Turkey's Inflation Climbs 12% for 1st Time in 9 Years

File photo: Employees check stock at a supermarket. REUTERS/Akhtar Soomro
File photo: Employees check stock at a supermarket. REUTERS/Akhtar Soomro
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Turkey's Inflation Climbs 12% for 1st Time in 9 Years

File photo: Employees check stock at a supermarket. REUTERS/Akhtar Soomro
File photo: Employees check stock at a supermarket. REUTERS/Akhtar Soomro

Consumer prices in Turkey rose 11.90 percent in October year-on-year, the highest figure in the country in nine years.

The Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) said Friday that in October, change in the consumer price index was a 2.08 percent increase on a monthly basis as a result of a rise in consumer prices, mainly transportation which was up around 16.8 percent.

Food prices also went up 12.7 percent, TurkSat said.

As for core prices, they rose an annual 11.8 percent in October, the highest since January 2004. 

According to Bloomberg, the worse-than-expected data came two days after Central Bank Governor Murat Cetinkaya warned of a two-month inflation blackspot through November.

Given the elevated core index, which usually moves with a lag from the headline figure, overall consumer inflation might not decelerate as much and as fast as the central bank expects, said Inanc Sozer, a managing director of Istanbul-based Turkey Macro View Consulting.

“As the governor said, inflation continues to worsen, limiting the central bank’s room to act,” Sozer told Bloomberg. “There was long an expectation for the central bank to lower the cost of lending it provides to banks with an expected deceleration in inflation next year. Considering the level of core inflation, there can no longer be such an expectation.”

The central bank had revised its year-end inflation forecast to 9.8 percent from 8.7 percent three months earlier mainly due to the lira’s recent decline.



Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Industrial Sector Grows 5.3% in 2024

Saudi flags along a street in the capital, Riyadh (Reuters) 
Saudi flags along a street in the capital, Riyadh (Reuters) 
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Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Industrial Sector Grows 5.3% in 2024

Saudi flags along a street in the capital, Riyadh (Reuters) 
Saudi flags along a street in the capital, Riyadh (Reuters) 

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil industrial sector recorded a strong 5.3% growth in 2024, underlining the Kingdom’s ongoing progress in diversifying its economy in line with the Vision 2030 agenda. The latest figures from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) reveal that this growth was largely driven by manufacturing, utilities, and infrastructure development.

Despite the robust performance of the non-oil sector, overall industrial production declined by 2.3% compared to 2023. This contraction was mainly due to a 5.2% drop in oil-related activities, following the Kingdom’s adherence to OPEC+ oil production cuts. As a result, mining and quarrying shrunk by 6.8%.

Manufacturing expanded by 4.7% year-on-year, with food production up 6.2% and chemical manufacturing, including refined petroleum products, rising by 2.8%. These gains reflect increasing industrial capacity and rising demand in both domestic and export markets.

Other areas of growth included utilities and public services. Electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning activities grew by 3.5%, while water supply, sewage, and waste management services posted a 1.6% increase.

Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim recently stated that non-oil activities now account for 53% of the Kingdom’s real GDP, compared to significantly lower levels before the launch of Vision 2030. He also noted a 70% increase in private investment in non-oil sectors over the same period.

The Kingdom’s non-oil exports reached SAR 515 billion (approximately $137 billion) in 2024, marking a 13% rise over 2023 and a 113% increase since 2016. Export growth spanned petrochemical and non-petrochemical products, with merchandise exports alone totaling SAR 217 billion.

According to a recent World Bank report, Saudi Arabia’s economy grew by 1.8% in 2024, up from 0.3% in 2023. While oil-sector output fell 3%, the non-oil economy expanded by 3.7%, cushioning the broader economy from energy market volatility. The World Bank forecasts continued growth, projecting a 2.8% increase in 2025 and an average of 4.6% annually through 2026 and 2027.