Nike Trips as Forecast of Another Sales Decline Dims Quick Turnaround Hopes 

Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)
Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)
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Nike Trips as Forecast of Another Sales Decline Dims Quick Turnaround Hopes 

Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)
Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)

Nike shares slipped nearly 6% premarket on Friday after the sportswear giant warned of another quarter of sales decline, leaving some investors worried about the pace of a crucial turnaround under new CEO Elliott Hill.

The company on Thursday forecast a steeper-than-expected drop in fourth-quarter revenue and also reported a 17% slump in China quarterly sales amid weaker discretionary spending in the country.

Hill - who took on the role in October to help the sportswear maker regain lost market share - has laid out what he called a "Win Now" strategy, which includes boosting on-the-ground presence in five key cities including Shanghai and Beijing.

"It is too early to be confident in the turnaround," Sheraz Mian, director of research at Zacks Investment Research, said.

The new management will take time to rebuild relations with other retailers that were weakened by its focus on selling directly via its stores and website and develop a more compelling line of products, he said.

Nike shares are down about 11% since Hill's CEO announcement in September, giving up all the gains following his appointment.

To be sure, Hill has fast-tracked certain sneaker launches such as Pegasus premium and Vomero 18 that helped lift sales in the reported third quarter. Still, Nike is working to move past the previous management's strategy missteps that led to a lack of innovation for its product lines.

Nike's Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said the company would take "several quarters" to clear out its dated stock, which would involve margin-hitting discounts.

"Nike is emerging from quite a deep hole from prior management in terms of excess inventory, lack of innovation and brand equity, which we expect will take multiple seasons to correct," Barclays analyst Adrienne Yih said.

Analysts at Barclays also projected that the earliest they foresee a turnaround is in the second half of Nike's fiscal year ending May 2026.

The company's forward price-to-earnings ratio for the next 12 months, a benchmark for valuing stocks, was 30.08, compared with 17.33 for Deckers and 25.91 for Adidas.

"We continue to like the recovery story but don't expect to see much short-term progress," Bernstein analysts said.



Uniqlo Operator Fast Retailing Seen Posting 14% Jump in Q2 Profit as Tariffs Loom 

Shoppers walk past Uniqlo store in King of Prussia Mall, as global markets brace for a hit to trade and growth caused by US President Donald Trump's decision to impose import tariffs on dozens of countries, in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, US, April 3, 2025. (Reuters)
Shoppers walk past Uniqlo store in King of Prussia Mall, as global markets brace for a hit to trade and growth caused by US President Donald Trump's decision to impose import tariffs on dozens of countries, in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, US, April 3, 2025. (Reuters)
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Uniqlo Operator Fast Retailing Seen Posting 14% Jump in Q2 Profit as Tariffs Loom 

Shoppers walk past Uniqlo store in King of Prussia Mall, as global markets brace for a hit to trade and growth caused by US President Donald Trump's decision to impose import tariffs on dozens of countries, in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, US, April 3, 2025. (Reuters)
Shoppers walk past Uniqlo store in King of Prussia Mall, as global markets brace for a hit to trade and growth caused by US President Donald Trump's decision to impose import tariffs on dozens of countries, in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, US, April 3, 2025. (Reuters)

The operator of Uniqlo, Japan's Fast Retailing, is expected to post another quarter of strong earnings on Thursday, but the focus will be on how the global clothing chain navigates a trade environment thrown into disarray by new US tariffs.

Fast Retailing is expected to post a 14% rise in operating profit to 125.9 billion yen ($866 million) in the three months through February from a year earlier, based on the LSEG consensus forecast drawn from six analysts.

That would be a record for the second quarter and a near doubling of the 7.4% profit growth of the first quarter.

From one store in Hiroshima, western Japan, 40 years ago, Uniqlo has grown to more than 2,500 locations across the world, selling inexpensive fleeces and cotton shirts made primarily in China and other Asian manufacturing hubs.

But that business model has been upended by widespread tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump, along with retaliation by some of America's trading partners.

The company has recently looked to North America and Europe for growth due to a slowing economy in China, its largest overseas consumer market with more than 900 Uniqlo stores on the mainland.

The tariffs will certainly be a negative for Fast Retailing, said independent analyst Mark Chadwick, but the measures will have the same impact on its retail peers and have a worse effect on other industries.

"Textile supply chains are probably more flexible than, say auto supply chains," said Chadwick, who writes on the Smartkarma platform. "In short, US tariffs will have a negative impact on Fast earnings looking out over the next 12 months, but less so than other global firms like Nintendo, Toyota."

SHARES RETREAT AFTER 2024 JUMP

Fast Retailing shares have fallen more than 4% this month, as Trump laid out his tariffs plan. They are down 19% in 2025, after surging nearly 50% last year.

Its founder Tadashi Yanai, Japan's richest man, aims to make his company the world's No. 1 clothing brand. Yanai, due to speak at Thursday's earnings briefing, has long been an advocate of free trade and has defended the company's business dealings in China when human rights concerns there have sprung up.

Trump said Japan would be hit with a 24% reciprocal tariff on non-auto products, while duties on Chinese goods will rise to 104%.

UBS analysts said that Uniqlo goods shipped to North America are procured from sources outside China, and Fast Retailing's tariff costs would be an estimated 34.3 billion yen next fiscal year, curbing business profit by about 6%.

"We will be watching closely whether a heightened price consciousness among consumers leads them to re-rate the balance between value and pricing at Uniqlo, potentially translating into business opportunities over the medium term," UBS's Takahiro Kazahaya wrote in a report this week.

Fast Retailing expects operating profit to reach 530 billion yen in the fiscal year ending in August, which would be a fourth straight year of record earnings.

Domestic sales have recently gotten a boost from a surge in duty-free shopping amid a tourism boom in Japan fueled by a weak yen.