Improving Energy Productivity Boosts Saudi GDP

Improving Energy Productivity Boosts Saudi GDP
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Improving Energy Productivity Boosts Saudi GDP

Improving Energy Productivity Boosts Saudi GDP

Saudi Arabia's GDP grew by 8 percent in 2016 compared with 2010, a recent report confirmed.

The same report said that China witnessed a 23 percent GDP growth for the same time period, equivalent to $140 billion in the Kingdom and $ 5 trillion in China, citing improving energy productivity in both countries.

A joint study conducted by the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center and China’s Energy Research Institute revealed that the two countries are moving towards achieving record levels economically while mitigating climate change impact.

The report attributed these positive steps to the significant progress in energy efficiency.

Economic development and diversification in both countries, together with energy efficiency measures, will contribute in billions of dollars in revenue, the report said.

Energy efficiency and structural economic reform combined increase GDP.

More so, increased energy productivity factors majorly into global economy and rate of carbon dioxide emissions.

The report, published at the first G20 Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Forum in Argentina, seeks to encourage investments and bolster a better understanding of energy efficiency-- which is part of the reforms taken up by Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 and China’s One Belt One Road Initiative.

Saudi Arabia's energy intensity is declining at a slower rate of about 1 percent per annum. However, the Kingdom still produces more GDP per ton of oil equivalent at around US$8,000, which is around the G20 average.

Energy productivity is a new policy approach increasingly used in by G20 member states, where energy efficiency focuses on reducing the amount of energy required to yield output products such as steel or cement. It falls within energy efficiency but expands to consider increasing value extracted from energy resources.

Energy productivity, or the amount of economic activity per unit of energy consumed, is an indicator that has been used in different contexts around the world to help manage the balance between economic growth and domestic energy consumption. It reflects the level of structural diversification between energy-intensive and nonenergy-intensive activities and the overall energy efficiency of the economy.

Increasing energy efficiency would improve competitiveness of energy-intensive industries. However, it is necessary to raise the chain value for production of commodities, such as ethylene towards higher end products such as plastics and its products.

Oil and gas-rich GCC countries are a hub for refining, chemicals and petrochemical industries.

China is the world's largest net importer of polymers, while Saudi Arabia is the world's largest net exporter, the report said.

The report stressed that cooperation between countries leads to mutual benefit, as trade and development is not a zero-sum game that requires loss of one of the parties.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.