OPEC, non-OPEC States Commit to Production Reduction

Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)
Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)
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OPEC, non-OPEC States Commit to Production Reduction

Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)
Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)

After ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC independent producers finished their meeting in Jeddah and attended a luncheon, US President Donald Trump bashed on oil prices, which he considered "artificially" high.

“Looks like OPEC is at it again. With record amounts of Oil all over the place, including the fully loaded ships at sea. Oil prices are artificially Very High! No good and will not be accepted!” Trump Tweeted.

Energy ministers, including Russian Minister Alexander Novak and OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo, defended their position strongly, saying that without OPEC, the US oil industry could not continue its production, given that US producers are the first to benefit from high prices.

The Russian minister said that prices are determined by the market.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazroui, who heads OPEC's ministerial conference this year, told reporters after lunch that there was no such thing as artificial prices.

The Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC), which monitors the deal, met on Friday in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, to discuss producers' commitment to implementing a cut-off agreement and discuss prices.

Following the meeting, OPEC issued a statement announcing that, based on the Report of the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) for the month of March 2018, following successive months of record-breaking performances, OPEC and participating non-OPEC countries have achieved a conformity level of 149 percent with their voluntary production adjustments, the highest level so far.

The meeting reviewed the developments in the oil markets and levels of production of the participating countries, the work of the committee and the results of decisions issued in the previous meetings.

It is noteworthy that JMMC hold a meeting every two months under the chairmanship of the Kingdom, to discuss the commitment of countries to the agreement, which includes Kuwait, Venezuela, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Russia and Oman.

OPEC Sec-Gen Mohammad Barkindo said members of the oil producers group were friends of the US and have a vested interest in its growth and prosperity.

Barkindo made his remarks after Trump sent a tweet criticizing OPEC over high oil prices.

"The Declaration of Cooperation by 24 producing countries in Dec. 2016 which was implemented faithfully since 2017 has not only arrested the decline but rescued the oil industry from imminent collapse," Barkindo said.

Iraqi Oil Minister Jabar al-Luaibi said oil prices are “not very high” following Trump's tweet. “Everything is now fine and the market is stabilizing,” Luaibi told the press.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail Mohamad al-Mazrouei also said oil prices were not artificially high.

Oil prices fell after the US president criticized OPEC, but it is still heading for a weekly gain.

Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 gained 28 cents, or 0.4 percent, to settle at $74.06 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc2 for delivery in June, the most active US contract, were up 7 cents at $68.40. The May WTI contract, which expired on Friday, CLc1 gained 9 cents, or 0.1 percent, to settle at $68.38.

The United States can only legitimately influence oil by withdrawing from its strategic reserve, which it has done from time to time.

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said OPEC and its allies were far from reaching their goal and that the reduction of oil stocks needs to continue.

"The countries involved in the reduction of oil production have shown a commitment to seeking a balance in the global oil market where the levels of the OECD's trade stock have been adjusted from a peak of 3.12 billion barrels in July 2016 to 2.83 billion barrels in March 2018, a decrease of 300 million barrels," Falih was quoted by Saudi Press Agency (SPA).

Falih expressed his appreciation to the importance of Russia's role in the declaration of cooperation describing Russia as an effective element in reaching the agreement and its success over the past months. He also praised the important role played by the Russian Energy Minister who co-chaired the JMMC since its inception at the beginning of 2017.

Falih stressed the importance of monitoring the market and the commitment of the oil-producing countries, indicating that the success achieved at the level of the Joint Ministerial Committee to monitor oil production in 2017 will be going on in 2018.

Aside from OPEC's supply management, crude prices also received support from expectations that the US would re-impose sanctions on Iran, a member of the organization.

OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers could begin easing up on output curbs before the end of the year, according to Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak.

“The agreement lasts until the end of the year. In June, we can discuss, among other issues, a question about reduction of some quotas during this time, if it is expedient from the market’s point of view,” Novak said ahead of the JMMC meeting, TASS news agency reported.

Sources familiar with the meeting told Reuters that Novak told his OPEC and non-OPEC counterparts in a closed-door meeting that Moscow was committed to the deal on cutting output until the end of 2018.

The OPEC, non-OPEC ministerial panel said commercial oil stock levels of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) were 2.83 billion bbl in March 2018, still above the level seen before the oil market downturn.

Three industry informed sources stated this week Saudi Arabia would be happy to see crude rise to $80 or even $100 a barrel indicating Riyadh will likely seek no changes to the deal in June.

Energy Minister Falih said OPEC and non-OPEC compliance with the output deal reached 149 percent in March. The deal’s success has helped relations between Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Germany’s Handelsblatt newspaper reported on Friday UAE oil minister Mazrouei saying that he believes more oil producers need to join OPEC and non-OPEC producers in curbing supply.



Global Unemployment ‘Stable’ in 2026, but Decent Jobs Lacking

A Palestinian employee inspects sweet locally known as "al-Shatwi" (Winter) Crimbo sweets, as the Al-Arees factory gradually resumes operations after a hiatus caused by the Gaza war which led to shortages of raw materials used in their products, in Deir al-Balah, in the central Gaza Strip on January 12, 2026, following a US-brokered truce that halted the two-year war. (AFP)
A Palestinian employee inspects sweet locally known as "al-Shatwi" (Winter) Crimbo sweets, as the Al-Arees factory gradually resumes operations after a hiatus caused by the Gaza war which led to shortages of raw materials used in their products, in Deir al-Balah, in the central Gaza Strip on January 12, 2026, following a US-brokered truce that halted the two-year war. (AFP)
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Global Unemployment ‘Stable’ in 2026, but Decent Jobs Lacking

A Palestinian employee inspects sweet locally known as "al-Shatwi" (Winter) Crimbo sweets, as the Al-Arees factory gradually resumes operations after a hiatus caused by the Gaza war which led to shortages of raw materials used in their products, in Deir al-Balah, in the central Gaza Strip on January 12, 2026, following a US-brokered truce that halted the two-year war. (AFP)
A Palestinian employee inspects sweet locally known as "al-Shatwi" (Winter) Crimbo sweets, as the Al-Arees factory gradually resumes operations after a hiatus caused by the Gaza war which led to shortages of raw materials used in their products, in Deir al-Balah, in the central Gaza Strip on January 12, 2026, following a US-brokered truce that halted the two-year war. (AFP)

The global unemployment rate is expected to hold steady in 2026, the United Nations said Wednesday, but cautioned the labor market's seeming stability belies a dire shortage of decent jobs.

The UN's International Labor Organization said the global economy and labor market appeared to have weathered recent economic shocks better than expected.

But the ILO warned that efforts to improve global job quality had stagnated, leaving hundreds of millions of workers wallowing in poverty, even as trade uncertainty risked cutting into workers wages.

The global unemployment rate was estimated at 4.9 percent last year and the year before, and is now projected to remain at a similar level until 2027, a report from the UN labor agency said.

That amounts to 186 million people out of work this year, it said.

"Global labor markets look stable, but that stability is quite fragile," Caroline Fredrickson, head of the ILO's research department, told reporters, cautioning that the "apparent calm masks deeper and unresolved problems".

At a time when US President Donald Trump has slapped towering tariffs on friends and foes alike, the report cautioned that "disruptions caused by trade uncertainty, combined with ongoing long-term transformations in global trade, could significantly affect labor market outcomes".

Going forward, the ILO said its modelling suggested that a moderate increase in trade policy uncertainty "may reduce returns to labor and, as a consequence, real wages for both skilled and unskilled workers across all sectors", especially in Southeast Asia, Southern Asia and Europe.

The potential of trade to generate new employment opportunities was also being challenged by the ongoing disruptions, the report said, pointing out that 465 million jobs globally depended on foreign demand through exports of goods and services and related supply chains in 2024.

- Extreme poverty -

Another major concern highlighted by the ILO was the quality of jobs available.

"Resilient growth and stable unemployment figures should not distract us from the deeper reality: hundreds of millions of workers remain trapped in poverty, informality, and exclusion," ILO chief Gilbert Houngbo said in a statement.

Nearly 300 million workers continue to live in extreme poverty, earning less than $3 a day, Wednesday's report found.

At the same time, some 2.1 billion workers are expected to hold informal jobs this year, with limited access to social protection, labor rights and job security.

Young people remain particularly vulnerable, with unemployment among 15- to 24-year-olds projected to reach 12.4 percent for 2025, with around 260 million young people not engaged in education, employment or training, ILO said.

It warned that artificial intelligence and automation could exacerbate challenges, particularly for educated young people in wealthier countries seeking their first high-skill jobs.

"While the full impact of AI on youth employment remains uncertain, its potential magnitude warrants close monitoring," the report said.

The ILO also highlighted "entrenched gender inequalities", pointing out that women still account for just two-fifths of global employment.

"Stable labor markets are not necessarily healthy," Fredrickson said, stressing the growing need for "domestic policy choices to strengthen decent work outcomes".

"Without decisive action, today's stability risks giving way to deeper inequalities."


China Had a Record $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus in 2025, as Exports Rose 6.6% in December

Women dressed in traditional Chinese-style attire cross a street in Beijing, China, Tuesday, Jan. 13, 2026. (AP)
Women dressed in traditional Chinese-style attire cross a street in Beijing, China, Tuesday, Jan. 13, 2026. (AP)
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China Had a Record $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus in 2025, as Exports Rose 6.6% in December

Women dressed in traditional Chinese-style attire cross a street in Beijing, China, Tuesday, Jan. 13, 2026. (AP)
Women dressed in traditional Chinese-style attire cross a street in Beijing, China, Tuesday, Jan. 13, 2026. (AP)

China’s trade surplus surged to a record of almost $1.2 trillion in 2025, the government said Wednesday, as exports to other countries made up for slowing shipments to the United States.

China's exports rose 5.5% for the whole of last year to $3.77 trillion, customs data showed, while imports flatlined at $2.58 trillion. The 2024 trade surplus was over $992 billion.

In December, China’s exports climbed 6.6% from the year before in dollar terms, better than economists’ estimates and higher than November’s 5.9% year-on-year increase. Imports in December were up 5.7% year-on-year, compared to November’s 1.9%.

China’s trade surplus surpassed the $1 trillion mark for the first time in November, when the trade surplus reached $1.08 trillion in the first 11 months of last year.

Economists expect exports will continue to support China’s economy this year, despite trade friction and geopolitical tensions.

“We continue to expect exports to act as a big growth driver in 2026,” said Jacqueline Rong, chief China economist at BNP Paribas.

While China’s exports to the US have fallen sharply for most of last year since President Donald Trump returned to office and escalated his trade war with the world’s second-largest economy, that decline has been largely offset by shipments to other markets in South America, Southeast Asia, Africa and Europe.

For the whole of 2025, China’s exports to the US fell 20%. In contrast, exports to Africa surged 26%. Those to Southeast Asian countries jumped 13%; to the European Union 8%, and to Latin America, 7%.

Strong global demand for computer chips and other devices and the materials needed to make them were among categories that supported China’s exports, analysts said. Car exports also grew last year.

China's strong exports have helped keep its economy growing at an annual rate close to its official target of about 5%. But that has triggered alarm in countries that fear a flood of cheap imports are damaging local industries.

China faces a “severe and complex” external trade environment in 2026, Wang Jun, vice minister of China’s customs administration, told reporters in Beijing. But he said China’s “foreign trade fundamentals remain solid.”

The head of the International Monetary Fund last month called for China to fix its economic imbalances and speed up its shift from reliance on exports by boosting domestic demand and investment.

A prolonged property downturn in China after the authorities cracked down on excessive borrowing, triggering defaults by many developers, is still weighing on consumer confidence and domestic demand.

China’s leaders have made increasing spending by consumers and businesses a focus of economic policy, but actions taken so far have had a limited impact. That included government trade-in subsidies over the past months that encouraged consumers to buy newer, more energy efficient items, such as home appliances and vehicles, and replace older models.

“We expect domestic demand growth to stay tepid,” said Rong of BNP Paribas. “In fact, the policy boost to domestic demand looks weaker than last year -- in particular the fiscal subsidy program for consumer goods.”

Gary Ng, a senior economist at French investment bank Natixis, forecasts that China’s exports will grow about 3% in 2026, less than the 5.5% growth in 2025. With slow import growth, he expects China's trade surplus to remain above $1 trillion this year.


Saudi Arabia Signs Mineral Cooperation Deals with Chile, Canada, Brazil

The MoUs were signed on the sidelines of the Ministerial Roundtable of ministers concerned with mining affairs, held as part of the fifth annual Future Minerals Forum (FMF) in Riyadh. (SPA)
The MoUs were signed on the sidelines of the Ministerial Roundtable of ministers concerned with mining affairs, held as part of the fifth annual Future Minerals Forum (FMF) in Riyadh. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Signs Mineral Cooperation Deals with Chile, Canada, Brazil

The MoUs were signed on the sidelines of the Ministerial Roundtable of ministers concerned with mining affairs, held as part of the fifth annual Future Minerals Forum (FMF) in Riyadh. (SPA)
The MoUs were signed on the sidelines of the Ministerial Roundtable of ministers concerned with mining affairs, held as part of the fifth annual Future Minerals Forum (FMF) in Riyadh. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia, represented by the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources, signed on Tuesday three international memoranda of understanding (MoUs) on mineral resources cooperation with the Chile, Canada, and Brazil.

The MoUs were signed on the sidelines of the Ministerial Roundtable of ministers concerned with mining affairs, held as part of the fifth annual Future Minerals Forum (FMF), hosted by Riyadh from January 13 to 15.

The deals reflect the Kingdom’s efforts to expand its international partnerships and strengthen technical and investment cooperation in the mining and minerals sector in a manner that serves mutual interests and supports the sustainable development of mineral resources.

The signing ceremony included MoUs on cooperation in the mineral resources field with the Chilean Ministry of Mining, the Canadian Department of Natural Resources, and the Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy.

The Ministerial Roundtable recorded the largest level of international representation of its kind globally, with participation from more than 100 countries, including all G20 members in addition to the European Union, as well as 59 multilateral organizations, industry associations, and non-governmental organizations.

The attendance reflects the standing the ministerial meeting has attained as a leading international platform for aligning perspectives, building partnerships, and developing practical solutions to global challenges in the mining and minerals sector.