On Sunday, the US president said he was "pissed off" at Russian President Vladimir Putin and would impose secondary tariffs of 25%-50% on buyers of Russian oil if he feels Moscow is blocking his efforts to end the war in Ukraine, further escalating trade war concerns.
Gold, traditionally seen as a hedge against political and economic uncertainties, has risen more than 18% this year. The rally prompted multiple banks to increase their 2025 forecasts.
Meanwhile, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said inflation data released on Friday confirms her decreased confidence in her baseline expectation that two interest rate cuts this year are a "reasonable" projection.
Spot silver rose 0.7% to $34.35 an ounce, platinum was steady at $984.07 and palladium gained 0.5% to $976.72. All three metals are set for a monthly rise.

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Oil Edges up on Potential US Tariff Exemptions on Cars, Pick-up in China Crude Imports 

A general view of oil tanks located near the Teltowkanal canal in Berlin, Germany, 10 April 2025. (EPA)
A general view of oil tanks located near the Teltowkanal canal in Berlin, Germany, 10 April 2025. (EPA)
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Oil Edges up on Potential US Tariff Exemptions on Cars, Pick-up in China Crude Imports 

A general view of oil tanks located near the Teltowkanal canal in Berlin, Germany, 10 April 2025. (EPA)
A general view of oil tanks located near the Teltowkanal canal in Berlin, Germany, 10 April 2025. (EPA)

Oil prices inched higher on Tuesday, supported by new tariff exemptions floated by US President Donald Trump and a rebound in China crude oil imports in anticipation of tighter Iranian supply.

Brent crude futures gained 12 cents, or 0.2%, to $65 per barrel by 0350 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 13 cents, or 0.2%, to $61.66.

"Trump granted exemptions on electronic tariffs and signaled an auto tariff relief, both of which are seen as setbacks from the previously announced import levies, hence, providing some relief to risk assets, including oil," said independent market analyst Tina Teng.

"However, the rally in stocks and growth-sentiment commodities is skeptical, as his policy is unpredictable."

In the latest development in Trump's whipsawing trade war, he said he was considering a modification to the 25% tariffs imposed on foreign auto and auto parts imports from Mexico, Canada and other places.

The vacillating US trade policies have created uncertainty for global oil markets and pushed OPEC on Monday to lower its demand outlook for the first time since December.

The Trump administration had announced on Friday that it would grant exclusions from tariffs on smartphones, computers and some other electronic goods, most of which are imported from China. That drove both oil benchmarks to settle up slightly higher on Monday.

On Sunday, Trump said he would announce the tariff rate on imported semiconductors over the next week and a Monday Federal Register filing showed the administration had begun an investigation into imports of semiconductors on April 1.

"The market is digesting fast-moving policy developments on the tariff front, while balancing them with nuclear talks between the US and Iran," said ING analysts in a Tuesday note.

"Clearly, the market is more focused on tariffs and what they mean for oil demand."

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Friday the United States could stop Iranian oil exports as part of Trump's plan to pressure Tehran over its nuclear program.

Also supporting prices were data on Monday showing that China's crude oil imports in March were up nearly 5% from a year earlier, as arrivals of Iranian oil surged in anticipation of tighter US sanctions enforcement.