LVMH Shares Drop after Missing Second-quarter Estimates

A man walks past a shop of fashion house Dior in Paris, France, April 15, 2024. REUTERS/Manon Cruz/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
A man walks past a shop of fashion house Dior in Paris, France, April 15, 2024. REUTERS/Manon Cruz/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
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LVMH Shares Drop after Missing Second-quarter Estimates

A man walks past a shop of fashion house Dior in Paris, France, April 15, 2024. REUTERS/Manon Cruz/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights
A man walks past a shop of fashion house Dior in Paris, France, April 15, 2024. REUTERS/Manon Cruz/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

Shares in LVMH (LVMH.PA) fell as much as 6.5% in early Wednesday trade and were on track for their biggest one-day drop since October 2023 after second-quarter sales growth at the French luxury goods giant missed analysts' consensus estimate.

The world's biggest luxury group said late Tuesday its quarterly sales rose 1% year on year to 20.98 billion euros ($22.76 billion), undershooting the 21.6 billion expected on average by analysts polled by LSEG.

At 1000 GMT, LVMH's shares were down 4.5%.

The earnings miss weighed on other luxury stocks, with Hermes (HRMS.PA), down around 2% and Kering (PRTP.PA), off 3%.

Kering is scheduled to report second-quarter sales after the market close and Hermes reports on Thursday, Reuters reported.

Jittery investors are looking for evidence that the industry will pick up from a recent slowdown, as inflation-hit shoppers hold off from splashing out on designer fashion.

JPMorgan analyst Chiara Battistini cut full year profit forecasts by 2-3% for the group, citing softer trends at LVMH's fashion and leather goods division, home to Louis Vuitton and Dior.

"The soft print is likely to add to ongoing investors’ concerns on the sector more broadly in our view, confirming that even best-in-class players like LVMH cannot be immune from the challenging backdrop," said Battistini in a note to clients.

The weakness of the yen, which has prompted a flood of Chinese shoppers to Japan seeking bargains on luxury goods, added pressure to margins, another source of concern.

Equita cut 2024 sales estimates for LVMH by 3% - attributing 1% to currency fluctuations - and lowered its second half organic sales estimate to 7% growth from 10% growth previously.

The lack of visibility for the second half beyond the easing of comparative figures - as the Chinese post-pandemic lockdown bounce tapered off a year ago - is unlikely to improve investor sentiment to the luxury sector, Citi analyst Thomas Chauvet said in an email to clients.

"No miracle with the luxury bellwether; sector likely to remain out of favour," he wrote.

Jefferies analysts said the miss came as investors eye Chinese shoppers for their potential to "resume their pre-COVID role as the locomotive of industry growth and debate when Western consumers will have fully digested their COVID overspend".

LVMH shares have been volatile since the luxury slowdown emerged, and are down about 20% over the past year, with middle-class shoppers in China, the world's No. 2 economy, a key focus as they rein in purchases at home amid a property slump and job insecurity.

LVMH offered some reassurance, with finance chief Jean-Jacques Guiony telling analysts during a call on Tuesday that Chinese customers were "holding up quite well," while business with US and European customers was "slightly better".



Second-Hand Clothes App Vinted Reports Jump in Revenue and Profit 

Vinted plans to expand into more countries in 2025. (Getty Images)
Vinted plans to expand into more countries in 2025. (Getty Images)
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Second-Hand Clothes App Vinted Reports Jump in Revenue and Profit 

Vinted plans to expand into more countries in 2025. (Getty Images)
Vinted plans to expand into more countries in 2025. (Getty Images)

Vinted, an app where users buy and sell second-hand clothes, reported a 36% increase in revenue for 2024 on Tuesday and said it more than tripled its net profit, as more shoppers opt for cheaper used items instead of new.

Vinted has benefited as inflation-weary European consumers slashed their spending on clothing, and looked for new ways to make money by selling their own unwanted items.

Founded in Lithuania in 2008, Vinted reached profitability for the first time in 2023. It was valued at 5 billion euros ($5.69 billion) in a secondary share sale in October last year.

Vinted plans to expand into more countries in 2025, having launched in Croatia, Greece, and Ireland last year for a total of 22 markets in Europe.

Vinted started letting users buy and sell second-hand electronics on the platform in 2024, and said it would add more categories, though it is still mainly known for clothing.

Revenue for 2024 was 813.4 million euros ($925.89 million), up from 596.3 million euros in 2023, while net profit jumped 330% to 76.7 million euros.

Lithuania's first "unicorn", a term for a privately-held company with a valuation exceeding $1 billion, Vinted said it is launching an investment arm, Vinted Ventures, aimed at funding other second-hand retail startups.

Vinted Ventures will offer funding of between 500,000 euros and 10 million euros to Series A and Series C stage companies.