Saudi Initiative to Prevent an Israeli Invasion Collided with Soviet Rejection

Arafat on the front lines of fighting in Beirut (Getty)
Arafat on the front lines of fighting in Beirut (Getty)
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Saudi Initiative to Prevent an Israeli Invasion Collided with Soviet Rejection

Arafat on the front lines of fighting in Beirut (Getty)
Arafat on the front lines of fighting in Beirut (Getty)

As part of the reports published by Asharq Al-Awsat on the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in the summer of 1982, Hani Al-Hassan, a member of the Central Committee of the Fatah movement, narrates that the Palestinians had gathered information a year before about Israel’s preparation for a wide-scale aggression against the country, with the aim of eliminating the military resistance.

Al-Hassan said that the PLO leadership contacted Saudi Arabia, which responded quickly, by launching an initiative sponsored by then Saudi Crown Prince Fahd bin Abdulaziz.

“The goal of the initiative was to contain a potential war in Lebanon and prevent it from occurring,” he remarked. But the Saudi endeavor collided with the Soviet Union’s rejection.

In the first months of 1982, information began to reach the office of the Director of Intelligence in the Lebanese Army, Colonel Johnny Abdo, about Israeli preparations to carry out a large-scale invasion that might reach Beirut.

Abdo recounted: “We obtained this information from Lebanese sources. I believe that the Western countries themselves were getting their information from Lebanon... It was about a large-scale invasion with an Israeli desire to avoid a clash with the Syrian forces deployed in Lebanon. We did not see how such a broad aggression could be launched without clashing with the Syrian forces. We had questions about the importance of an adventure of this kind, especially in light of Syrian-Soviet relations and the treaty signed between the two countries.”

At that time, statements were issued by pro-Syria Lebanese figures. They put this information within the framework of intimidation attempts that aim to exert pressure on the resistance to push it to facilitate the deployment of the Lebanese army in the South, Abdo said.

He added that the solution to avoid the invasion lied in the withdrawal of the Palestinians from the South and the redeployment of the army there.

“We tried this several times, but Abu Ammar was not willing to abandon South Lebanon. The PLO refused to discuss the issue in detail,” he underlined.

“The Israeli ambassador to London, Shlomo Argov, was shot, and the Israeli raids on Lebanon began, followed by the invasion on June 6. Many thought that the process was limited, but the information available to us indicated otherwise,” the Lebanese official recounted.

Abdo expressed his regret that the Lebanese authority was unable to persuade the PLO to agree on what could have helped to avoid the invasion. He also noted that the Syrian side did not take seriously the information conveyed by Lebanon.

“Yasser Arafat’s state”... and the long journey of torment

Another man was disappointed with the fact that Lebanon had not succeeded in avoiding the catastrophe of the invasion, despite the efforts that had been made. His name is Fouad Boutros, the Foreign Minister of that era.

After turning off the tape recorder, he said: “I want you, as a journalist, to know the story briefly. [Yasser Arafat’s state] was stronger on Lebanese soil than the Lebanese state. It was stronger in the Arab and Islamic worlds. This is in addition to the Soviet Union and the countries within its orbit. We saw some foreign ministers and ambassadors expressing an understanding of Lebanon’s right to deploy its army in the South to avoid Israeli attacks, but this perception was neither declared publicly, nor translated into the policies of these countries. The Palestinian issue enjoyed sanctity that prevented even raising the transgressions of the Palestinian organization that exposed Lebanon to dangers.”

He added: “The PLO considered its military presence in southern Lebanon as its last card to remind of its existence, its demands, and its cause. Arafat was not ready to give up this card. The Arab countries, for their part, were not willing to put pressure on the organization. The media in the region was insensitive to any Lebanese call to impose the sovereignty of the Lebanese state alone on its lands. In addition to all of this, the Lebanese division over the Palestinian military presence was deep and violent, and the mere attempt to control it was labeled as treason.”

Another man was alarmed by Abdo’s information and tried to convince himself not to believe it. He is then-Prime Minister Shafiq Al-Wazzan. Never before in the history of the conflict has Israel occupied an Arab capital.

He recounted: “After the invasion, we summoned the ambassadors of the major powers... It ultimately became clear that we had no choice but to bet on the United States to curb the aggression, or to push Israel to withdraw, even if it was supportive of the invasion or its goals... We wished there was an Arab force capable of intervening and turning the course of events, but the reality was otherwise. Thus, we came under the fire of Israeli aggression... and the long journey of torment began.”

Al-Wazzan added: “I called King Fahd bin Abdulaziz and informed him that Beirut was living without water, bread, or medicine. He was very saddened and told me that he would call me back. Five hours later, King Fahd informed me that he had spoken to President Ronald Reagan asking for his intervention, and that the American president had called Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin, who promised him the return of the water. In those harsh conditions, we considered the restoration of water an achievement. I would like to stress here that Saudi Arabia has not spared Lebanon any possible assistance.”

The Silent Action Party

I was unable to obtain President Élias Sarkis's testimony about those days. The reasons are many. He was from the party of silent action, not from the party of speech. He was confident, based on his integrity and responsible behavior, that history would do him justice if it was written fairly.

Sarkis saw Beirut burning, besieged, and invaded. He saw the occupation soldiers even approaching the presidential palace. He was the voice of the state and the state was weak. He was the voice of the nation, and the nation was divided. His friends say that he was counting the days waiting for his departure, refusing any proposal to extend his term.

Israeli Tanks while advancing towards Beirut in 1982 (Getty)

Did the Palestinian side try to avoid the Israeli invasion, and who bears responsibility for thwarting that attempt? I found the answer with Hani Al-Hassan. He was a member of the Central Committee of the Fatah movement and in charge of its political security. He was also in the narrow circle of decision-makers around President Yasser Arafat.

Al-Hassan said that information was gathered in 1981 indicating that Israel was preparing a large-scale aggression against Lebanon with the aim of striking the military presence of the resistance.

He added that the Reagan’s administration facilitated an operation of this kind. The Arab situation was very difficult. Egypt was in semi-Arab isolation, and Iraq was immersed in its war with Iran. The organization’s leadership went to Saudi Arabia and informed its officials, who took a quick action.

Al-Hassan asserted that the goal of the Saudi initiative was to contain the next war in Lebanon and prevent it from occurring.” But the initiative faltered because the Soviet Union issued orders to block it.

He stressed that anyone who wanted to narrate the Palestinian revolution between 1972 and 1982 must always keep the Soviet position in mind, because the Palestinian revolution lived during that period a stage of indecision, where in the end, despite all the differences and the multiplicity of viewpoints, only the Soviet decision prevailed.

Al-Hassan recounted: “The siege took place and Abu Ammar told me that we had to fight for six months... The important thing is that we made a secret decision to fight for six months, and Abu Ammar asked me to assume the political work. That is, he asked me to move forward with political action, but without returning with an agreement. This means that we negotiate for the mere purpose of negotiation, then we see the balance of fighting, the international situation, and the weight of Syrian intervention.”



Israel’s Far-Right Ben-Gvir Seeks New Ground in Election

In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)
In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)
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Israel’s Far-Right Ben-Gvir Seeks New Ground in Election

In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)
In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)

A turbo-charged election campaign by Israel's far-right national security minister has seen gun-shaped keychains distributed to high school students and a promotional video threatening to "put to death" a Palestinian inmate.

His policy pledges include encouraging Palestinians to leave the occupied West Bank and war-ravaged Gaza, as well as enforcing the death penalty on Palestinians convicted of deadly attacks against Israelis.

Days ahead of polls which many Israelis consider crucial to deciding the future character of their country, the divisive influence of Itamar Ben-Gvir -- once considered a provocateur on Israel's extremist fringes -- shows no sign of dimming.

Polls show his Otzma Yehudit, or Jewish Power, party winning eight or nine seats in the 120-member parliament, making it the first time it will win a mandate running as a standalone entity.

In 2022, it was allocated six seats after running on a joint list with other far-right parties.

Ben-Gvir, who has been convicted at least eight times in Israeli courts before becoming minister, on charges including supporting a terror organization and incitement to racism, has become the firebrand face of Israel's far-right -- whose political clout has skyrocketed since joining Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition four years ago.

"In short, he speaks straight. We really love him," 23-year-old Or Nahman told AFP in Jerusalem's bustling Mahane Yehuda market, where a huge banner bearing Ben-Gvir's face hangs over shop stalls.

"We want to fight and vote for a person like this, who serves our ideology and the things we believe in, whether it's the Jewish character of the country, the victory of Israel, strong economic security, whether it's a country where everyone can walk here freely in their land without any fear of anyone," he added.

Nahman's friend, armed with an automatic weapon, smiled in agreement beside him.

As national security minister with responsibility over the police, Ben-Gvir has helped more than 200,000 Israelis gain access to firearms and boasts frequently about the worsening conditions for Palestinian detainees in Israeli jails.

And he has used his place in the cabinet to push the government to take more maximalist positions in Israel's multi-front wars.

He proudly sports a lapel pin in the shape of a hangman's noose after spearheading a death penalty law tailored to apply to Palestinians, popping champagne upon its approval in parliament and celebrating his 50th birthday with a noose-adorned cake.

The lawyer-turned-politician was barred from serving in the military in his youth over his support for extremist right-wing groups.

Now, he says he will demand the defense minister post if Netanyahu's bloc wins again on October 27.

- 'Not a stupid man' -

The upcoming vote is expected to be close, with more than half a million young Israelis due to vote for the first time. Surveys show they overwhelmingly identify as center-right or right-wing.

A poll of 543 first-time voters published by Israeli outlet Ynet showed some 16 percent supporting either Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit or the far-right Religious Zionism party of Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich.

At a mock election event attended by Ben-Gvir and other candidates at a high school near Tel Aviv in September, Otzma Yehudit activists handed out gun-shaped keychains to students -- evoking his liberalization of gun licensing rules.

Footage shared by Ben-Gvir showed dozens of teenage boys dressed in black, cheering and waving the party's flag.

In the run-up to the vote, Ben-Gvir -- who lives in the radical West Bank settlement of Kiryat Arba -- has campaigned in areas outside his traditional support base.

"When you behave like the boss, people respect you," he said at a recent event for English speakers in Tel Aviv, considered Israel's secular, liberal heartland.

Making a heart gesture after walking onto the stage to whistles and applause, Ben-Gvir boasted of demolishing Bedouin homes and cutting food for Palestinian detainees.

"They come in fat and they come out skinny," he bragged, smiling and making a joke about his own weight.

Ben-Gvir recently deleted a heavily criticized AI-generated video showing smiling Palestinians entering an Israeli prison on a conveyor belt, before exiting crying and emaciated.

In October, Israel's elections committee fined the minister over another video showing him confronting a convicted Hamas official in prison and saying he wanted to kill him, ruling that the footage was electoral propaganda.

His latest slew of AI videos included one showing an elderly Palestinian man sitting in the rubble of Gaza before a genie in the form of Ben-Gvir grants his wish to move to Paris. The French government rebuked the video and noted that Ben-Gvir is banned from France.

For punters at the Jerusalem market, the far-right seemed an appealing prospect, although some were concerned by Ben-Gvir's provocative stunts.

"He's too violent," said 42-year-old Shlomo from Ramat Gan, who previously voted for Netanyahu, but this year said he might cast his ballot for Smotrich.

"We need somebody like him," he said, but cautioned that Israel still needed to work with the rest of the world.

Michael, a 37-year-old from Jerusalem, agreed.

"I believe he's not a stupid man, but the fact is he says stupid things to get votes," he said. "It's very effective but it does a lot of damage to Israel's economy and diplomacy."


How Are Ukraine Strikes, Middle East War Driving US Fuel Prices?

A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)
A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)
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How Are Ukraine Strikes, Middle East War Driving US Fuel Prices?

A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)
A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)

Ahead of next month's midterm US elections, Donald Trump has increasingly blamed Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries for surging energy prices back home, which are causing the president political headaches.

However, analysts say the main driver of higher fuel prices remains the US-Iran war.

- Which Russian sites have been targeted? -

Ukraine has intensified its drone attacks on Russia's energy industry over the past 18 months, seeking to cut the Kremlin's revenues and undermine its ability to finance the war.

The strikes have targeted "mostly refineries", Julien Mathonniere, an economist at Energy Intelligence, told AFP.

On average, one Russian refinery was hit every three days during the first eight months of the year, according to the International Energy Agency.

"Russia's net diesel exports fell by approximately 80 percent year on year in the third quarter of 2026, from around 1.05 million barrels per day to just 200,000 barrels per day," said Viktor Kurilov, an analyst at Rystad Energy.

In response to the disruption in domestic fuel supplies, Moscow introduced a ban on diesel exports from July until the end of October.

- Why does this concern Trump? -

Trump has repeatedly condemned the attacks on Russian refineries, saying Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky disobeyed his orders to halt the strikes.

By contrast, Trump has not commented on the intensification in recent months of Russian strikes against Ukrainian territory, which have caused a surge in civilian casualties.

Trump's frustrations come as the Republicans face dim prospects in the November midterm elections, partly because of soaring fuel prices.

US diesel prices at the pump climbed to a record of $6.53 per gallon at the end of September, up from $3.75 per gallon before the war, according to the American Automobile Association.

Energy price rises are also fueling inflation across the economy.

- What is the Middle East role? -

Ukraine's strikes explain "about one-third of the global diesel shortfall, currently estimated at 1.7 to 1.8 million barrels per day", said Mathonniere.

But "the impact of previous drone strikes (by Kyiv) on global product prices before the Middle East crisis was minimal", James Henderson, a researcher at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, told AFP.

Energy exports from the Gulf have plunged since US-Israeli strikes on Iran from February caused Tehran to respond by choking off the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for oil and gas transit.

At the same time, maritime freight costs have soared and major refining capacity in the Middle East has been hit, adding to upward pressure on oil prices.

- Can prices fall before midterms? -

Relations between Kyiv and Washington soured further this month after Trump announced a controversial agreement with Moscow to lift certain sanctions and allow Russian diesel imports, supposedly to ease prices.

The US president said Wednesday that he believed an end to the Russia-Ukraine war could be closer than ever, as the Kremlin said it was willing to restart trilateral talks with Kyiv and Washington next month.

For now, however, the strikes continue.

"There's not much that can be done in the very short term to lower diesel prices," said Jorge Leon, an analyst at Rystad Energy.

Even if the Russia conflict ended or an energy ceasefire was reached, the impact "wouldn't really move the needle massively for the US midterm elections", he added.

Repairs to damaged infrastructure take time, while continued hostilities in the Middle East drive energy prices higher.


‘Generational Rage’: Young Europeans Fight to Be Heard

 Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)
Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)
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‘Generational Rage’: Young Europeans Fight to Be Heard

 Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)
Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)

From blockaded schools in Rome to tent camps in Madrid and street protests in France, young people across Europe are turning their anger on a political class they say is not listening.

Their demands vary, but they are united in wanting to make their often marginalized voices heard, sometimes even with radical methods in the face of heavy-handed policing.

"We are fighting and taking our future in our hands," said Damiano Fusa, 18, a student at Rome's Cavour high school, the first to be occupied in a wave of student takeovers that has spread across the Italian capital.

"We're not represented by anyone," Fusa told AFP, criticizing both Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's hard-right coalition and previous center-left governments for cutting education funding and ignoring young people's needs.

Hundreds of thousands of high school and university students have rallied in France, Italy, Spain and other European countries in recent weeks, with some protests descending into violence.

Governments have largely focused on restoring order, with France imposing partial curfews and Italy deploying soldiers, responses protesters say obscure their demands and could make things even worse.

"Politicians are responding in ways that are completely disconnected from reality, completely absurd," said Luis Marques, a 19-year-old psychology student in Lisbon.

Students are demanding action on soaring rents, more spending on education instead of defense and more job opportunities for young people.

But experts say the unrest reflects a broader sense among many young Europeans that they have been shut out of politics and sidelined.

"These young people do not just feel like they do not have a place in politics, they feel they are not being heard at all," said Geoffrey Pleyers, president of the International Sociological Association.

Rosario Forlenza, a professor at Rome's Luiss University, called it a "European generational revolt" rooted in a social and economic crisis "to which politicians cannot give a substantive response".

"Young people are a minority of the population that is shrinking and so their social, economic, cultural, political and electoral weight is becoming ever more irrelevant," he said.

- 'Inspiring other people' -

The anger has been particularly palpable in France and Italy, where fresh demonstrations are planned for Saturday.

"People are very angry, they've had enough. Working hard all day and still not being able to fill up their shopping cart," a 20-year-old student who gave his name as Eddy told AFP at a protest in Bordeaux last weekend.

"Will smashing everything change anything? I think it can be a jolt to wake up the politicians. We don't know what else to do to make ourselves heard. The ballot box? We don't believe in it anymore," he said.

Protest movements across Europe are increasingly drawing inspiration from one another, and even looking to youth-led movements further afield in places like Bangladesh, India and Nepal.

In Italy, one student slogan last week urged protesters to "do as in France", while shared symbols, including the Jolly Roger pirate flag, have become common across youth rallies.

Marcos Navarro, 22, a laboratory quality-control technician from Madrid, said protesters across Europe were meeting to share tactics.

"They've come to ask us: 'How did you do it? How do you organize yourselves?' We've already exchanged ideas," said Navarro, who has been camping with hundreds of others in Madrid's central Puerta del Sol square since September to protest housing costs and evictions.

Ayla Herrero, a 26-year-old anthropologist helping at the camp's infirmary, said it was "inspiring for us to know that we're inspiring other people, that it doesn't just stay here".

- 'Not acceptable' -

Concern about the rise in military spending in Europe following the Russian invasion of Ukraine has also been a rallying point.

Nikos Mavroudis, a 17-year-old high school student in Athens' Exarchia neighborhood, said the money could be better spent on his school, where chunks of plaster are falling.

"It's not acceptable for classrooms to be dangerous," said Mavroudis, who hopes to become a cook and plans to move elsewhere in Europe to "countries where things are better".

At Rome's occupied Morgagni high school, where students have barricaded entrances with desks, protesters pointed to the crumbling infrastructure as evidence of neglect.

An 18-year-old, who did not want to be named, said the media and politicians in Italy were focusing too heavily on looting and vandalism by some protesters.

"It turns hatred against the students who are victims of this system," he said.

Asked about the violence, Sabrina Brizzola, 24, coordinator of the Italian University Students' Union, said organizations like hers should "organize and channel this generational rage".

"We have shared concerns, even if our ways of protesting differ," she said.