Turkey to Announce Record Growth of 7%

Turkey's Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci makes a speech in Cologne, Germany, March 5, 2017. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay
Turkey's Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci makes a speech in Cologne, Germany, March 5, 2017. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay
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Turkey to Announce Record Growth of 7%

Turkey's Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci makes a speech in Cologne, Germany, March 5, 2017. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay
Turkey's Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci makes a speech in Cologne, Germany, March 5, 2017. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay

Turkish Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci expected that the total economic growth of 2017 would be announced as seven percent and that Turkey would come among the most growing countries globally. Zeybekci, in Sunday’s statements, said that the economic growth would be seven percent, and is forecast to reach record figures in 2018.

Official figures haven’t been announced yet, but the Turkish economy growth during the third quarter raised expectations of growth during the whole year (7.4 percent).

Zeybekci noted that he announced in the beginning of 2017 that the economy will be in the lead of most growing countries, and it did reach 11.1 percent in the third quarter of 2017 despite the global rating agencies forecasts that the rate would not exceed 2 or 2.5 percent, in best-case scenarios 5 percent.

Turkish economy witnessed a shrinkage of 4.7 percent in 2009, then achieved a 6.8 percent growth in the period extending from 2010 to 2016. At that time, Turkish growth surpassed that of the EU and G20 respectively 1.4 percent and 3 percent.

The highest growth rate was in 2011 (11.1 percent) and the lowest was in 2016 (2.3 percent), following the failed coup attempt mid-July.

In the same context, global rating agency Fitch Ratings expected Turkey’s economy to grow by 4.8 percent annually on average in the next five years. In its report titled “Investment and Demographics Key to EM Growth Potential,” Fitch provided a list of the 10 largest emerging markets in the world, in which Turkey ranked third in its forecast economic growth rate (4.8 percent).

India came on top among the 10 emerging markets in the report with a potential growth rate of 6.7 percent in the next five years. China and Indonesia jointly ranked second, both with a projected potential growth rate of 5.5 percent.

On another level, the Turkish Central Bank’s gold reserves have reached a record-high of 564.8 tons. Total reserves including foreign exchange and gold reached $107.7 billion in value at the end of 2017, up $1.6 billion from a year earlier.



Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
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Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)

As Saudi companies start reporting their Q2 financial results, experts are optimistic about the transport and logistics sector. They expect a 10% annual growth, with total net profits reaching around SAR 900 million ($240 million), driven by tourism and an economic corridor project.

In Q1, the seven listed transport and logistics companies in Saudi Arabia showed positive results, with combined profits increasing by 5.8% to SAR 818.7 million ($218 million) compared to the previous year.

Four companies reported profit growth, while three saw declines, including two with losses, according to Arbah Capital.

Al Rajhi Capital projects significant gains for Q2 compared to last year: Lumi Rental’s profits are expected to rise by 31% to SAR 65 million, SAL’s by 76% to SAR 192 million, and Theeb’s by 23% to SAR 37 million.

On the other hand, Aljazira Capital predicts a 13% decrease in Lumi Rental’s net profit to SAR 43 million, despite a 44% rise in revenue. This is due to higher operational costs post-IPO.

SAL’s annual profit is expected to grow by 76% to SAR 191.6 million, driven by a 29% increase in revenue and higher profit margins.

Aljazira Capital also expects a 2.8% drop in the sector’s net profit from Q1 due to lower profits for SAL and Seera, caused by reduced revenue and profit margins.

Mohammad Al Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector’s continued profit growth is supported by seasonal factors like summer travel and higher demand for transport services.

He predicts Q2 profits will reach around SAR 900 million ($240 million), up 10% from Q1.

Al Farraj highlighted that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), linking India with the GCC and Europe, is expected to boost sector growth by improving trade and transport connections.

However, he warned that companies may still face challenges, including rising costs and workforce shortages.