5 Serious Challenges Facing Iraq in 2018

Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)
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5 Serious Challenges Facing Iraq in 2018

Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi. (Reuters)

Iraqis are aware that the victory achieved against terrorism in 2017 is no less important than other challenges the country and its government must confront in 2018 and in years to come.

Some of those challenges may even date back to the first years of the US invasion of Iraq in 2003. Others are linked to the post-invasion years and others are connected to the war on ISIS.

The majority of Iraqis believe that the most important challenge facing the country and Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi’s government is corruption, which had taken a hold of the state and its institutions ever since the former regime was ousted.

Some observers believe that this file can be traced back to the time of the international embargo that was imposed on Iraq following the invasion of Kuwait in the 1990s.

The tense relations between Baghdad and Irbil in wake of the September Kurdish independence referendum is another challenge that requires radical solutions. The government also has to contend with the challenge of reconstructing the country, made much worse by the current financial crisis. The 2018 state budget indicated a deficit of 13 trillion dinars.

Furthermore, the Iraqi government, which has five months left until its term ends, also has to stage local and general elections in May amid objections among Sunni blocs. The blocs have voiced their concern over the elections because large numbers of displaced have not yet returned to their homes after they fled the battles against ISIS.

Other observers believe that the process to collect illegal arms throughout the country will be one of the greatest challenges facing Iraq. The weapons are not only in the hands of armed factions that fought ISIS, but the general public as well. Last week, some 75 people were killed and wounded while celebrating the Iraqi national football team’s victory against Qatar in the Gulf Cup of Nations that is hosted by Kuwait.

On corruption, National Wisdom Movement member Fadi al-Shamri told Asharq Al-Awsat: “We expect to see some results on the ground … after Abadi made several pledges over this issue.”

He has repeatedly spoken in recent weeks about fighting corruption, he said.

Shamri remarked that this is a very complicated file and Abadi will not be able to make great progress in it.

“He can however take as many steps as his remaining time in office allows,” he noted.

Fighting corruption is not restricted to holding the top officials responsible for their actions, but it should also be about tackling any flaws in the state and government, he explained.

In addition, he said that the economic file and the reconstruction issues related to it will pose a challenged in 2018.

“Iraq’s economy in recent years has lacked a clear identity and the state and government must address this,” stressed Shamri.

On ties with Irbil, he stated that the “hardline approach towards it is not the right policy.”

Journalist Amer Badr Hassoun said that 2018, like previous and upcoming years, will be “a series of open challenges” to the Iraqi people.

He agreed with other observers that corruption is an important challenge to be overcome, but the arms possession is a greater problem.

“There can be no weapons possession outside the authority of the state, which is stipulated in the Iraqi constitution,” he added.

Addressing the elections, he said that they will be “different” because Abadi and former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, both members of the same party, will be competing against each other.

“This will fragment their bloc and split votes among their supporters,” he predicted.

Corruption remains the primary challenge for Iraq in 2018, said economic and oil expert Hamza al-Jawahiri.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that corruption has spread to all parties, sects and different components of the state, such as the government, parliament and judiciary.

He questioned Abadi’s ability to tackle corruption in the new year because his term ends after five months.

“He cannot achieve anything in the remaining time because this is a complicated issue that requires the joint efforts of religious, political and social figures,” he stressed.



Biden’s Legacy: Far-Reaching Accomplishments That Didn’t Translate into Political Support

US President Joe Biden waves while boarding Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland on November 1, 2022. (AFP)
US President Joe Biden waves while boarding Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland on November 1, 2022. (AFP)
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Biden’s Legacy: Far-Reaching Accomplishments That Didn’t Translate into Political Support

US President Joe Biden waves while boarding Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland on November 1, 2022. (AFP)
US President Joe Biden waves while boarding Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland on November 1, 2022. (AFP)

Sitting in the Oval Office behind the iconic Resolute desk in 2022, an animated President Joe Biden described the challenge of leading a psychologically traumatized nation.

The United States had endured a life-altering pandemic. There was a jarring burst of inflation and now global conflict with Russia invading Ukraine, as well as the persistent threat to democracy he felt Donald Trump posed.

How could Biden possibly heal that collective trauma?

“Be confident,” he said emphatically in an interview with The Associated Press. “Be confident. Because I am confident.”

But in the ensuing two years, the confidence Biden hoped to instill steadily waned. And when the 81-year-old Democratic president showed his age in a disastrous debate in June against Trump, he lost the benefit of the doubt as well. That triggered a series of events that led him Sunday to step down as his party's nominee for the November's election.

Democrats, who had been united in their resolve to prevent another Trump term, suddenly fractured. And Republicans, beset by chaos in Congress and the former president’s criminal conviction, improbably coalesced in defiant unity.

Biden never figured out how to inspire the world’s most powerful country to believe in itself, let alone in him.

He lost the confidence of supporters in the 90-minute debate with Trump, even if pride initially prompted him to override the fears of lawmakers, party elders and donors who were nudging him to drop out. Then Trump survived an assassination attempt in Pennsylvania and, as if on cue, pumped his fist in strength. Biden, while campaigning in Las Vegas, tested positive for the coronavirus Wednesday and retreated to his Delaware beach home to recover.

The events over the course of three weeks led to an exit Biden never wanted, but one that Democrats felt they needed to maximize their chance of winning in November’s elections.

Biden seems to have badly misread the breadth of his support. While many Democrats had deep admiration for the president personally, they did not have the same affection for him politically.

Rice University historian Douglas Brinkley said Biden arrived as a reprieve from a nation exhausted by Trump and the pandemic, reported The Associated Press.

“He was a perfect person for that moment,” said Brinkley, noting Biden proved in era of polarization that bipartisan lawmaking was still possible.

Yet, there was never a “Joe Biden Democrat” like there was a “Reagan Republican.” He did not have adoring, movement-style followers as did Barack Obama or John F. Kennedy. He was not a generational candidate like Bill Clinton. The only barrier-breaking dimension to his election was the fact that he was the oldest person ever elected president.

His first run for the White House, in the 1988 cycle, ended with self-inflicted wounds stemming from plagiarism, and he didn’t make it to the first nominating contest. In 2008, he dropped out after the Iowa caucuses, where he won less than 1% of the vote.

In 2016, Obama counseled his vice president not to run. A Biden victory in 2020 seemed implausible, when he finished fourth in Iowa and fifth in New Hampshire before a dramatic rebound in South Carolina that propelled him to the nomination and the White House.

David Axelrod, a former senior adviser to Obama who also worked closely with Biden, said that history would treat Biden kinder than voters had, not just because of his legislative achievements but because in 2020 he defeated Trump.

“His legacy is significant beyond all his many accomplishments,” Axelrod said. “He will always be the man who stepped up and defeated a president who placed himself above our democracy."

But Biden could not avoid his age. And when he showed frailty in his steps and his speech, there was no foundation of supporters that could stand by him to stop calls for him to step aside.

It was a humbling end to a half-century career in politics, yet hardly reflective of the full legacy of his time in the White House.

In March of 2021, Biden launched $1.9 trillion in pandemic aid, creating a series of new programs that temporarily halved child poverty, halted evictions and contributed to the addition of 15.7 million jobs. But inflation began to rise shortly thereafter as Biden’s approval rating as measured by the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research fell from 61% to 39% as of June.

He followed up with a series of executive actions to unsnarl global supply chains and a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure package that not only replaced aging infrastructure but improved internet access and prepared communities to withstand the damages from climate change.

In 2022, Biden and his fellow Democrats followed up with two measures that reinvigorated the future of US manufacturing.

The CHIPS and Science Act provided $52 billion to build factories and create institutions to make computer chips domestically, ensuring that the US would have access to the most advanced semiconductors needed to power economic growth and maintain national security. There was also the Inflation Reduction Act, which provided incentives to shift away from fossil fuels and enabled Medicare to negotiate drug prices.

Biden also sought to compete more aggressively with China, rebuild alliances such as NATO and completed the US withdrawal from Afghanistan that resulted in the death of 13 US service members.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 worsened inflation as Trump and other Republicans questioned the value of military aid to the Ukrainians.

Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023 attack in Israel sparked a war that showed divisions within the Democratic party about whether the United States should continue to support Israel as tens of thousands of Palestinians died in months of counterattacks. The president was also criticized over illegal border crossings at the southern border with Mexico.

Yet it was the size of the stakes and the fear of a Biden loss that prevailed, resulting in a bet by Democrats that the tasks he began could best be completed by a younger generation.

“History will be kinder to him than voters were at the end,” Axelrod said.