Improved Oil Prices Boost Growth Prospects of Saudi Economy in 2018

Improved Oil Prices Boost Growth Prospects of Saudi Economy in 2018
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Improved Oil Prices Boost Growth Prospects of Saudi Economy in 2018

Improved Oil Prices Boost Growth Prospects of Saudi Economy in 2018

Rising oil prices are expected to boost the levels of economic growth in Saudi Arabia during 2018 at a time when Brent crude began to hold above $62 per barrel, while US crude achieved Wednesday its best price ever in nearly 30 months, when it hit $58 per barrel.

This significant improvement in oil prices is expected to be reflected positively on the prices of petrochemical products. It will also positively affect the sales of cement companies and construction materials in addition to their positive impact on the profitability of other companies in various sectors in light of Saudi Arabia’s move towards setting a more expansive public budget for 2018.

These developments come at a time when successful economic reforms have become the cornerstone of improving the level of countries' credit ratings.

The credit rating of Saudi Arabia, according to international rating agencies, continued to improve during the past period despite the drop in oil prices, which confirms the positive economic reforms carried out by the Kingdom.

Early this month, Fitch Ratings affirmed Saudi Arabia’s long-term foreign-currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'A+' with a stable outlook while other international rating agencies also announced similar steps.

The high reliability of international rating agencies in Saudi economy reflects the confidence of these agencies in the economic reforms undertaken by the Kingdom in light of Vision 2030.

Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley President Colm Kelleher asserted that international investors consider Saudi Arabia an attractive market that provides a possibility to achieve growth, saying that this is represented in the strong performance of sovereign bonds issuance.

In his interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, Kelleher said that Saudi Vision 2030 provides a clear road-map towards achieving development and prosperity, adding that the kingdom has several promising sectors for foreign investors, especially that Morgan Stanley doesn’t focus on one sector only.

On the other hand, Saudi Arabian Capital Market Authority (CMA) issued a statement Wednesday stating that the CMA board has issued its resolution to approve the Class Action Suit Regulations and to amend the Resolution of Securities Disputes Proceedings Regulations accordingly.

Chairman of the Board of the CMA Mohammed bin Abdullah al-Quwaiz said that the Authority, through enabling and regulating the Class Action in securities disputes, aims at protecting investors and facilitating the procedures of litigation for the participants in the capital market, especially in cases where the plaintiff is a large group of persons who share the same legal bases, merits and the subject matter of the requests, which is appropriate to the nature of the listed companies and the size of their shareholders.



Ukraine Threatens to Halt Transit of Russian Oil to Europe

A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
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Ukraine Threatens to Halt Transit of Russian Oil to Europe

A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo

A top aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Friday said Kyiv would halt the transit of Russian oil across its territory at the end of the year, when the current contract expires and is not renewed.

Mykhailo Podolyak said in an interview with the Novini.Live broadcaster that current transit contracts for Russian supplies that run through the end of the year will not be renewed.

“There is no doubt that it will all end on January 1, 2025,” he said.

Kiev says it is prepared to transport gas from the Central Asian countries or Azerbaijan to Europe, but not from Russia, as it is crucial for Ukraine to deprive Russia of its sources of income from the sale of raw materials after it attacked its neighbor well over two years ago.

The contract for the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine to Europe between the state-owned companies Gazprom and Naftogaz ends on December 31.

Despite the launch of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the Ukrainians have fulfilled the contract terms - in part at the insistence of its European neighbors, especially Hungary.

But the leadership in Kiev has repeatedly made it clear that it wants the shipments to end.

Meanwhile, the Czech Republic energy security envoy Vaclav Bartuska said on Friday that any potential halt in oil supplies via the Druzhba pipeline through Ukraine from Russia from next year would not be a problem for the country.

Responding to a Reuters question – on comments by Ukrainian presidential aide Mykhailo Podolyak that flows of Russian oil may stop from January – Bartuska said Ukraine had also in the past warned of a potential halt.

“This is not the first time, this time maybe they mean it seriously – we shall see,” Bartuska said in a text message. “For the Czech Republic, it is not a problem.”

To end partial dependency on the Druzhba pipeline, Czech state-owned pipeline operator MERO has been investing in raising the capacity of the TAL pipeline from Italy to Germany, which connects to the IKL pipeline supplying the Czech Republic.

From next year, the increased capacity would be sufficient for the total needs of the country’s two refineries, owned by Poland’s Orlen, of up to 8 million tons of crude per year.

MERO has said it planned to achieve the country’s independence from Russian oil from the start of 2025, although the TAL upgrade would be finished by June 2025.

On Friday, oil prices stabilized, heading for a weekly increase, as disruptions in Libyan production and Iraq’s plans to curb output raised concerns about supply.

Meanwhile, data showing that the US economy grew faster than initially estimated eased recession fears.

However, signs of weakening demand, particularly in China, capped gains.

Brent crude futures for October delivery, which expire on Friday, fell by 7 cents, or 0.09%, to $79.87 per barrel. The more actively traded November contract rose 5 cents, or 0.06%, to $78.87.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures added 6 cents, or 0.08%, to $75.97 per barrel.

The day before, both benchmarks had risen by more than $1, and so far this week, they have gained 1.1% and 1.6%, respectively.

Additionally, a drop in Libyan exports and the prospect of lower Iraqi crude production in September are expected to help keep the oil market undersupplied.

Over half of Libya’s oil production, around 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), was halted on Thursday, and exports were suspended at several ports due to a standoff between rival political factions.

Elsewhere, Iraq plans to reduce oil output in September as part of a plan to compensate for producing over the quota agreed with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a source with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters on Thursday.

Iraq, which produced 4.25 million bpd in July, will cut output to between 3.85 million and 3.9 million bpd next month, the source said.