Rafik Hariri after First Meeting with Bashar Assad: I Became More Afraid for Syria, Not Lebanon

In a new book, former MP Bassem al-Sabeh recalls the thorny relationship between the slain ex-PM and ruling elite in Syria.

Slain Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri. (AFP)
Slain Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri. (AFP)
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Rafik Hariri after First Meeting with Bashar Assad: I Became More Afraid for Syria, Not Lebanon

Slain Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri. (AFP)
Slain Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri. (AFP)

Asharq Al-Awsat is publishing a series of excerpts from a new book by former Lebanese MP Bassem al-Sabeh in which he recalls the thorny relationship between slain former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri and members of the ruling elite in Syria. “Lebanon in the Shadows of Hell: from the Taif Accord to Hariri’s Assassination” is published by All Prints Distributors & Publishers.

Sabeh worked as an aide to Hariri until his killing in February 2005. He served as lawmaker from 1992 to 2009. He was also appointed information minister in Hariri’s government between 1996 and 1998. Sabeh is a member of Hariri’s Mustaqbal Movement and a pillar of the March 14 movement that opposed Syria’s political and security hegemony over Lebanon.

Hariri’s ties with the Syrian leadership extended to around 25 years. In the early 1980s, he acted as an envoy to Saudi King Fahad bin Abdulaziz and accompanied Prince Badr bin Sultan’s diplomatic visits when it came to Arab efforts to end the Lebanese civil war.

MP Bassem al-Sabeh with PM Hariri. (AFP)

At the time, Lebanon and Syria’s relationship revolved around interests and political and personal calculations of Syrian officials, whom Syrian President Hafze al-Assad had given permission to interfere in Lebanese affairs. Hariri had to maneuver around these interests as he attempted to forge ties with the Syrian leadership.

Hariri was in direct contact with Syrian Vice President Abdul Halim Khaddam, army commander Hikmat al-Shehabi, head of Syria's security apparatus in Lebanon Ghazi Kanaan, and military intelligence officer Rustom Ghazaleh. Bashar al-Assad would join the list in the final years of his father, Hafez’s, life.

Other notable Syrian figures at the time included Bassel al-Assad, Bashar’s older brother, who died in a car crash in 1994. He was being groomed to succeed his father as president. Other figures included Maher al-Assad, Bashar’s younger brother, military officer Assef Shawkat, intelligence officer Ali Mamlouk, Defense Minister Mustafa Tlass, foreign minister Walid al-Muallem and his predecessor Farouk al-Sharaa.

Hariri’s ties with Hafez emerged and developed and were tested under the umbrella of Saudi-Syrian relations. They were ruled by conditions that bolstered mutual trust and respect between them. The good relations did not extend to any of Hafez’s three sons. Rather, they were marked by a lot of mistrust and suspicion that ultimately left grave damage to Lebanese-Syrian ties that culminated in United Nations Security Council resolution 1559 and left Lebanon and Syria revolving in a cycle of mutual spite.

Bassel al-Assad.

Before Bashar entered the picture, Hafez was grooming his eldest son, Bassel, to become president. He was the undisputed heir to the presidency. He was Syria’s number one equestrian champion and excelled at his studies at the Soviet Military Academies. He rose up the ranks to become commander of the republican guard.

Bashar, meanwhile, earned his medical degree from Syria before heading to London for postgraduate training in ophthalmology. He was summoned back to Damascus in 1994 after Bassel’s death. He was groomed to become Hafez’s heir. Maher was seen as too hardline to succeed Bassel. He nevertheless is part of the ruling elite, and has been the number two in the regime after he took over the republican guard and Fourth Brigade.

I attended Bassel’s funeral in Syria’s al-Qardaha. In attendance were Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, senior Syrian officials and others. Unlike other officials, Hariri cried at the funeral. I asked him about it later, knowing that he had never met Bassel and shared no ties with him. He replied: “At that moment, I recalled my son Hussam [who passed away in a car accident in the US in the late 1980s]. There is no harder experience than that for a father. God help President Assad.”

Bassel, Bashar and Maher played various roles in influencing Hariri’s political role. Other Syrian officials who also played a similar part included Kanaan, in his capacity as head of the Syrian security apparatus in Lebanon, Mohammed Nassif, who is known for his loyalty to the Assad family, and Shawkat, Hafez’s son-in-law who rose to prominence after Bassel’s death.

Hariri did try to achieve some rapprochement with Bassel in the early 1990s, but Hafez stood in his war. Hariri would try to again forge ties with his other son, Bashar in the late 1990s.

At the time, relations between the two men were very frosty after Lebanese army commander and later President Emile Lahoud was chosen as Syria’s number one man in Lebanon. Lahoud was elected president in 1998 and was given free rein by Syria in acting out in spite against Hariri and launching defamation campaigns against his policies soon after his term as PM ended.

Hariri sought to break the campaign launched against him by Lahoud - with the backing of Kanaan and Ghazaleh. He believed it was necessary to tackle the situation head-on by heading to the source of the problem and tackling the possible means to rectify the relationship.

President Emile Lahoud and PM Hariri. (AFP)

He made an unannounced visit to Damascus to meet with Hafez. It was 1999 and Hafez would die the following year. Hariri realized during that meeting that Hafez had finished paving the way for Bashar to succeed him.

Hafez advised Hariri to be open with Bashar and speak with him directly about Lebanon and ties with Syria. “Bashar has good relations with Lahoud and he can address the situation,” he quoted Hafez as saying. Hariri agreed to the suggestion without hesitation. In turn, Hafez pledged to arrange a meeting with his son. At that moment, Hariri realized that his friend Khaddam’s role in the regime had been diminished and that he needed to speak directly with Bashar to curry favor with Damascus.

Hariri summoned me to his Qoreitem residence in Beirut in late September 1999. He told me that we were headed to Damascus on an unannounced visit. I was not informed who we will be meeting even as the convoy sped to the border. “Are you going to meet the president?” I asked. “Someone more important than him. I will be meeting with Bashar. This is what the old man [Hafez] wants. There is a need to open a new chapter,” replied Hariri. “The father’s health is declining and the young man will come to power. I am being asked to help him. This is the first time I head to Damascus without meeting Khaddam. At any rate, I don’t want him to know now. I’ll tell him later.”

President Hafez al-Assad and PM Rafik al-Hariri during a meeting. (Getty Images)

In Syria, a convoy escorted us to Mount Qasioun that overlooks Damascus. There, Bassel had built a mini villa that he used as his office. Bashar had inherited it from him.

Bashar welcomed Hariri into his office, while Wissam al-Hassan and Yehya al-Arab - of Hariri’s security entourage - and I remained in the nearby salon. Signaling my companions to remain quiet, I tried to eavesdrop on the conversation going on in the office, but all I heard were murmurings and some laughter. I hoped that any snippet of conversation could break the tension.

The meeting went on for around an hour and a half. Bashar bid farewell to his guest the same way he greeted him. He accorded us with a farewell gesture, but without a handshake or speaking to us.

Hariri and I rode back to Lebanon together in the same car. He remained silent for most of the journey in Syria. “How was the meeting? You’re unusually silent,” I told him. “We’ll talk later” was his reply. When we entered Lebanon, he parked the car just near the border and told me to take the wheel.

He started talking as soon as we got back into the car. “The meeting was necessary and definitely good. Do you want me to be blunt? After this meeting, I am no longer afraid for Lebanon. We can handle our own problems. We are used to falling down and getting back up. I am now afraid for Syria,” he said.

“How so?” I asked. “After Hafez, Syria will be ruled by a child. God help Syria,” replied Hariri after which he reclined his seat and slept.

President Bashar al-Assad receives PM Hariri for a meeting. (Getty Images)

The next day, he told me that Bashar’s main concern now revolved around “arranging the internal house of his party, regime and family to address any emergency related to his father’s health. He sees in my friendship an opening to forge foreign relations which he will need in the coming period.” Hariri said Bashar asked him about his relationship with French President Jacques Chirac, Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah bin Abdulaziz and the American administration. He asked for cooperation with Lahoud and to monitor the changes that will take place in Syria.

“The young man is awaiting the death of his father without openly saying it. He said his father’s health was concerning and that he was suffering from complications from diabetes,” added Hariri. He seemed reassured that Bashar was being preoccupied with the situation inside Syria.

Hafez realized that his son won’t kick off his term in office securely without the support of the Arab and international fold. He perhaps believed that Hariri could be a major player in paving the way for this support and who better than Hariri could achieve that?

 

*Next excerpt: Sole Article on the Agenda ... Insulting Rafik al-Hariri



Seven Arab Countries Struggle with Power Cuts as Renewable Energy Is Seen as a Solution

A view of Cairo during a power cut. (Reuters)
A view of Cairo during a power cut. (Reuters)
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Seven Arab Countries Struggle with Power Cuts as Renewable Energy Is Seen as a Solution

A view of Cairo during a power cut. (Reuters)
A view of Cairo during a power cut. (Reuters)

Seven Arab countries are struggling with frequent power cuts. The reasons for the inability to meet local demand for electricity may vary from one country to the other, but the people and economies are suffering as a result. The power cuts take on a new dimension during the summer, with people languishing in soaring temperatures when they are unable to cool off with air conditioning.

The power cuts are most severe in Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, Sudan and Kuwait and people have resorted to renewable energy as an alternative, which ends up eating into their savings.

Egypt

Egypt’s electricity shortages have in recent months turned into a real crisis. The government has tried to ease the crisis by only cutting power by around two to three hours a day. When the crisis intensified, the Egyptian Electricity Holding Company introduced a schedule for the cuts so that the people may organize their daily affairs around them.

The government recently announced that it would implement a plan to address technical malfunctions as part of a pledge to resolve the electricity shortage.

Prime Minister Mustafa Madbouly had said power consumption had increased to new levels in 2024. Egypt uses around 37.5 megawatts per day, a 12 percent increase from 2023. He did not mention the impact of the construction of new cities on demand.

He said 3 to 4 megawatts were needed to plug the gap and meet daily needs. “They will be provided through new and renewable energy,” he revealed, saying Egypt was cooperating with the United Arab Emirates to that end.

Only 12 percent of power generated in Egypt comes from renewable energy.

A student studies for high school exams at an Alexandria library during a power cut. (EPA)

Impact on crops

The power shortage is having an indirect impact on crops.

A soybean farmer spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat about a shortage in fertilizer for his crops that can be traced to the electricity crisis.

Fertilizer companies in Egypt were forced to stop operations due to the power cuts. The Misr Fertilizers Production Company (MOPCO) announced in July that it was halting operations at its three companies due to a lack of gas supplies.

The state electricity company was forced to use the gas, which would normally have been allotted to MOPCO and others, to operate its own power stations.

Other fertilizer companies have also suffered from the same problem.

Egypt is a major exporter of fertilizer, ranking sixth in the world.

The drop in production has led to the emergence of a black market where the product is sold at exploitative prices. Farmers are forced to turn to the black market, even while incurring losses, just so their crops don’t go to waste.

The rise in the cost of fertilizer has also led to a hike in prices of food, which in turn feeds inflation, which is a global problem.

Diesel-operated private generators are seen in Beirut. (AP)

Darkness in Beirut

In Lebanon, frequent power cuts, which can last a whole 24 hours, have affected all aspects of life, including education.

One citizen, Hanadi al-Hajj, complained to Asharq Al-Awsat about how the power cuts meant children studying online were unable to use their computers because they had no electricity.

She said: “The power cuts forced us to install solar panels.” She added, however, that she can’t rely on the panels during the winter because of a lack of sunlight, so she also has to turn to electricity provided by private generators, which is eating away at her savings.

At the beginning of the year, the state power company, Electricite du Liban, was able to provide around six to ten hours of electricity per day depending on the region, an increase from one to two hours previously.

Boiling temperatures in Iraq

On July 14, protests broke out in the Iraqi province of al-Diwaniyah over the “complete lack of electricity” even as the temperatures soared to boiling, said Ahmed Hussein, who took part in the rallies.

Hussein, a blacksmith, told Asharq Al-Awsat that his work relies on electricity. “A job, which would normally take three hours of work, can now take three days or more” because of the power cuts, he explained, saying his income is suffering as a result.

“How can a person live without electricity in a country where temperatures reach boiling degrees. I come from the country of oil. How is possible that we are suffering like this?” he asked incredulously.

Oil- and gas- rich Iraq produces 26,000 megawatts of electricity, while it needs 35,000 to meet local demand.

The irony is that Lebanon relies on fuel from Iraq to address its electricity problem, while Iraq itself can’t fix its own crisis.

The power cuts are attributed to deteriorating infrastructure at electricity plants and a shortage in fuel.

Iraq boasts four times the gas reserves as Egypt, but it produces no more than a tenth of what Egypt does. So, it relies on gas imports from Iran to plug demand.

GDP and electricity

In Yemen, power cuts can last around 12 hours a day, 10 in Iraq, 10 to 14 in Sudan, 12 to 20 in Lebanon, 10 to 20 in Syria, three in Egypt and two to three in Kuwait.

Electricity is the main mover of growth and a significant element in production. Yemeni economic expert Mustafa Nasr noted that Arab countries suffering from power cuts, have also witnessed a drop in their GDP.

“Electricity really is part of national security,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

He explained how a three-hour power cut in Egypt leads to a halt in industrial and electronic services, meaning the economy is losing around 90 hours of production a month. Prolonged shortages throughout a year could total over 1,000 hours, or around 45 days of the year.

This means the economy had come to a halt for 45 days, on top of the country’s national holidays, which in Egypt amount to 22.

Egypt’s GDP in 2023 reached around 396 billion dollars, Iraq 251 billion, Kuwait 162 billion and Yemen 21 billion in 2018, which is the latest figure from the World Bank.

Electrical cables are seen in Baghdad. (AFP)

Temperature and electricity

Ahmed al-Sayyed, an economics and finance professor, said the recent electricity problems can also be attributed to rising temperatures.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, he said studies have shown that 2024 will likely be the hottest on record.

The infrastructure and production capacity differs from country to country and how they are impacted by rising temperatures, he added.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) seasonal forecast service showed that July 22, 2024, was the hottest day ever recorded so far.

Temperatures soared to new highs in cities in Japan, Indonesia and China in August, while countries in the Arab Gulf and other Arab countries boiled in heat that reached over 60 degrees. Cities in Europe also simmered at 45 degrees and sometimes more.

Along with rising temperatures, director of economic research at an Arab center, Mohammed Youssef said resolving power cuts must be approached from three angles.

The first lies in ability, like chronic inability to produce enough power to meet demand. The second lies in the weakness of networks that is preventing the electricity from reaching certain regions. The third lies in regulating production in areas receiving power, he told Asharq Al-Awsat from Abu Dhabi.

Hafez Salmawy, energy sector aide to several Arab countries, said the electricity crisis in Egypt lies in a lack of fuel, which in turn was caused by a shortage in dollars. Once foreign currency is available, the problem will be solved. The same applies to Kuwait.

Syria and Yemen, however, face a different, much more difficult situation because of the damage to the electricity network and impact of sanctions on the economy. The problems there are therefore political, he explained.

Oil-rich Libya is also suffering from political problems that are preventing it from solving its power problems. Iraq, which has the finances, is suffering from run down networks and a low production capacity.

Yemenis sort electrical cable lines to connect power to their homes. (EPA)

Same solutions

Despite the different reasons for the power cuts in each country, the crises all fall under energy security because they are affecting the people and threatening overall economies.

Ali al-Rumyan, an international energy expert, said energy security for any country means a stable energy sector that allows for sustainable investments and long-term plans. This means providing the necessary resources and allowing power to reach everyone, whether this power is electric, solar, gas, solar, wind or hydrogenic.

Arab and Gulf countries must focus more on providing energy security, especially given climate change and rising global temperatures, he urged.

Solutions to the power crises lie in establishing a strategic reserve of fuel to buy the product when prices drop, said Salmawy. Energy sector debts must also be paid to encourage investment.

Renewable energy must also be incorporated more into the local energy mix, he added.

Sayyed suggested drafting plans for the early detection of crises, which aren’t difficult to come up with given data on climate change.

Dargham Mohammed Ali, an economic expert from Iraq, said renewable energy, especially solar energy, should be seen as an effective solution in Arab countries given their climate.

Mohammed Youssef, the economic expert, said Yemen should forge international partnerships that would provide it with grants and aid to its electricity sector. It can also benefit from technical and financial support from the World Bank.

Networks must also be extended to reach all rural and urban residential areas, he added.