Netanyahu Dissolved His War Cabinet. How Will That Affect Ceasefire Efforts?

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during a press conference at the Sheba Tel-HaShomer Medical Center, in Ramat Gan on June 8, 2024 amid the ongoing conflict in the Palestinian territory between Israel and Hamas. (AFP)
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during a press conference at the Sheba Tel-HaShomer Medical Center, in Ramat Gan on June 8, 2024 amid the ongoing conflict in the Palestinian territory between Israel and Hamas. (AFP)
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Netanyahu Dissolved His War Cabinet. How Will That Affect Ceasefire Efforts?

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during a press conference at the Sheba Tel-HaShomer Medical Center, in Ramat Gan on June 8, 2024 amid the ongoing conflict in the Palestinian territory between Israel and Hamas. (AFP)
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during a press conference at the Sheba Tel-HaShomer Medical Center, in Ramat Gan on June 8, 2024 amid the ongoing conflict in the Palestinian territory between Israel and Hamas. (AFP)

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu disbanded his war cabinet Monday, a move that consolidates his influence over the Israel-Hamas war and likely diminishes the odds of a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip anytime soon.

Netanyahu announced the step days after his chief political rival, Benny Gantz, withdrew from the three-member war cabinet. Gantz, a retired general and member of parliament, was widely seen as a more moderate voice.

Major war policies will now be solely approved by Netanyahu's security cabinet — a larger body that is dominated by hard-liners who oppose the US-backed ceasefire proposal and want to press ahead with the war.

Netanyahu is expected to consult on some decisions with close allies in ad-hoc meetings, said an Israeli official who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to brief the media.

These closed-door meetings could blunt some of the influence of the hard-liners. But Netanyahu himself has shown little enthusiasm for the ceasefire plan and his reliance on the full security cabinet could give him cover to prolong a decision.

Here’s key background about the war cabinet, and what disbanding it means for ceasefire prospects:

Why did Gantz join and then quit the war cabinet? The war cabinet was formed after the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel when Gantz, an opposition party leader, joined with Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant in a show of unity.

At the time, Gantz demanded that a small decision-making body steer the war in a bid to sideline far-right members of Netanyahu’s government.

But Gantz left the cabinet earlier this month after months of mounting tensions over Israel’s strategy in Gaza.

He said he was fed up with a lack of progress bringing home the dozens of Israeli hostages held by Hamas. He accused Netanyahu of drawing out the war to avoid new elections and a corruption trial. He called on Netanyahu to endorse a plan that — among other points — would rescue the captives and end Hamas rule in Gaza.

When Netanyahu did not express support for the plan, Gantz announced his departure. He said that “fateful strategic decisions” in the cabinet were being “met with hesitancy and procrastination due to political considerations.”

How will Israel's wartime policies likely be changed? The disbanding of the war cabinet only further distances Netanyahu from centrist politicians more open to a ceasefire deal with Hamas.

Months of ceasefire talks have failed to find common ground between Hamas and Israeli leaders. Both Israel and Hamas have been reluctant to fully endorse a US-backed plan that would return hostages, clear the way for an end to the war, and commence a rebuilding effort of the decimated territory.

Netanyahu will now rely on the members of his security cabinet, some of whom oppose ceasefire deals and have voiced support for reoccupying Gaza.

After Gantz's departure, Israel's ultranationalist national security minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, demanded inclusion in a renewed war cabinet. Monday's move could help keep Ben-Gvir at a distance, but it cannot sideline him altogether.

The move also gives Netanyahu leeway to draw out the war to stay in power. Netanyahu's critics accuse him of delaying because an end to the war would mean an investigation into the government's failures on Oct. 7 and raise the likelihood of new elections when the prime minister's popularity is low.

“It means that he will make all the decisions himself, or with people that he trusts who don’t challenge him,” said Gideon Rahat, chairman of the political science department at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. “And his interest is in having a slow-attrition war.”



Can Arab Efforts Pressure for a Two-State Solution?

Meeting on Palestine at the United Nations (Arab League)
Meeting on Palestine at the United Nations (Arab League)
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Can Arab Efforts Pressure for a Two-State Solution?

Meeting on Palestine at the United Nations (Arab League)
Meeting on Palestine at the United Nations (Arab League)

At the 79th United Nations General Assembly in New York, Arab nations pushed for the implementation of a two-state solution. Arab League Secretary-General Ahmed Aboul Gheit said recognizing Palestine would lead to “fair negotiations” with Israel.

Experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that these efforts are a way to “pressure Israel and advance peace,” especially after Saudi Arabia formed a global alliance to push for the two-state solution.

On Thursday, a ministerial meeting at the UN, attended by representatives from Arab, Islamic, and European countries, discussed the Palestinian issue. Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan announced that the first meeting of the alliance would take place in Riyadh.

Aboul Gheit outlined three key points during the meeting: taking concrete steps to weaken the Israeli occupation, increasing recognition of Palestine to enable equal negotiations, and stressing that peace can only be achieved by ending the occupation and creating a Palestinian state.

Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty called for an “immediate and lasting ceasefire in Gaza”, urging the international community to stop the attacks on Palestine, according to Egypt’s foreign ministry.

He noted that the crisis isn’t just due to the events of Oct. 7 but stems from years of Israeli actions to entrench an illegal occupation.

Abdelatty stressed the importance of granting Palestinians their right to freedom and establishing a viable independent state along the June 4, 1967 borders, in line with international law and the two-state solution.

The New York meeting was called by the Arab-Islamic Contact Group on Gaza, which includes Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Jordan, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Türkiye.

It followed a mid-September Arab-European meeting in Madrid, attended by Norway, Slovenia, the EU’s Josep Borrell, and Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Mustafa.

On his part, Prince Faisal called on all countries to “show courage” and join the 149 nations that already recognize Palestine. He stressed that the two-state solution is the best way to end the ongoing conflict and suffering.

Dr. Saad Okasha, an Israeli affairs expert at the Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, said diplomatic efforts are key to advancing peace.

However, he told Asharq Al-Awsat that Israel is unlikely to respond to international calls to end the war or recognize Palestine, especially as it is gaining militarily with US support.

He added that diplomatic efforts are usually more effective after the fighting stops, but they still play a role in preventing further escalation.

In support of the Palestinian cause, Aboul Gheit met with Argentine Foreign Minister Diana Mondino. He expressed disappointment over Argentina’s recent positions, which were rejected by Arab countries, and urged a review to avoid negative reactions.

In an informal dialogue with the UN Security Council and Arab leaders, Aboul Gheit warned that the region is at a critical crossroads. He urged the international community to take immediate action to stop Israel’s military operations and push for a fair solution based on the two-state model.

The “Extraordinary Arab-Islamic Summit” held in Riyadh last November assigned a ministerial committee to stop the war in Gaza and push for a serious peace process.

The committee has since engaged in talks with global leaders to help end the conflict.