What Happens Next after RSF Captures Sudan’s Nyala?

RSF forces in Sudan. (AP file photo)
RSF forces in Sudan. (AP file photo)
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What Happens Next after RSF Captures Sudan’s Nyala?

RSF forces in Sudan. (AP file photo)
RSF forces in Sudan. (AP file photo)

The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) seized control of Sudan’s second largest city Nyala on Thursday, marking a possible turning point in the six-month conflict.

The RSF declared the capture of the army's 16th Infantry Division, the military’s western command center, effectively seizing Nyala, the capital of the state of South Darfur.

The development could pave the way for the RSF to advance on El Obeid city, capital of the besieged state of North Kordofan, and other Darfur states.

The development took place hours after the rival Sudanese parties returned to the negotiations table in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, in response to efforts led by the Kingdom and the United States to resolve the conflict.

The army has yet to confirm or deny the fall of its 16th Infantry Division. Several activists, who support the army, first denied the development, but later revealed that the military had “withdrawn” from its base to regroup ahead of the launch of an operation to reclaim it.

Activists and witnesses confirmed that Nyala is now under full RSF control.

The western command is the second most powerful military force in Sudan after the command headquarters in Khartoum. It is controlled by the 16th Infantry Division and comprised of eight military bases inside Nyala and 13 outside the city.

Concerns have arisen that the fall of Nyala could impact the negotiations in Jeddah, while some observers have said the development may strengthen the negotiations position of either party.

Economic and military significance

Nyala is Sudan’s second most significant economic hub after Khartoum given its geographic location. It largely relies on imports and exports. It boasts Nyala International Airport and a railway that connects it to the other parts of the country.

It is also located close to Chad, central African nations and South Sudan, making it a significant border trade hub. Nyala is home to the largest cattle market and boasts major agricultural crops, such as peanuts, millet and various fruits and vegetables. It is also the greatest exporter of gum arabic and cattle. Its residents rely on agriculture, herding and trade.

Retired Lieutenant Colonel Tayeb al-Malkabi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the capture of Nyala is significant given its military importance and since it is Sudan’s second largest city in terms of residents and economic resources.

It is the most important city in the whole of Darfur, he stressed.

Its capture allows the RSF to control various vital resources, as well as Nyala International Airport that can receive all types of aircraft and offer logistic aviation services.

Malkabi said the fall of Nyala means the collapse of military camps and units. It allows the RSF to recruit and train more members in complete security.

He added that RSF now enters a new phase of the war in which it has gained greater military, economic and political strength.

Journalist Ezzeldin Dahab, who hails from Nyala, said the RSF has claimed a victory in the war against the army.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that the RSF now faces the challenge of demonstrating its ability in providing security and services to the residents and returning life to normal.



Hospital in Jordan Offers Injured Gazans Hope for Recovery 

Palestinian student Eyad Kalab, 17, who was injured in his leg from a bullet on March 5, 2024 and left Gaza with his mother leaving five sisters and his father behind, undergoes physiotherapy with the help of physiotherapist Zaid Alqasi, 34, at the Reconstructive Surgery Hospital of the Doctors Without Borders (MSF) in Amman, Jordan, January 7, 2025. (Reuters)
Palestinian student Eyad Kalab, 17, who was injured in his leg from a bullet on March 5, 2024 and left Gaza with his mother leaving five sisters and his father behind, undergoes physiotherapy with the help of physiotherapist Zaid Alqasi, 34, at the Reconstructive Surgery Hospital of the Doctors Without Borders (MSF) in Amman, Jordan, January 7, 2025. (Reuters)
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Hospital in Jordan Offers Injured Gazans Hope for Recovery 

Palestinian student Eyad Kalab, 17, who was injured in his leg from a bullet on March 5, 2024 and left Gaza with his mother leaving five sisters and his father behind, undergoes physiotherapy with the help of physiotherapist Zaid Alqasi, 34, at the Reconstructive Surgery Hospital of the Doctors Without Borders (MSF) in Amman, Jordan, January 7, 2025. (Reuters)
Palestinian student Eyad Kalab, 17, who was injured in his leg from a bullet on March 5, 2024 and left Gaza with his mother leaving five sisters and his father behind, undergoes physiotherapy with the help of physiotherapist Zaid Alqasi, 34, at the Reconstructive Surgery Hospital of the Doctors Without Borders (MSF) in Amman, Jordan, January 7, 2025. (Reuters)

Karam Nawjaa, 17, was so badly injured when an Israeli strike hit his home in Gaza nearly a year ago that his own cousin, pulling him from the rubble, did not recognize him.

After rushing Karam to hospital he returned to continue searching for his cousin all night in the rubble.

In that strike on Feb. 14, 2024, Karam lost his mother, a sister and two brothers. As well as receiving serious burns to his face and body, he lost the ability to use his arms and hands.

Now, the burns are largely healed and he is slowly regaining the use of his limbs after months of treatment at a hospital run by Doctors Without Borders (MSF) in the Jordanian capital Amman which operates a program of reconstructive surgery.

"I only remember that on that day, February 14, there was a knock on our door... I opened it, my brother came in, and after that... (I remember) nothing," he said.

"Before the war I was studying, and thank God, I was an outstanding student," Karam said, adding that his dream had been to become a dentist. Now he does not think about the future.

"What happened, happened... you feel that all your ambitions have been shattered, that what happened to you has destroyed you."

Karam is one of many patients from Gaza being treated at Amman's Specialized Hospital for Reconstructive Surgery, Al-Mowasah Hospital. He shares a room there with his younger sister and their father.

"All these patients are war victims... with complex injuries, complex burns... They need very long rehabilitation services, both surgical but also physical and mental," said Moeen Mahmood Shaief, head of the MSF mission in Jordan.

"The stories around those patients are heartbreaking, a lot of them have lost their families" and require huge support to be reintegrated into normal life, he added.

Israel's 15-month offensive in Gaza has killed almost 47,000 Palestinians, according to Hamas-run Health Ministry figures, and left the coastal enclave a wasteland of rubble that will take years to rebuild. Most of the population was displaced.

The campaign was launched after Hamas fighters attacked southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, killing some 1,200 people and seizing more than 250 hostages, according to Israeli tallies.

Displaced Palestinians have been returning to their mostly destroyed homes this week after a ceasefire came into effect on Jan. 19.