5 Serious Challenges Facing Iraq in 2018

Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)
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5 Serious Challenges Facing Iraq in 2018

Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)

Iraqis are aware that the victory achieved against terrorism in 2017 is no less important than other challenges the country and its government must confront in 2018 and in years to come.

Some of those challenges may even date back to the first years of the US invasion of Iraq in 2003. Others are linked to the post-invasion years and others are connected to the war on ISIS.

The majority of Iraqis believe that the most important challenge facing the country and Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi’s government is corruption, which had taken a hold of the state and its institutions ever since the former regime was ousted.

Some observers believe that this file can be traced back to the time of the international embargo that was imposed on Iraq following the invasion of Kuwait in the 1990s.

The tense relations between Baghdad and Irbil in wake of the September Kurdish independence referendum is another challenge that requires radical solutions. The government also has to contend with the challenge of reconstructing the country, made much worse by the current financial crisis. The 2018 state budget indicated a deficit of 13 trillion dinars.

Furthermore, the Iraqi government, which has five months left until its term ends, also has to stage local and general elections in May amid objections among Sunni blocs. The blocs have voiced their concern over the elections because large numbers of displaced have not yet returned to their homes after they fled the battles against ISIS.

Other observers believe that the process to collect illegal arms throughout the country will be one of the greatest challenges facing Iraq. The weapons are not only in the hands of armed factions that fought ISIS, but the general public as well. Last week, some 75 people were killed and wounded while celebrating the Iraqi national football team’s victory against Qatar in the Gulf Cup of Nations that is hosted by Kuwait.

On corruption, National Wisdom Movement member Fadi al-Shamri told Asharq Al-Awsat: “We expect to see some results on the ground … after Abadi made several pledges over this issue.”

He has repeatedly spoken in recent weeks about fighting corruption, he said.

Shamri remarked that this is a very complicated file and Abadi will not be able to make great progress in it.

“He can however take as many steps as his remaining time in office allows,” he noted.

Fighting corruption is not restricted to holding the top officials responsible for their actions, but it should also be about tackling any flaws in the state and government, he explained.

In addition, he said that the economic file and the reconstruction issues related to it will pose a challenged in 2018.

“Iraq’s economy in recent years has lacked a clear identity and the state and government must address this,” stressed Shamri.

On ties with Irbil, he stated that the “hardline approach towards it is not the right policy.”

Journalist Amer Badr Hassoun said that 2018, like previous and upcoming years, will be “a series of open challenges” to the Iraqi people.

He agreed with other observers that corruption is an important challenge to be overcome, but the arms possession is a greater problem.

“There can be no weapons possession outside the authority of the state, which is stipulated in the Iraqi constitution,” he added.

Addressing the elections, he said that they will be “different” because Abadi and former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, both members of the same party, will be competing against each other.

“This will fragment their bloc and split votes among their supporters,” he predicted.

Corruption remains the primary challenge for Iraq in 2018, said economic and oil expert Hamza al-Jawahiri.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that corruption has spread to all parties, sects and different components of the state, such as the government, parliament and judiciary.

He questioned Abadi’s ability to tackle corruption in the new year because his term ends after five months.

“He cannot achieve anything in the remaining time because this is a complicated issue that requires the joint efforts of religious, political and social figures,” he stressed.



Climate Change Imperils Drought-Stricken Morocco’s Cereal Farmers and Its Food Supply

 A farmer works in a wheat field on the outskirts of Kenitra, Morocco, Friday, June 21, 2024. (AP)
A farmer works in a wheat field on the outskirts of Kenitra, Morocco, Friday, June 21, 2024. (AP)
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Climate Change Imperils Drought-Stricken Morocco’s Cereal Farmers and Its Food Supply

 A farmer works in a wheat field on the outskirts of Kenitra, Morocco, Friday, June 21, 2024. (AP)
A farmer works in a wheat field on the outskirts of Kenitra, Morocco, Friday, June 21, 2024. (AP)

Golden fields of wheat no longer produce the bounty they once did in Morocco. A six-year drought has imperiled the country's entire agriculture sector, including farmers who grow cereals and grains used to feed humans and livestock.

The North African nation projects this year's harvest will be smaller than last year in both volume and acreage, putting farmers out of work and requiring more imports and government subsidies to prevent the price of staples like flour from rising for everyday consumers.

"In the past, we used to have a bounty — a lot of wheat. But during the last seven or eight years, the harvest has been very low because of the drought," said Al Housni Belhoussni, a small-scale farmer who has long tilled fields outside of the city of Kenitra.

Belhoussni's plight is familiar to grain farmers throughout the world confronting a hotter and drier future. Climate change is imperiling the food supply and shrinking the annual yields of cereals that dominate diets around the world — wheat, rice, maize and barley.

In North Africa, among the regions thought of as most vulnerable to climate change, delays to annual rains and inconsistent weather patterns have pushed the growing season later in the year and made planning difficult for farmers.

In Morocco, where cereals account for most of the farmed land and agriculture employs the majority of workers in rural regions, the drought is wreaking havoc and touching off major changes that will transform the makeup of the economy. It has forced some to leave their fields fallow. It has also made the areas they do elect to cultivate less productive, producing far fewer sacks of wheat to sell than they once did.

In response, the government has announced restrictions on water use in urban areas — including on public baths and car washes — and in rural ones, where water going to farms has been rationed.

"The late rains during the autumn season affected the agriculture campaign. This year, only the spring rains, especially during the month of March, managed to rescue the crops," said Abdelkrim Naaman, the chairman of Nalsya. The organization has advised farmers on seeding, irrigation and drought mitigation as less rain falls and less water flows through Morocco's rivers.

The Agriculture Ministry estimates that this year's wheat harvest will yield roughly 3.4 million tons (3.1 billion kilograms), far less than last year's 6.1 million tons (5.5 billion kilograms) — a yield that was still considered low. The amount of land seeded has dramatically shrunk as well, from 14,170 square miles (36,700 square kilometers) to 9,540 square miles (24,700 square kilometers).

Such a drop constitutes a crisis, said Driss Aissaoui, an analyst and former member of the Moroccan Ministry for Agriculture.

"When we say crisis, this means that you have to import more," he said. "We are in a country where drought has become a structural issue."

Leaning more on imports means the government will have to continue subsidizing prices to ensure households and livestock farmers can afford dietary staples for their families and flocks, said Rachid Benali, the chairman of the farming lobby COMADER.

The country imported nearly 2.5 million tons of common wheat between January and June. However, such a solution may have an expiration date, particularly because Morocco's primary source of wheat, France, is facing shrinking harvests as well.

The United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization ranked Morocco as the world's sixth-largest wheat importer this year, between Türkiye and Bangladesh, which both have much bigger populations.

"Morocco has known droughts like this and in some cases known droughts that las longer than 10 years. But the problem, this time especially, is climate change," Benali said.