Lagarde: Arab Countries Succeeded in Economic Reforms, Obstacles Facing Private Sector Must be Removed

IMF Director Christine Lagarde addresses a news conference on the eve of the World Economic Forum in Davos (AP Photo/ Markus Schreiber)
IMF Director Christine Lagarde addresses a news conference on the eve of the World Economic Forum in Davos (AP Photo/ Markus Schreiber)
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Lagarde: Arab Countries Succeeded in Economic Reforms, Obstacles Facing Private Sector Must be Removed

IMF Director Christine Lagarde addresses a news conference on the eve of the World Economic Forum in Davos (AP Photo/ Markus Schreiber)
IMF Director Christine Lagarde addresses a news conference on the eve of the World Economic Forum in Davos (AP Photo/ Markus Schreiber)

Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Christine Lagarde said the current challenge facing Arab countries was to reduce public debt, which should be lowered in a way that does not violate the standards of balance and justice.
 
In an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat on the eve of an international conference entitled, “Opportunity for All: Promoting Growth, Jobs, and Inclusiveness in the Arab World”, Lagarde said: "Countries in the region have some of the highest debt ratios in the world. Governments have recently made an effort to reduce deficits, but a legacy of high levels of public spending and weak revenue mobilization has resulted in levels of debt averaging around 80 percent of GDP in oil-importing Arab countries."
 
According to the IMF director, "servicing these debts sucks resources that would otherwise have gone to fund vital social programs and much needed infrastructure investment."
 
Underlining the need to reduce the debts, Lagarde noted that the current challenge was to accomplish this task in a “balanced, fair and equitable” way that supports growth.
 
The conference, organized by the IMF in cooperation with the Government of Morocco, is taking place in Marrakesh on Jan. 29-30,
 
In her exclusive interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, Lagarde called on policymakers in the Arab world to pay attention to the potential of youth and women, improve the quality of education and overcome obstacles facing the private sector in order to create jobs needed in the Arab region.
 
She also addressed challenges facing countries such as Tunisia, Jordan, Morocco and Egypt and expressed her optimism about opportunities that some countries have taken to attract investment, such as Morocco, which has managed to implement reforms and reduce unemployment, and Egypt, which is seeking to improve the investment environment and enhance investor confidence.
 
"The IMF is partnering with the Moroccan government, the Arab Monetary Fund, and the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development to hold this conference to discuss concrete steps on two key issues for the region: jobs and growth. I expect the discussions to include ideas on how to speed up the transformation of Arab economies, and how to promote innovation and transparency to unlock the region’s economic potential," Lagarde said.
 
She emphasized the priority to create opportunities for women and the youth, saying: “Policymakers should invest in strengthening people’s skills by enhancing the quality of education. This includes aligning education with private sector needs, and increasing access to vocational training, apprenticeships, internships, job counseling, and placement services."

Governments must also support greater women’s contribution to the economy, which will bring significant economic benefits and help reduce poverty, according to Lagarde.
 
She noted that achieving this goal would necessitate measures such as flexible working hours, better access to childcare services and efficient and low-cost public transportation systems.

With regards to unemployment, the IMF director noted that the public sector was not able to create the number of jobs the region needs.

"This void must be filled by the private sector. Fostering a dynamic and vibrant private sector requires acting on many fronts, such as simplifying regulation and improving the functioning of labor markets,” she stated.
 
Lagarde went on to say that "small and medium size firms (SMEs) in the region do not generate enough jobs because they lack access to finance, investment, and technology, and thus lose the opportunity to participate in global markets."

"So, the private sector can certainly help. Let’s take the example of Morocco. It has succeeded in attracting foreign direct investment and has set up vocational training schools to prepare workers for dynamic sectors such as the automotive and aeronautic industries. Morocco hopes it can expand further with technology,” she stressed.
 
Lagarde highlighted the importance of reforms in bolstering economic development.

"Jobs will come with economic growth. Growth will come with improved business and investor confidence, which in turn will come once countries achieve economic stability. And for that, reforms are essential."  
 
"To be successful, reform programs need to be customized to a country circumstances and fully owned by governments. It is also important that programs take into account socio-political circumstances," she added.
 
Asked about the impact of the increase of oil prices on Arab economies, Lagarde said this would help ease some of the economic challenges facing oil-exporting countries.
 
"For instance, we raised our growth projection for Saudi Arabia, from 1.1 to 1.6 percent for this year. Nevertheless, futures prices indicate markets expect the oil price to fall back to around $55 over the medium term, so it remains critical for these countries to continue their efforts to reform and diversify their economies," she noted.



Hochstein to Asharq Al-Awsat: Land Border Demarcation between Lebanon, Israel ‘is Within Reach’

AFP file photo of Amos Hochstein speaking to reporters at the Grand Serail in Beirut, Lebanon
AFP file photo of Amos Hochstein speaking to reporters at the Grand Serail in Beirut, Lebanon
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Hochstein to Asharq Al-Awsat: Land Border Demarcation between Lebanon, Israel ‘is Within Reach’

AFP file photo of Amos Hochstein speaking to reporters at the Grand Serail in Beirut, Lebanon
AFP file photo of Amos Hochstein speaking to reporters at the Grand Serail in Beirut, Lebanon

The former US special envoy, Amos Hochstein, said the maritime border agreement struck between Lebanon and Israel in 2022 and the ceasefire deal reached between Israel and Hezbollah at the end of last year show that a land border demarcation “is within reach.”

“We can get to a deal but there has to be political willingness,” he said.

“The agreement of the maritime boundary was unique because we’d been trying to work on it for over 10 years,” Hochstein told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“I understood that a simple diplomatic push for a line was not going to work. It had to be a more complicated and comprehensive agreement. And there was a real threat that people didn’t realize that if we didn’t reach an agreement we would have ended up in a conflict - in a hot conflict - or war over resources.”

He said there is a possibility to reach a Lebanese-Israeli land border agreement because there’s a “provision that mandated the beginning of talks on the land boundary.”

“I believe with concerted effort they can be done quickly,” he said, adding: “It is within reach.”

Hochstein described communication with Hezbollah as “complicated,” saying “I never had only one interlocutor with Hezbollah .... and the first step is to do shuttle diplomacy between Lebanon, Lebanon and Lebanon, and then you had to go to Israel and do shuttle diplomacy between the different factions” there.

“The reality of today and the reality of 2022 are different. Hezbollah had a lock on the political system in Lebanon in the way it doesn’t today.”

North of Litani

The 2024 ceasefire agreement requires Israel to withdraw from Lebanon and for the Lebanese army to take full operational control of the south Litani region, all the way up to the border. It requires Hezbollah to demilitarize and move further north of the Litani region, he said.

“I don’t want to get into the details of other violations,” he said, but stated that the ceasefire works if both conditions are met.

Lebanon’s opportunity

“Lebanon can rewrite its future ... but it has to be a fundamental change,” he said.

“There is so much potential in Lebanon and if you can bring back opportunity and jobs - and through economic and legal reforms in the country - I think that the future is very bright,” Hochstein told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“Hezbollah is not trying to control the politics and remember that Hezbollah is just an arm of Iran” which “should not be imposing its political will in Lebanon, Israel should not be imposing its military will in Lebanon, Syria should not. No one should. This a moment for Lebanon to make decisions for itself,” he added.