Falih: ‘We are Falling Behind, We Need to Keep Pace with the World in Chemical Sector’

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih. Reuters
Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih. Reuters
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Falih: ‘We are Falling Behind, We Need to Keep Pace with the World in Chemical Sector’

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih. Reuters
Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih. Reuters

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said that the Gulf region can claim only two percent of the world’s $4 trillion a year in chemicals revenue, including all the branches of downstream value addition despite its commodity leadership position in oil and gas leadership and production.

He said that this is largely due to the Gulf’s limited position in higher and value-added products.

“For example, our region’s share of global specialties revenues is barely one percent compared to 25 percent for Western Europe, and we account for only three percent of worldwide value addition from chemicals, compared to the 25 percent of value addition that comes from the United States,” Falih said.

The region locally consumes only about 18 percent of petrochemicals for conversion into higher value products while more than 80 percent are exported.

In return, the United States exports only one-third of its petrochemical production as basic commodities while the two-thirds are usually converted into higher value products, Falih explained.

“I urge our regional industry to match the US conversion rates by the year 2030. Likewise, the US and European chemical industries each employ between five and six million worker, directly and indirectly, compared to only about half a million here in the entire GCC.”

We are also falling behind our global competitors in terms of operational excellence since our region’s operating costs exceed US levels by between 15 and 20 percent and China's levels by double these percentages, Falih noted.

As a result, the profitability of the sector and its macroeconomic benefits have declined significantly. The competitive cost structure depends largely on the cost advantages of the feedstock rather than on the cost of production, Falih said, stressing the need for concerted efforts by the government, industry, investors and innovators to bridge these gaps.

“In other words, if we are to take a leadership position that corresponds to the immense potential of our region, the future-oriented progressive government policies must be supported by sound institutional strategies as well as an environment that fosters entrepreneurship, venture capital, research and development,” he said while delivering the inaugural address at the 12th Annual Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) Forum in Dubai.



World Bank Warns of Long-Term Fallout from Regional Conflict

 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 
 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 
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World Bank Warns of Long-Term Fallout from Regional Conflict

 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 
 A man walks carrying shopping bags in a local market in downtown Riyadh (AFP). 

Amid mounting geopolitical tensions and growing economic uncertainty, the World Bank has warned that any conflict in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, could have far-reaching and negative consequences for the region and beyond.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the launch of the World Bank’s latest economic update for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Safaa El Tayeb El-Kogali, the Bank’s Regional Director for the GCC, stated: “Any conflict, especially in this region, can have long-lasting and adverse effects.” She noted that the fallout is not limited to energy markets alone, but also includes rising shipping costs, heightened inflationary pressures, and increased investor uncertainty.

While the World Bank’s latest report, which was released on June 1, does not reflect the most recent escalation in the region, El-Kogali emphasized that it is “still too early to fully assess the impact of the ongoing conflict.” She warned, however, that in such volatile conditions, investors tend to adopt a “wait-and-see” approach, delaying decisions until clarity and stability return.

Despite challenges in the energy market, El-Kogali highlighted the resilience of the Gulf economies, thanks to sustained efforts toward economic diversification. In 2024, while the oil sector contracted by 3% due to OPEC+ production cuts, non-oil sectors grew by 3.7%, helping drive overall GDP growth to 1.8% — a notable recovery from 0.3% in 2023.

The World Bank projects the GCC economies will grow by 3.2% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026, supported by easing oil production cuts and continued strength in non-oil sectors. However, El-Kogali stressed that these projections remain vulnerable to global trade volatility, oil price swings, and the evolving regional security landscape.

To mitigate risks, she urged Gulf countries to accelerate structural reforms, reduce dependency on oil, and boost intra-regional trade. Growth, she added, will also benefit from steady contributions from exports, investment, and domestic consumption.

El-Kogali emphasized that short-term risks include reduced export demand, oil market fluctuations, and regional instability affecting tourism and investor sentiment. Over the long term, threats such as low productivity growth, slow economic transformation, and over-reliance on fossil fuels could hinder progress.

She concluded by recommending fiscal diversification, tax reforms, and stronger regional trade links to create more resilient and adaptive Gulf economies.