Iranian-US Prisoner Swap Deal Awaits Transfer of Funds

 The amphibious assault ship USS Bataan sailed in the Red Sea last Tuesday (AP)
The amphibious assault ship USS Bataan sailed in the Red Sea last Tuesday (AP)
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Iranian-US Prisoner Swap Deal Awaits Transfer of Funds

 The amphibious assault ship USS Bataan sailed in the Red Sea last Tuesday (AP)
The amphibious assault ship USS Bataan sailed in the Red Sea last Tuesday (AP)

US and Iranian delegations gathered in separate hotels in Doha – “within sight of each other, but not within earshot”, to reach an agreement on a deal to release five Americans detained in Iran, CNN quoted a US official as saying.

However, the official, who is familiar with the negotiations, stressed that the on-and-off hotel meetings in the Qatari capital, which were being held for over more than a year, saw no face-to-face meetings between the US and Iranian delegations.

Qatari officials conveyed messages back and forth, CNN reported, with some of the logistical work happening in the most discreet way possible, via text thread between the Qataris and the US diplomats.

The indirect talks were part of a two-year process that led to the agreement announced this week, a potential diplomatic breakthrough between the two arch-rivals who do not directly speak to each other.

On Thursday, those intense efforts yielded the first signs of a deal, when Iran released four Americans held in the notorious Evin prison and transferred them to house arrest, with a fifth American prisoner also under home confinement.

CNN quoted well-informed sources as saying that Washington rejected overt initiatives to deal directly with Tehran on this issue.

American officials approached the negotiations on the basis that there were “no guarantees” with the Iranians. But just when things seemed to be going well, the US government began reaching out to Congress and the families of the US detainees.

On Thursday, the US source said that American officials were in direct contact with the Swiss ambassador to Iran to get an update on progress on the ground. Switzerland has been sponsoring US interests in Iran for four decades.

The path was described as a step-by-step process, and American officials stressed that the indirect negotiations were ongoing and sensitive.

One component of the deal is an expected prisoner exchange between the United States and Iran, and the other includes allowing $6 billion in Iranian funds frozen in a restricted account in South Korea to be transferred more easily for “unsanctioned trade” in goods, such as food and medicine, by moving them to restricted accounts in Qatar.

According to CNN, the sources said that the money came from oil sales that were authorized and placed in accounts set up under the Trump administration.

Sources familiar with the deal said the process of transferring the money to Qatar was likely to take between 30 and 45 days, and that the money would be moved through Switzerland before arriving in Qatar.

According to the Associated Press, the transfer process would take so long because Iran did not want to freeze assets in South Korean won, which are less convertible than euros or dollars.

US officials say that while South Korea approves of the conversion, it is worried that converting this big amount into other currencies at once would negatively affect its exchange rate and the economy.

Thus, the country is proceeding slowly, sending smaller amounts of frozen assets for eventual transfer to the central bank in Qatar.

While the Biden administration describes the process - with the ultimate goal of securing the release of Americans - as a long road, CNN quoted those sources as saying that bringing Americans home has been a priority since the beginning of Biden’s term.

However, experts in Iranian affairs criticized these allegations, accusing the Biden administration of providing billions of dollars to support Iran’s activities.

Richard Goldberg, vice president of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies said on X (formerly Twitter) that the billions of dollars were in support of a wide range of illegal activities, the completion of construction of a new, hardened underground facility, and establishment of nuclear threshold status.

For his part, Henry Rome, a researcher in Iranian affairs at The Washington Institute, said on the X platform that the deal for Iran to reduce its uranium stocks by 60 percent was a constructive step in implementing the American-Iranian understandings that were reached in Oman.

Rome expected Tehran to use the diplomatic progress to try to divert social pressure ahead of the anniversary of the outbreak of popular protests after the death of Mahsa Amini.

However, some observers believe that two main reasons could be behind this agreement. First, Iran’s attempt to avoid sanctions that could be imposed during the next meeting of the IAEA’s Board of Experts, through its “voluntary” reduction of its stockpile of enriched uranium, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Second, the unprecedented US military build-up in the Gulf waters, which was considered a “firm” message to Tehran.

On Saturday, US forces and their Western allies issued a new warning to cargo ships transiting the strategic Strait of Hormuz to stay as far as possible from Iranian territorial waters to avoid being captured. This was considered a stark notice, amid tensions between Iran and the United States, despite the ongoing negotiations, according to the Associated Press.



Climate Change-Worsened Floods Wreak Havoc in Africa

People carry possessions on a pirogue over flood water flowing over a main road in Odobere on October 22, 2024. (AFP)
People carry possessions on a pirogue over flood water flowing over a main road in Odobere on October 22, 2024. (AFP)
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Climate Change-Worsened Floods Wreak Havoc in Africa

People carry possessions on a pirogue over flood water flowing over a main road in Odobere on October 22, 2024. (AFP)
People carry possessions on a pirogue over flood water flowing over a main road in Odobere on October 22, 2024. (AFP)

Every rainy season for the past 12 years, floods have swept through 67-year-old Idris Egbunu's house in central Nigeria.

It is always the same story -- the Niger River bursts its banks and the waters claim his home for weeks on end, until he can return and take stock of the damage.

The house then needs cleaning, repairs, fumigation and repainting, until the next rainy season.

Flooding is almost inevitable around Lokoja in Nigeria's Kogi state, where Africa's third-longest river meets its main tributary, the Benue.

But across vast areas of Africa, climate change has thrown weather patterns into disarray and made flooding much more severe, especially this year.

Devastating inundations are threatening the survival of millions of residents on the continent. Homes have been wrecked and crops ruined, jeopardizing regional food security.

Torrential rains and severe flooding have affected around 6.9 million people in West and Central Africa so far in 2024, according to data from the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA).

- 'Very, very bad' -

Residents and officials around Lokoja said floods first became more severe in Kogi state in 2012 and have battered the area each year since.

In 2022, Nigeria's worst floods in a decade killed more than 500 people and displaced 1.4 million.

Sandra Musa, an emergency agency adviser to the Kogi state governor, believes this year's flooding has not yet reached the level seen in 2022, but warned it was "very, very bad".

"Usually at this time of year the water level drops, but here it's rising again," she told AFP, estimating that the floods have affected around two million people in the state.

Fatima Bilyaminu, a 31-year-old mother and shopkeeper, can only get to her house in the Adankolo district of Lokoja by boat as a result of the waters.

The swollen river rises almost to the windows, while water hyacinths float past the crumbling building.

"I lost everything. My bed, my cushioned chair, my wardrobe, my kitchen equipment," she told AFP.

With no money to rent a house elsewhere, she has little choice but to keep living in the small concrete building and repair it, flood after flood.

- Damage and displacement -

Africa is bearing the brunt of climate change, even though it only contributes around four percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, according to a recent report by the World Meteorological Organization.

This year is set to overtake 2023 as the world's hottest on record.

"This year has been unusual in terms of the amount of rainfall, with many extreme events, which is one of the signs of climate change," said Aida Diongue-Niang from the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

In the Sahel region bordering the Sahara desert, the volume, intensity and duration of rainfall was "unprecedented," according to Amadou Diakite from the Mali Meteo weather service.

In Niger, some regions recorded up to 200 percent more rain than in previous years, the national meteorological service said. The waters put at risk the historic city center of Agadez, a UNESCO World Heritage site in the desert north.

Over the border in Chad, torrential rains since July have killed at least 576 people and affected 1.9 million, more than 10 percent of the population, according to a report published by the OCHA.

In neighboring Cameroon, the UN body said torrential rains had destroyed more than 56,000 homes and flooded tens of thousands of hectares of crops.

Floodwaters swept through the capital Conakry in Guinea, while floods in Monrovia reignited debates over building another city to serve as Liberia's capital.

Entire districts of Mali's capital Bamako were submerged, leaving waste and liquid from septic tanks seeping across the streets.

In August, downpours caused the roof of the centuries-old Tomb of Askia in the Malian city of Gao to collapse.

Several countries have postponed the start of the school year as a result of the floods.

- 'Keep getting worse' -

"It used to be a decadal cycle of flooding, and we're now into a yearly cycle," said Clair Barnes, a researcher at the Centre for Environmental Policy at Imperial College London.

"This is only going to keep getting worse if we keep burning fossil fuels," she said.

As global temperatures rise, extreme weather events will increase in frequency and intensity, scientists warn.

Experts estimate that by 2030, up to 118 million Africans already living in poverty will be exposed to drought, floods and intense heat.

Building along riverbanks also poses a risk, Youssouf Sane of Senegal's meteorology agency said, urging governments to think about the relationship between climate change and urbanization.

But the IPCC's Diongue-Niang said the only way to tackle extreme weather was to limit greenhouse gas emissions.

"That doesn't fall to the region -- it falls to the whole of humanity," she said.